2024 Presidential Election -- new thread for the final week

What will be the outcome of the 2024 Presidential Election


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To me a lot of this reads like what the republicans are telling everyone else the DNC is. Too liberal, too extreme, out of touch, and people believe it. So how do the democrats respond, by moving more to the right on issues, being mealy-mouthed and milquetoast. And this is what the republicans want, so just in case the democrats do win, they aren't campaigning on any real change thats going to hurt them if implemented.
Middle of the road no longer works and they should stop trying to employ it as a useful tactic. Pivoting to "hey we're not so scary, here's Liz Cheney" is a loser message. The GOP doubled down and went about as far right as they could go before becoming full on fascists. The democrats need to then swing to the left and really become the party of the working class. They need to double down on their end.Don't be scared that the GOP are going to call you a socialist because they're going to do that anyway so what difference does it make? FDR's new deal worked because it was a post Herbert Hoover, post depression america where most people had zero to lose in buying in. That could likely be this country in 4 years as well. Middle of the road democratic platforms do not work and given how far the right has gone, they should be abandoned. Moderation is dead, diplomacy and compromise is dead. Fight for what you really believe, find people who can convey the message effectively and then do what you say. The one party who keeps trying to play nice and yearn for the days of normal politics should set it all on fire and start pushing left agendas that truly matter to the people in this country.
As a fairly recent example of "moderate" policy advanced via a Democratic administration (unanimously voted for by Republicans)... anybody remember the 1994 crime bill? Yea, that didn't have any negative and severely harmful consequences. Biden's hands were on that too btw.
 
Yeah, the Trump campaign has done a really clever job of convincing the public that the Democratic party has an open border policy, when that is simply completely inaccurate.

The issue of immigration is an incredibly complicated one, and managing immigration well is a challenge. But we most definitely do not have an open border policy, neither on paper nor in practice. It's an area in which the Trump campaign did an effective job of creating a false reality that is difficult to counterargue and that no doubt helps wins votes.
 
Not sure the best way to gather this. If mods are ok with it and if anyone is down for a separate closed group conversation just throw a like (y) here and I can get something started later this week once this thread is closed.

So far I've got Chicago 1995, King of Defense, and acdevil that have expressed interest in earlier response.
Re-upping this before the thread closes, and in case others have missed it... Go back to this post (#2016) - odd coincidence?? - and react there if you're interested.
 
I have studiously avoided posting on this thread for roughly 48 hours, but since it's shutting down soon I'll make my last stab.

Have Trump & Johnson told us their little secret yet, he said they would after the election. Ds should be screaming "It was rigged!". It obviously works as a strategy. I mean, look at the difference in the size & energy of her crowds vs. his. Right? What's good for the goose is good for the gander (if they haven't all been eaten by legal immigrants yet).

Unfortunately, I think we're in for a real **** show. But as an older white man with no kids, I'm probably insulated from most of it (though my new roof is going to cost more, if I can even get one since there will be no workers...and I won't be eating as much produce so my healthy eating habits will slip). Sorry for the rest of you.

I'll try to leave y'all with one optimistic thought. The Rs will overreach. BIGly, and it's gonna be UGly. Each side does, but this is going to be tremendous, the biggest overreach ever. Nobody will have ever seen such an overreach. And there will be the inevitable backlash, so the Ds probably get back control in 2028. Therefore Ds will be in charge of the census and gerrymandering for 2030.

Or we'll be a fascist state in 2028. Sorry, the optimism exhausted me.

Edit: So it was a turnout issue? George Jean Nathan was never proven truer.
 
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Yeah, the Trump campaign has done a really clever job of convincing the public that the Democratic party has an open border policy, when that is simply completely inaccurate.

The issue of immigration is an incredibly complicated one, and managing immigration well is a challenge. But we most definitely do not have an open border policy, neither on paper nor in practice. It's an area in which the Trump campaign did an effective job of creating a false reality that is difficult to counterargue and that no doubt helps wins votes.
Reposting below an exchange from the old thread with SkyB on this point. The fact that the GOP has exaggerated reality doesn't in any way absolve some very real accountability on the part of the Biden Administration around immigration issues, which proved difficult to shake in this election cycle even with some clear changes in policy in the meantime.

Hmmm. Ok. No issue has been demagogued more than Southern border security. I actually know quite a lot about the issue and I can promise you that the US Chamber of Commerce, a big player in Republican politics, has zero interest in deporting the 12M+ illegal immigrants that are here or stopping the flow of cheap illegal labor from Mexico.

The GOP signs for "Mass Deportation" at the RNC is just this year's version of "Build that Wall". It's not an issue they want to solve. It's an issue they want to campaign on. Never has that been more obvious than when Trump called Johnson and killed that bill. Same thing happened years ago with the bipartisan "comprehensive immigration reform". Smart people, who care to look, can see right through the ruse.
No disputing the demagoguery by the GOP on this issue. But the pronounced surges in illegal border crossings - even when netted for deportations, returns and expulsions - under Biden is not GOP spin. Nor were the pleads for action from mayors and governors from his own party. Nor were complaints from some Black and Hispanic communities that illegal immigrants were being treated better than they were.

I'm not an expert on this issue by any means. But I live in Chicago and travel to New York frequently, so I do have some appreciation for how it has played out in those cities. The sense that the Administration had let things get out of control has been palpable. And the numbers don't lie.
 
Yeah, my concerns voting were very much outwardly based and not selfish. I wasn't voting for my economic concerns or my tax bracket or my demographic. Maybe I'm a sucker, but I thought we were all in this together.
I think we are too, and I've always voted that way. I just don't know that the voter like I described *isn't* voting that way too. That it benefits them more directly doesn't mean it is a selfish vote. And it's easier to vote against your economic self-interest for a lot of the people on a message board that is by-and-large Duke graduates than it is for people in rural Illinois, on average.
 
I guess the policy is to follow the current law. Federal law allows anyone to come into this country to claim asylum as long as they go through a designated border crossing. So if people want to cross the border there is nothing to stop them. When they get here there is not enough facilities, people, judges etc. to process their requests for asylum. Granted, many would not be able to meet the standard for asylum, but many will make out claims that try to meet it. But federal law requires their claims to be adjudicated. In an effort to ease the burden, in May, 2023, the Department of Homeland Security issued a final rule called the Central American Migration Protection (CLP) rule that presumes that certain individuals who enter the U.S. through the southwest land border or adjacent coastal borders are ineligible for asylum. This rule was immediately challenged. It was vacated by the Federal District Court. The 9th Circuit Court of appeals issued a stay on the Federal District Court's order. This takes use to the much-publicized Congressional effort that Trump stopped to change federal law so that Biden would not get any credit for trying to address the situation. When people say Biden can issue rules and Executive Orders what they are not saying is that those rules and Executive Orders likely violate federal law. Trump does not care about federal law (understatement of the year). Biden wants to play by the rules. It's that old quaint "rule of law" philosophy.
Ok, but asylum seekers are only one aspect of immigration. Does the Democratic platform support increased provisions for preventing illegal immigration? If so, what provisions (obviously not a wall)? Do they support deportation in any situation other than commission of a crime? What is their stance on visas and green cards? Should those be increased? Decreased?
 
I think we are too, and I've always voted that way. I just don't know that the voter like I described *isn't* voting that way too. That it benefits them more directly doesn't mean it is a selfish vote. And it's easier to vote against your economic self-interest for a lot of the people on a message board that is by-and-large Duke graduates than it is for people in rural Illinois, on average.
Well the disconnect to me is that I interpret “being in this all together” as voting against the threat of dictatorship. I have no problem with voting on policy issues but many of us see dangerous rhetoric that either others don’t or do not care about. What the Kamala campaign really did wrong was not convince enough people of that threat or misjudged how many cared. If that threat is imagined then “yay!” and the more important issues to more people apparently prevailed. I’ll take the tax breaks and not complain then but I remain highly skeptical…
 
Because the thread is wrapping up I just want to not that DJT stock is down about 60% from the high after the election was called. I fell that's prophetic.
 
Ok, but asylum seekers are only one aspect of immigration. Does the Democratic platform support increased provisions for preventing illegal immigration? If so, what provisions (obviously not a wall)? Do they support deportation in any situation other than commission of a crime? What is their stance on visas and green cards? Should those be increased? Decreased?


Here is a good article on the issue: https://usafacts.org/articles/what-can-the-data-tell-us-about-unauthorized-immigration.

Illegal immigration mostly comes from legal border crossings (where a wall in irrelevant and therefore a waste of money) that later become illegal because the person did follow the legal process of filing for asylum or overstayed their visa. The immigration bill that Trump stymied was designed to beef up resources for processing asylum claims, and also, give the President the power to stop legal border crossings when the numbers exceeded a certain number per day.
 
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