NCAAM East Regional Thread (Duke, ɐɯɐqɐl∀, uᴉsuoɔsᴉM, ɐuozᴉɹ∀)

Who will win the East?

  • Alabama

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Wisconsin

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Arizona

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Oregon

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • BYU

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Saint Mary’s

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Mississippi State

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Baylor

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Vanderbilt

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • VCU

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Liberty

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Akron

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Montana

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Robert Morris

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • American

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Mount St. Mary’s

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    362
  • Poll closed .
I did but the transitive property doesn’t app,y to sports. It’s the matchups and talent that matters
So you don't believe in teams getting hot or going ice cold? Health is obviously a big factor but there is a certain level of randomness in sports that keeps things interesting (and stressful!) and why there are always upsets in the tournament. I've seen us play poorly, I've seen our best players get in foul trouble, and I've seen other teams get hot. Put 2 or 3 of those in the same game and anything can happen.
 
There's always been this perception among a sizable percentage of Duke fans that Derrick Williams' performance in that game was an anomaly; that he was a stiff who never did much before or after. It just isn't true.

Derrick Williams was a legitimately excellent player for Arizona in 2010-2011 -- 2nd team All-American, Wooden Award finalist, 6th in the country in Win Shares and 2nd in Box Plus/Minus, made more than half his threes on the season, etc etc. Two weeks before he made 5 threes against Duke he made 5 threes in a conference tournament game. He was an outstanding college basketball player, and I was greatly concerned about him going into that game.

No, he wasn't particularly well-suited to the NBA. But he did play more NBA minutes, score more points, and accumulate more Win Shares than Kyle Singler and Nolan Smith ... combined. (Made more money than both of them combined, too, which isn't a metric I particularly care about but which is one that is frequently referenced.)

Anyway, Duke didn't get beat by a bunch of stiffs that day. They got beat by a good team led by an excellent college player. YMMV on whether that's more or less comforting.
Fair point that he was an excellent college player and I definitely didn’t appreciate his overall excellence going into that game. AZ weren’t stiffs; but I remember that team pre Kyrie injury and even post they were remarkable.

However making more money than Kyle Singler and Nolan Smith who were both drafter much lower is DEFINITELY NOT doing anything notable in your NBA career. He also made a whole lot less money than Kyrie 😂 I’ll stand by my point that that game was the high point of his basketball career and we got a bit unlucky with how hot he was. But hey that’s the tournament and the best team doesn’t win a lot of years.
 
So you don't believe in teams getting hot or going ice cold? Health is obviously a big factor but there is a certain level of randomness in sports that keeps things interesting (and stressful!) and why there are always upsets in the tournament. I've seen us play poorly, I've seen our best players get in foul trouble, and I've seen other teams get hot. Put 2 or 3 of those in the same game and anything can happen.
Yes I do and those things are all true,but BYU can’t beat a healthy Duke team.
 
The second session is typically schedule as 7:15 and 9:45 pm. I consider 9:45 to be late.
Better if on Mountain Time.
He was interviewed by the ESPN basketball crew tonight and was asked about playing Flagg. His response was "full steam ahead" and he had every intention of playing him on Friday. Plan is to work with him to test things out tomorrow and, assuming nothing unexpected, practice with the team after that.
If he can play, he will. Jon Scheyer et moi have seen enough of great Duke teams lose their edge while their stars are out (Kyrie, Zion) and not regain it when they return.
 
There's always been this perception among a sizable percentage of Duke fans that Derrick Williams' performance in that game was an anomaly; that he was a stiff who never did much before or after. It just isn't true.

Derrick Williams was a legitimately excellent player for Arizona in 2010-2011 -- 2nd team All-American, Wooden Award finalist, 6th in the country in Win Shares and 2nd in Box Plus/Minus, made more than half his threes on the season, etc etc. Two weeks before he made 5 threes against Duke he made 5 threes in a conference tournament game. He was an outstanding college basketball player, and I was greatly concerned about him going into that game.

No, he wasn't particularly well-suited to the NBA. But he did play more NBA minutes, score more points, and accumulate more Win Shares than Kyle Singler and Nolan Smith ... combined. (Made more money than both of them combined, too, which isn't a metric I particularly care about but which is one that is frequently referenced.)

Anyway, Duke didn't get beat by a bunch of stiffs that day. They got beat by a good team led by an excellent college player. YMMV on whether that's more or less comforting.
He also had a decent career in Europe as well.
 
Fair point that he was an excellent college player and I definitely didn’t appreciate his overall excellence going into that game. AZ weren’t stiffs; but I remember that team pre Kyrie injury and even post they were remarkable.

However making more money than Kyle Singler and Nolan Smith who were both drafter much lower is DEFINITELY NOT doing anything notable in your NBA career. He also made a whole lot less money than Kyrie 😂 I’ll stand by my point that that game was the high point of his basketball career and we got a bit unlucky with how hot he was. But hey that’s the tournament and the best team doesn’t win a lot of years.
Until I checked, I couldn’t name one other player on that Arizona team. And I follow college b-ball and the top teams closely each year.

That Kyrie team was amazing. Think about it: despite losing the best player in the country for almost the entire season, they were STILL a #1 seed in the tournament. I don’t know if the story is apocryphal or not but it is said that K at some point said that team, had Kyrie never gotten hurt, might’ve gone undefeated.
 
As much as I bleed Duke blue, I try to catch myself and be objective about any given team. Sure, it's often with a positive slant (like not closing the door on a player, like this year with Foster, Proctor, etc.). But I shoot for objectivity. And I take my brackets quite seriously (some would say too seriously), so I've been struggling with my bracket for Duke.

There is tremendous focus on Flagg's ankle, as well should be. Realistically, losing your unanimous All-American for the tourney, or having that All-American at less than full speed would be alarming. Hopefully the medical staff (in fact, all of Duke Med! Forget diseases, cure that ankle!) will get that ankle back to normal, and Flagg's time away from full-contact practice will not affect him for crucial games. I am positive here, and I think it's still objective.

What I cannot get past for Duke is the potential lack of Brown for the entire tournament. All the focus has been on Flagg, next to nothing on Brown. I posted after the first shoulder injury that I felt Duke does not win it all without him. And while I am ecstatic that Ngongba has shown himself to be a solid player in the rotation now, defensively he's not Brown. Nobody is. While Flagg got the votes for ACC DPOY, I think Brown is a better defender. He's simply been key in many victories this year. Without him deep in the tourney, I feel Duke's chances get worse and worse. I think metrics really do not really take into account his personal contributions to this team's performance. So while metrics now predict Duke having the best chance to win it all, I am extremely concerned that without Brown, Duke eventually falls. I believe this team still is built on exceptional defense. And I believe that defense is what would win the Devils the natty.

I was encouraged to see Brown not wearing a sling in the ACCT semi and final. But from what I know and understand about shoulder injuries, and the fact that this is Brown's second injury on the same shoulder (the second time not being a result of a major collision), I find myself questioning whether we will see him play again this season. And if so, Duke's best lineups for switching on D, having him available for key stops, his superior on-ball D are gone and all those deflections are gone.

I am often open to players finding their groove again. Johnny D, Redick, Allen, they all lost their shot for a while. Remember how Scheyer lost his during the 09-10 season, then found it again in the tourney? It can happen. But being optimistic about a player regaining his shot is not the same as being optimistic about a player returning from a serious injury. You can have faith in a player to turn his game around. But without resorting to religion, I don't think you can have faith that someone will recover from injury. IMO that's not being objective. And in Brown's case, that would be twice. Three times this year if you count his knee.

I think they can get to San Antonio without Brown. But without him, I objectively just wonder how much further they can go past that, unless weird things happen in matchups. Believe me, I want to be wrong. But they may be playing some combination of Houston, Tenn, Florida, Auburn, Sparty and St. John's - all that would be very tough outs. And I know that Duke could still win it all without him. And Brown could be back. But I am just hesitant to objectively write in Duke's name six times on my bracket if Brown isn't playing in the FF. I may just do it anyway, but still...

I don't expect anyone to like this post. And I'm not trying to be the voice of doom. Like I said, just trying to be objective. So please, tell me why I'm wrong. I have 24 hours to finalize my bracket.

And just so we are all clear, I will be rooting HARD for Duke, no matter what. While what I write on a bracket may be objective, my passion for Duke Basketball is NOT objective.

9F
 
As much as I bleed Duke blue, I try to catch myself and be objective about any given team. Sure, it's often with a positive slant (like not closing the door on a player, like this year with Foster, Proctor, etc.). But I shoot for objectivity. And I take my brackets quite seriously (some would say too seriously), so I've been struggling with my bracket for Duke.

There is tremendous focus on Flagg's ankle, as well should be. Realistically, losing your unanimous All-American for the tourney, or having that All-American at less than full speed would be alarming. Hopefully the medical staff (in fact, all of Duke Med! Forget diseases, cure that ankle!) will get that ankle back to normal, and Flagg's time away from full-contact practice will not affect him for crucial games. I am positive here, and I think it's still objective.

What I cannot get past for Duke is the potential lack of Brown for the entire tournament. All the focus has been on Flagg, next to nothing on Brown. I posted after the first shoulder injury that I felt Duke does not win it all without him. And while I am ecstatic that Ngongba has shown himself to be a solid player in the rotation now, defensively he's not Brown. Nobody is. While Flagg got the votes for ACC DPOY, I think Brown is a better defender. He's simply been key in many victories this year. Without him deep in the tourney, I feel Duke's chances get worse and worse. I think metrics really do not really take into account his personal contributions to this team's performance. So while metrics now predict Duke having the best chance to win it all, I am extremely concerned that without Brown, Duke eventually falls. I believe this team still is built on exceptional defense. And I believe that defense is what would win the Devils the natty.

I was encouraged to see Brown not wearing a sling in the ACCT semi and final. But from what I know and understand about shoulder injuries, and the fact that this is Brown's second injury on the same shoulder (the second time not being a result of a major collision), I find myself questioning whether we will see him play again this season. And if so, Duke's best lineups for switching on D, having him available for key stops, his superior on-ball D are gone and all those deflections are gone.

I am often open to players finding their groove again. Johnny D, Redick, Allen, they all lost their shot for a while. Remember how Scheyer lost his during the 09-10 season, then found it again in the tourney? It can happen. But being optimistic about a player regaining his shot is not the same as being optimistic about a player returning from a serious injury. You can have faith in a player to turn his game around. But without resorting to religion, I don't think you can have faith that someone will recover from injury. IMO that's not being objective. And in Brown's case, that would be twice. Three times this year if you count his knee.

I think they can get to San Antonio without Brown. But without him, I objectively just wonder how much further they can go past that, unless weird things happen in matchups. Believe me, I want to be wrong. But they may be playing some combination of Houston, Tenn, Florida, Auburn, Sparty and St. John's - all that would be very tough outs. And I know that Duke could still win it all without him. And Brown could be back. But I am just hesitant to objectively write in Duke's name six times on my bracket if Brown isn't playing in the FF. I may just do it anyway, but still...

I don't expect anyone to like this post. And I'm not trying to be the voice of doom. Like I said, just trying to be objective. So please, tell me why I'm wrong. I have 24 hours to finalize my bracket.

And just so we are all clear, I will be rooting HARD for Duke, no matter what. While what I write on a bracket may be objective, my passion for Duke Basketball is NOT objective.

9F
I think your post is fine. I too think Duke will win their 6th NCAAT Championship, but a lot has to go right. The 1999 team proved that. As for Brown, I think he is a great defender, but I think Cooper is the best defender because he's a better rebounder and rebounding is part of defense. My main concern is Cooper may not be 100%. However, we have enough talent to carry us this weekend without Cooper at 100%. Beyond that could be a problem. I picked Duke in about 95% of my brackets because Duke is the best team in the nation when 100% healthy.

GoDuke!
 
As much as I bleed Duke blue, I try to catch myself and be objective about any given team. Sure, it's often with a positive slant (like not closing the door on a player, like this year with Foster, Proctor, etc.). But I shoot for objectivity. And I take my brackets quite seriously (some would say too seriously), so I've been struggling with my bracket for Duke.

There is tremendous focus on Flagg's ankle, as well should be. Realistically, losing your unanimous All-American for the tourney, or having that All-American at less than full speed would be alarming. Hopefully the medical staff (in fact, all of Duke Med! Forget diseases, cure that ankle!) will get that ankle back to normal, and Flagg's time away from full-contact practice will not affect him for crucial games. I am positive here, and I think it's still objective.

What I cannot get past for Duke is the potential lack of Brown for the entire tournament. All the focus has been on Flagg, next to nothing on Brown. I posted after the first shoulder injury that I felt Duke does not win it all without him. And while I am ecstatic that Ngongba has shown himself to be a solid player in the rotation now, defensively he's not Brown. Nobody is. While Flagg got the votes for ACC DPOY, I think Brown is a better defender. He's simply been key in many victories this year. Without him deep in the tourney, I feel Duke's chances get worse and worse. I think metrics really do not really take into account his personal contributions to this team's performance. So while metrics now predict Duke having the best chance to win it all, I am extremely concerned that without Brown, Duke eventually falls. I believe this team still is built on exceptional defense. And I believe that defense is what would win the Devils the natty.

I was encouraged to see Brown not wearing a sling in the ACCT semi and final. But from what I know and understand about shoulder injuries, and the fact that this is Brown's second injury on the same shoulder (the second time not being a result of a major collision), I find myself questioning whether we will see him play again this season. And if so, Duke's best lineups for switching on D, having him available for key stops, his superior on-ball D are gone and all those deflections are gone.

I am often open to players finding their groove again. Johnny D, Redick, Allen, they all lost their shot for a while. Remember how Scheyer lost his during the 09-10 season, then found it again in the tourney? It can happen. But being optimistic about a player regaining his shot is not the same as being optimistic about a player returning from a serious injury. You can have faith in a player to turn his game around. But without resorting to religion, I don't think you can have faith that someone will recover from injury. IMO that's not being objective. And in Brown's case, that would be twice. Three times this year if you count his knee.

I think they can get to San Antonio without Brown. But without him, I objectively just wonder how much further they can go past that, unless weird things happen in matchups. Believe me, I want to be wrong. But they may be playing some combination of Houston, Tenn, Florida, Auburn, Sparty and St. John's - all that would be very tough outs. And I know that Duke could still win it all without him. And Brown could be back. But I am just hesitant to objectively write in Duke's name six times on my bracket if Brown isn't playing in the FF. I may just do it anyway, but still...

I don't expect anyone to like this post. And I'm not trying to be the voice of doom. Like I said, just trying to be objective. So please, tell me why I'm wrong. I have 24 hours to finalize my bracket.

And just so we are all clear, I will be rooting HARD for Duke, no matter what. While what I write on a bracket may be objective, my passion for Duke Basketball is NOT objective.

9F
It’s a bracket. No need to stress. LGD!
 
Until I checked, I couldn’t name one other player on that Arizona team. And I follow college b-ball and the top teams closely each year.

That Kyrie team was amazing. Think about it: despite losing the best player in the country for almost the entire season, they were STILL a #1 seed in the tournament. I don’t know if the story is apocryphal or not but it is said that K at some point said that team, had Kyrie never gotten hurt, might’ve gone undefeated.
Terps coach Gary Williams said that.

As many recall, AZ made two perfectly guarded 3-pointers in the waning moments of the 1st half, one at the buzzer, cutting the Duke lead to about six, and then racing off the court at halftime. Sir Charles predicted with that incredible energy on display, Arizona would win the game.

Still hurts.
 
As much as I bleed Duke blue, I try to catch myself and be objective about any given team. Sure, it's often with a positive slant (like not closing the door on a player, like this year with Foster, Proctor, etc.). But I shoot for objectivity. And I take my brackets quite seriously (some would say too seriously), so I've been struggling with my bracket for Duke.

There is tremendous focus on Flagg's ankle, as well should be. Realistically, losing your unanimous All-American for the tourney, or having that All-American at less than full speed would be alarming. Hopefully the medical staff (in fact, all of Duke Med! Forget diseases, cure that ankle!) will get that ankle back to normal, and Flagg's time away from full-contact practice will not affect him for crucial games. I am positive here, and I think it's still objective.

What I cannot get past for Duke is the potential lack of Brown for the entire tournament. All the focus has been on Flagg, next to nothing on Brown. I posted after the first shoulder injury that I felt Duke does not win it all without him. And while I am ecstatic that Ngongba has shown himself to be a solid player in the rotation now, defensively he's not Brown. Nobody is. While Flagg got the votes for ACC DPOY, I think Brown is a better defender. He's simply been key in many victories this year. Without him deep in the tourney, I feel Duke's chances get worse and worse. I think metrics really do not really take into account his personal contributions to this team's performance. So while metrics now predict Duke having the best chance to win it all, I am extremely concerned that without Brown, Duke eventually falls. I believe this team still is built on exceptional defense. And I believe that defense is what would win the Devils the natty.

I was encouraged to see Brown not wearing a sling in the ACCT semi and final. But from what I know and understand about shoulder injuries, and the fact that this is Brown's second injury on the same shoulder (the second time not being a result of a major collision), I find myself questioning whether we will see him play again this season. And if so, Duke's best lineups for switching on D, having him available for key stops, his superior on-ball D are gone and all those deflections are gone.

I am often open to players finding their groove again. Johnny D, Redick, Allen, they all lost their shot for a while. Remember how Scheyer lost his during the 09-10 season, then found it again in the tourney? It can happen. But being optimistic about a player regaining his shot is not the same as being optimistic about a player returning from a serious injury. You can have faith in a player to turn his game around. But without resorting to religion, I don't think you can have faith that someone will recover from injury. IMO that's not being objective. And in Brown's case, that would be twice. Three times this year if you count his knee.

I think they can get to San Antonio without Brown. But without him, I objectively just wonder how much further they can go past that, unless weird things happen in matchups. Believe me, I want to be wrong. But they may be playing some combination of Houston, Tenn, Florida, Auburn, Sparty and St. John's - all that would be very tough outs. And I know that Duke could still win it all without him. And Brown could be back. But I am just hesitant to objectively write in Duke's name six times on my bracket if Brown isn't playing in the FF. I may just do it anyway, but still...

I don't expect anyone to like this post. And I'm not trying to be the voice of doom. Like I said, just trying to be objective. So please, tell me why I'm wrong. I have 24 hours to finalize my bracket.

And just so we are all clear, I will be rooting HARD for Duke, no matter what. While what I write on a bracket may be objective, my passion for Duke Basketball is NOT objective.

9F
I think Brown will be back. Two things point to it. Duke hasn't publicly ruled him out yet. And when this happened last time, Brown had been telling Jon for 2 weeks that he was ready to play before returning to action.

He will need offseason shoulder surgery now no matter what. So my bet is Brown will choose to give it another try starting either with the S16 or E8 game. It's a once in a lifetime kind of moment for Brown.

Disclaimer - I know nothing.
 
Having him back for the regionals would be massive. I mentioned upthread that several of our potential E8 opponents spread you out and shoot 3s. I think Pat could contribute against Arizona in the Sweet 16. But having Maliq would unlock our 1-5 switching and would really make a difference against a team like Alabama.
 
There's an interesting article by Brendan Marks on Scheyer's approach to this season. Basically, he decided he'd never forgive himself if he didn't go for it in Cooper's single college season (as @SkyBrickey suggested, I think).

It's paywalled, unfortunately, but this link may work for you: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/62...lagg-march-madness/?source=emp_shared_article

Among other things, I learned about Scheyer's frank conversations with the seven players who transferred and with which coaching professionals Scheyer consults: Will Hardy, Utah HC, Chris Finch, Minnesota HC, Redick, Snyder, Joe Mazzulla, and . . . wait for it . . . Brad Stevens.
 
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