2024 Presidential Election -- new thread for the final week

What will be the outcome of the 2024 Presidential Election


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Most cities above a certain size tend to vote Democrat. I've often wondered what is the largest city in the country that is solidly Republican? I think in NC, probably the largest R city would be Jacksonville which I think is just inside the top 15 cities in NC.

Nationally, I'm not certain. You can pretty much look up any political map sorted by districts and pick out the cities by the urban blue dots in a sea of rural red.

Tulsa and OKC are probably in the discussion. Jacksonville FL used to be but is trending blue.
 
Trump and his team have been going after the bros. But those bros ain’t voting.

“In Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia, there is at least a 10-point gap between men and women in the early vote, according to POLITICO’s analysis and data from the University of Florida’s United States Election Project”.

“A recent ABC/Ipsos poll shows Harris with a 19 percentage point lead among suburban women, up from 10 points in October and now-President Joe Bidens’ six-point lead in 2020. At the same time, Harris has cut Trump’s 27-point margin of victory in 2020 with white women without a college degree in half, a recent Marist Poll shows”.


#imwithsteven
 
It’s not the actual getting in the truck part. It’s the trying to open the door part. He misses the handle three times and then his leg comes out from under him.
When I saw it, my first thought was that he'd been drinking. He couldn't get his hand to meet the handle while his body was swaying around.

-jk
 
It's very hard to say you're wrong. I'm not sure you're right, but still. Long story short, one would think that a national election coming down to a state far from Montana, far from California, far from Alabama, far from Colorado, far from 90% of the rest of the United States would provide impetus to discard the Electoral College.

It won't.
If we can't agree on whether it is OK to call millions of people a "floating island of garbage" then I'm guessing we won't agree on how to change from the electoral college.
 
Yeah that’s a bad play right now. I agree with the notion, not the timing. Just stick to most basic non-divisive points for this week. Democracy - good. Taking away women’s rights - bad.
I really doubt there's a ton of crossover between potential Harris voters and those who love cradling their AR-15s. Its also toothless since you'd have to have a blue super majority to pass any law or regulation on guns at this point. To me, it almost seems more like an appeal to the few lefties who are still sitting out and haven't realized that Jill Stein is a Russian asset.
 
Nate Silver's model says PA and NC are the two biggest tipping point states and agrees that if she wins either of them, she's close to a lock.

GbLTeVPXcAEcOAd
That chart is incomplete. I want to see what her chances are if she flips Alabama. Or Wyoming.
 
Trump and his team have been going after the bros. But those bros ain’t voting.

“In Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia, there is at least a 10-point gap between men and women in the early vote, according to POLITICO’s analysis and data from the University of Florida’s United States Election Project”.

“A recent ABC/Ipsos poll shows Harris with a 19 percentage point lead among suburban women, up from 10 points in October and now-President Joe Bidens’ six-point lead in 2020. At the same time, Harris has cut Trump’s 27-point margin of victory in 2020 with white women without a college degree in half, a recent Marist Poll shows”.


#imwithsteven
Yep. Take away all the right-wing polls that are flooding the zone and Harris wins in a landslide. And Trump lost PA with the MSG rally. A truly mind-boggling mistake.

Nice hashtag.
 
Some of the Trump photo ops from his garbage truck are.....something. Those pictures of him on the tarmac wearing the safety vest, I'm waiting for him to sing that if I am wise I will listen to him. Yikes
 
Some of the Trump photo ops from his garbage truck are.....something. Those pictures of him on the tarmac wearing the safety vest, I'm waiting for him to sing that if I am wise I will listen to him. Yikes
What is going on with his right leg? I don’t expect a 78 year old man to have a particularly easy time climbing into a truck - I’m 50 and I’d probably not look smooth
Doing it - but that motion his leg made was… my grandmother had a huge stroke in her 40s and dragged her leg like that thereafter.
 
If anyone is interested in my favorite state of Nevada, even though I no longer live there, you can check out Ralston’s blog. He is the best in the business with this early vote stuff. The picture is becoming clearer by the day in the silver state. #HomeMeansNevada

“Essentially the entire GOP lead is in the rurals, which are turning out significantly higher than Clark's 41 percent, except for Lyon, which also happens to be the largest rural vote source. The rurals continue to punch above their weight by more than 3 points while Clark is down 4 relative to voter reg and Washoe is up 1. This dynamic will change once the urban mail gets counted, but that is a substantial lead for the Repubs.”

 
Somebody hacked the Wall Street Journal. Today's headline: "The Next President Inherits a Remarkable Economy".
I think its been explained here before, probably the old thread, but all the indicators for a strong economy are present. A strong economy, however, does not force retailers to lower prices to pre-pandemic levels so thats why people think the economy is bad. Its not.
 
Somebody hacked the Wall Street Journal. Today's headline: "The Next President Inherits a Remarkable Economy".
That stuff is going on.i saw on x that durring the formula race .they posted a Harris win by 5 percent.like the election was over with 100% voting already in P.A..it was chalked up to testing by the network. That will stir the pot for sure on conspiracies.
 
Yep. Take away all the right-wing polls that are flooding the zone and Harris wins in a landslide. And Trump lost PA with the MSG rally. A truly mind-boggling mistake.

Nice hashtag.

If that 10 percent gap holds through Election Day, Harris wins all four states - MI, PA, NC, GA. Perhaps men are more likely to vote on Election Day itself. We'll see.
 
The Man Vote all depends on whether it's golfing weather on Tuesday. Haven't checked the weather forecast in the Swing (literally!) states yet.
 
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