2024 FB Bowl Watch

Even before getting to the APR stuff, I was reading your post thinking, "San Jose State really needs all those 5-win teams to lose" because fan interest (or disinterest) alone would keep them out of a bowl game.

Disappointing as an alum that their APR is so low, though, even as the university as a whole keeps climbing way up the rankings.
The APR ratings are just for the football team and are from this site.


Take this with a big "grain of salt"....unc is ranked 3. :)
 
Looking at all these options and dates, it's hard to know "what bowl is a good bowl". One would assume (meaning me) that a game after New Years would be a better than one before, but that's not always the case. So to help things out, I give you this tier ranking that I found from last year. In the article, you can read how they figure out each one.

With Duke now being predicted by one ESPN guy in the Holiday Bowl, that's respectable, as is another ESPN prediction, the Pop-Tarts Bowl. (Used to be the Cheez-It)

Tier 1: The Big Time

  • Sugar (13.31)
  • Orange (13.14)
  • Fiesta (12.21)
  • Rose (12.06)
  • Cotton (11.30)


Tier 2: The Next Best Thing

  • Citrus (7.70)
  • Holiday (6.81)
  • Gator (6.77)
  • Peach (6.32)
  • Alamo (6.27)


Tier 3: A Solid Matchup

  • ReliaQuest (5.54)
  • Liberty (4.25)
  • Sun (4.02)
  • Las Vegas (3.23)
  • Cheez-It (3.09)


Tier 4: Rising New Bowls or Stagnant Older Ones

  • Cure (2.88)
  • Boca Raton (2.22)
  • New Orleans (2.14)
  • Music City (2.13)
  • Independence (2.02)
  • Arizona (2.00)


Tier 5: Not Ready for Prime Time

  • Armed Forces (1.8)
  • Pinstripe (1.75)
  • Duke’s Mayo (1.71)
  • Guaranteed Rate (1.64)
  • Birmingham (1.63)
  • Frisco (1.5)
  • First Responder 1.42)
  • Texas (1.05)


Tier 6: Ya Basic

  • Hawaii
  • New Mexico
  • Military
  • Camellia
  • Bahamas
  • Myrtle Beach
  • LA
  • Fenway
Every bowl in this tier is at a flat 1.00.




Tier 7: Almost “The Blutarsky”

  • Quick Lane (0.92)
  • Famous Idaho Potato (0.62)
  • LendingTree (0.38)
  • Gasparilla (0.29)
This ranking system is correct. And the dropoff from Tier 3 to Tier 4 is the biggest one.
 
Duke Bowl Projections (Updated):
Minnesota? Both CBS and USA Today has Duke matched with Minnesota at Mayo January 3. College Football Network has that same matchup in Tampa's ReliaQuest Bowl December 31.
Missouri? Both 247 Sports and Sporting News instead project Duke playing Missouri, either in the Gator Bowl January 2 or the Music City Bowl December 30.
Washington State? ESPN's Schlabach has us playing Washington State December 27 in the Holiday Bowl.
Iowa State? ESPN's Bonagura has us playing Iowa State December 28 in the Pop Tarts Bowl.
Michigan? Athlon has us matched with Michigan in the Pinstripe Bowl on the 28th.
Frankly, any of these matchups would be pretty appealing to me, but a Gator Bowl invite sure would be sweet.
Gotta beat Wake!
Does the Music City Bowl in Nashville have a tie in to the ACC? They did a few years ago, but what I read is the game will be SEC vs BIG. Hope I’m wrong as I live in Nashville area.
 
Does the Music City Bowl in Nashville have a tie in to the ACC? They did a few years ago, but what I read is the game will be SEC vs BIG. Hope I’m wrong as I live in Nashville area.
That changed in 2020. A lot of the tie-ins changed for 2020 for a 6 year cycle. A lot of them run through next year, which is why the PAC12 teams are tied to their old bowls. There will be another shuffling of these for the 2026 season.
 
The APR ratings are just for the football team and are from this site.


Take this with a big "grain of salt"....unc is ranked 3. :)
Yeah, they're program by program, but it's still disappointing considering they've suffered football APR penalties in the past but more recently comfortably middle of the pack nationally.

Anyway .... who cares now because they overcame their own efforts at sabotage in the 4th quarter Friday to knock off local "Atlantic Coast" rival Stanford to improve to 7-5!
 
They may have jumped Duke in the pecking order anyway, since the order only exists for the benefit of bowl and TV lowlifes.
Had Duke lost, it was an option, but a 9-3 Duke isn't getting leaped by a 7-5 GT team. My guess is that GT will fill the stands in Charlotte at the Mayo Bowl and Duke is destined for somewhere more elite.
 
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