2024-2025 Men’s Basketball Season General Discussion

Kansas is obviously not a top 5 team, I’m still mad that every player on their team played the best game they had all season when they played Duke. I have not seen them do anything close to that level in any of their other games, especially Adams and Harris 😡
 
Kansas not backing up
kAzE said:
Kansas is obviously not a top 5 team, I’m still mad that every player on their team played the best game they had all season when they played Duke. I have not seen them do anything like what they did in that game in any of their other games, especially Adams and Harris 😡
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yeah we shoot poorly while they made some ridiculously lucky shots
 
dukewolf said:
Lots of interesting gmes, seems uconn is figuring things out
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played great defense in the 1h, texas adjusted better in the 2h. That woudl be the next step to better be able to respond tto those adjustments....but playing 25th ranked defense when you had been 200 is a win for them.

Still too much fouling....not just the bigs, but karaban and mcneeley and diarra (who should know better)...singare closing out the first half so successfully was a bit surprising. texas was not ready to exploit that....I expect other teams will.
 
Will Warren's Buy Low and Sell High All-Stars: https://statsbywill.substack.com/p/the-buy-low-and-sell-high-all-stars?

Based mostly on three point shooting percentage differential (thinking that it will regress to the mean), Warren selects Arizona, UConn, Vanderbilt, Louisville and Idaho State as teams likely to show improvement, with Baylor, BYU, and Michigan State also worthy of mention. On the sell side, he's got Purdue, Ohio State, Memphis, Bradley, and Oklahoma, with Wisconsin, Kentucky, and Kansas as honorable mention.
 
MChambers said:
Will Warren's Buy Low and Sell High All-Stars: https://statsbywill.substack.com/p/the-buy-low-and-sell-high-all-stars?

Based mostly on three point shooting percentage differential (thinking that it will regress to the mean), Warren selects Arizona, UConn, Vanderbilt, Louisville and Idaho State as teams likely to show improvement, with Baylor, BYU, and Michigan State also worthy of mention. On the sell side, he's got Purdue, Ohio State, Memphis, Bradley, and Oklahoma, with Wisconsin, Kentucky, and Kansas as honorable mention.
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Excellent article. Thanks for sharing. Here is what was said about Duke - and explains the methodology:

I have a formula. Sort of. Presenting the Schedule-Adjusted Shot Volume Index, which eliminates 3PT% from the conversation, adds Free Throw Rate, but keeps 2PT% around as a metric that’s twice as stable as 3PT% and nearly as stable long-term as TO%/OREB%. All of the numbers are weighted appropriately versus what I’ve found to be accurate correlation-wise. If you were to blend the SASVI with the actual team ratings as of now, you’d get a top five of (in order) Auburn, Duke, Tennessee, Iowa State, and Alabama. I think that’s reasonable.
 
MChambers said:
Will Warren's Buy Low and Sell High All-Stars: https://statsbywill.substack.com/p/the-buy-low-and-sell-high-all-stars?

Based mostly on three point shooting percentage differential (thinking that it will regress to the mean), Warren selects Arizona, UConn, Vanderbilt, Louisville and Idaho State as teams likely to show improvement, with Baylor, BYU, and Michigan State also worthy of mention. On the sell side, he's got Purdue, Ohio State, Memphis, Bradley, and Oklahoma, with Wisconsin, Kentucky, and Kansas as honorable mention.
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That was an awful lot of words to basically say teams with big negative 3P% differentials after ~ 10 games are very likely to have that differential decrease the rest of the year.

He did call out the importance of relative 2PT%, OREB%, and TO%. Those are significantly correlated with winning (especially the first two) and have much less variability than 3P%. Maybe we should keep those stickied in the strategy thread given the convos we've had around which shots players like Coop should be hunting/avoiding.
 
FosterCoachK82 said:
Lots of great hoops games on TV today.
Memphis - Clemson
A&M -Purdue
Xavier - Cincinnati
UCLA - Arizona
Arizona St. -Florida
Tennessee -Illinois
Marquette - Dayton
Gonzaga - UConn
Creighton - Bama
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I’m very interested in the Tenn-Illinois game. Would love to see the Illini boost its profile with that win and make our matchup in MSG a bigger potential statement for our resume…
 
Ohio State on v. Auburn. Sean getting a lot more minutes than he would have behind Cooper, Maluach and Brown. Broome a load underneath. Ohio State down 20.
 
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Auburn up 49-21 at the half. Sean Stewart looks like the same player he was last year: very fast, excellent jumper, limited shooting and ball skills, struggling on defense (to be fair, he’s often been on Broome).
 
MChambers said:
Auburn up 49-21 at the half. Sean Stewart looks like the same player he was last year: very fast, excellent jumper, limited shooting and ball skills, struggling on defense (to be fair, he’s often been on Broome).
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Auburn can be ruthless. Impressed we beat them!
 
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