I'm not much of a betting man, myself, but I think those are about the right odds. Conceivable. In other words, not likely to happen, but not really shocking if it does.
BTW, since you're the main occupant of Kon island, I will say this: Out of the top eight guys, I do think that Kon is notably the weakest defender. He's not a black hole, and he's smart, but he just does not have the physical skill to stay in front of people in space. ASU played a very weak offensive game, with few real plays and very little coordination as a team. If we play a team that is effective in manipulating the matchups they want, Kon is going to get punished. He's an offensive savant, and he is a legitimately excellent rebounder based on the little I've seen, so I'm not saying that he's an overall negative or in danger of not starting and playing big minutes. I think this team is defensively good enough to mostly hide him. But he really is pretty weak on that end, in my opinion. I'd love to hear how somebody with actual knowledge (e.g. an NBA scout) feels about him at this point.