The saga of Daniel Jones thread

Nice analysis, but he's made $100 million. Why go back to being a backup at a fraction of what he's been making? A good student, with courses in finance, he could do well investing his own money.

I expect him to continue playing, however. Football is in his blood.
Personally, I could think of 5-8 million per year reasons.
 
This year was particularly disappointing. The protection, particularly, though not exclusively, before Thomas got hurt was better than in the past, and there were lots of instances where there was time and open targets, and Jones either didn't go through his progressions to find the open guy, or simply couldn't effectively get the ball there for anything beyond 10-15 yards. Pretty rough position to be in when hitting the market.
This was my biggest takeaway from watching him, seemed like his progressions often started and ended with one guy that he locked onto. Close 2nd was poor judgement. Or maybe it was poor throws. Hmm, no, untimely turnovers. No, got it, inability to throw before a guy was wide open. Oh man, shoot, can't decide, should have made a top 10 list. :)

Since I'm not a Duke football fan, I can say w/o dismay that I won't be shocked (surprised yes, shocked no) if he doesn't play another snap in a regular season game.
 
If Daniel wants to be a backup, for backup money (which is what maybe .1% of his classmates make), then I'm sure he will be.

He has a great attitude. He never complains. He's tough and he's smart (just not a fast thinker in the pocket). The light may yet go on (I'm not holding my breath though).

His next career move will be interesting.
 
Personally, I could think of 5-8 million per year reasons.
And, if he plays well as a backup, he could quickly be back in the $20+ mil/season range. Many of us feel his struggles have been at least partly to blame on the OLine, WRs, and general offensive scheme of the Giants. It is not at all impossible to imagine Jones as a starter on some other team at some point.
 
And, if he plays well as a backup, he could quickly be back in the $20+ mil/season range. Many of us feel his struggles have been at least partly to blame on the OLine, WRs, and general offensive scheme of the Giants. It is not at all impossible to imagine Jones as a starter on some other team at some point.
ya, the "good" news is that QBs get hurt at an alarming rate. The question is whether he can find a good organization who wants him as a backup.
 
If Daniel wants to be a backup, for backup money (which is what maybe .1% of his classmates make), then I'm sure he will be.

He has a great attitude. He never complains. He's tough and he's smart (just not a fast thinker in the pocket). The light may yet go on (I'm not holding my breath though).

His next career move will be interesting.
Backup QB salaries (measured by cap hit):
- Marcus Mariota (WAS), $6m, possibly $10m with incentives
- Trey Lance (DAL), $5.3m
- Drew Lock (NYG), $5m
- Andy Dalton (CIN), $4.97m
- Mitch Trubisky (BUF), $2m

The median for a No. 2 QB is $1,991,950. Only five make less than $1m. The lowest-paid second-string QB I found was Aidan O'Connell (LAS), $785,000.

The media for a No. 3 QB, including a bunch of people who are basically kids biding their time to see if they ever get a shot, is $840,000.

The highest salary I've ever had, with two Duke degrees, is an inflation-adjusted $82,510.

I think Daniel's classmates will still be making quite a bit less than he is if he sticks in the league.
 
That said, I would bet my inflation-adjusted peak salary that Jones will never make $20m. Not in 2024 dollars, anyway -- inflation could make $20m in 2026 be the equivalent of about 10 cents in 2024.

Jones fumbles too often, he can't make his way through progressions to find open receivers (astonishing for someone Cutcliffe coached), and I think he lost a step of his vaunted speed after his injuries.

He's Marcus Mariota *at best*. He's probably closer to Mitch Trubisky.
 
If he signs elsewhere, he’ll get $5+ million.
Possibly, if he's seen as a Mariota-level signing. If he's seen as a Trubisky analogue, then maybe not.

Let's look at ESPN QBRs ...

JONES
2019: 55.7, 279 rushing yards, 2 rushing TDs
2020: 54.0, 423 / 1
2021: 47.5, 298 / 2
2022: 62.9, 708 / 7 (the good year)
2023: 37.1 pre-injury
2024: 46.9 post-injury

Odd Jones stat: He had 24 TDs in 13 games in his rookie year. His next-best season for TD passes was 2022 (the good year) -- 15 in 16.

MARIOTA
2015: 48.4, 252 / 2
2016: 59.1, 276 / 2 (**26** passing TDs vs. 9 INTs)
2017: 59.0, 312 / 5
2018: 53.2, 357 / 2

Injuries started to take their toll in 2019. He played little in 2020 and 2021.

2022: 57.7, 438 / 4

Then back to backup role.

TRUBISKY
2017: 33.3, 248 / 2
2018: 71.0 (24 TDs/12 INTs), 421 / 3
2019: 41.5, 193 / 2
2020: 53.8, 195 / 1
2021: played little
2022: 58.5 (7 games)
2023: 35.3 (5 games)

So yeah, I'd rather have Jones that Trubisky, but I'd rather have Mariota than Jones.

Based on all that, I'll guess he gets a one-year, $5m deal or a two-year, $8m deal.
 
Then whether he sees the field will depend entirely on the health and productivity of the starter.

I doubt anyone's going to sign him as a starter. *Maybe* the Raiders.
 
Possibly, if he's seen as a Mariota-level signing. If he's seen as a Trubisky analogue, then maybe not.

Let's look at ESPN QBRs ...

JONES
2019: 55.7, 279 rushing yards, 2 rushing TDs
2020: 54.0, 423 / 1
2021: 47.5, 298 / 2
2022: 62.9, 708 / 7 (the good year)
2023: 37.1 pre-injury
2024: 46.9 post-injury

Odd Jones stat: He had 24 TDs in 13 games in his rookie year. His next-best season for TD passes was 2022 (the good year) -- 15 in 16.

MARIOTA
2015: 48.4, 252 / 2
2016: 59.1, 276 / 2 (**26** passing TDs vs. 9 INTs)
2017: 59.0, 312 / 5
2018: 53.2, 357 / 2

Injuries started to take their toll in 2019. He played little in 2020 and 2021.

2022: 57.7, 438 / 4

Then back to backup role.

TRUBISKY
2017: 33.3, 248 / 2
2018: 71.0 (24 TDs/12 INTs), 421 / 3
2019: 41.5, 193 / 2
2020: 53.8, 195 / 1
2021: played little
2022: 58.5 (7 games)
2023: 35.3 (5 games)

So yeah, I'd rather have Jones that Trubisky, but I'd rather have Mariota than Jones.

Based on all that, I'll guess he gets a one-year, $5m deal or a two-year, $8m deal.
Don't want nothing to do with Trubisky the ex Cheat QB.

GoDuke!
 
Aren't there two Cheat QBs riding the pine in the NFL?

I actually googled Howell and he is a backup to Geno Smith. What I didn't know is Howell's middle name is.....Duke. 🤨
 
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