I can you tell that the prevailing view among Big 10 powers that be, at least for the time being, is that there is real value in having the ACC and Big 12 as viable, if somewhat lesser, partners under the new playoff structure and TV environment.
If the ACC and Big 12 implode and their teams effectively scatter and fold.. (some may glom on to the SEC or B1G) The big boys being chock full of "brand" name teams beating each others brains in. 6 and 6 teams aren't sexy, I don't care who you play on your schedule. And neither do the CFP. They are
FAR more interested in selling and marketing desirable games to watch, than
ANY notion of finding the best team and crowning them champion.
I'm not sure why the any Conference hasn't seriously considered adding a Canadian (Vanier Cup) school for an international audience.
If just the SEC and B1G remain in their current configuration, I think eventually the top of the SEC becomes the Harlem Globetrotters to the B1Gs Washington Generals and that more or less parallels the thinking of luvdahops above...
In order for the B1G not to become the perpetual runner-up to the SEC, I think they would be wise to consider some type of partial merger (strongly aligned) partnership with the ACC that involve the better more profitable teams on a regular basis. The B1G needs access to the Southern athlete. (Playing in front of grandma and cousins matter)
If the money is available, they might choose the Super League. Last month, I spoke with a senior administrative official in the P5 athletic department. He said that even the Big 10 and SEC aren't safe.
He had an interesting point: The revenue of the top college football teams is artificially constrained. A typical Alabama football game draws roughly 40-50% of the TV viewership of an average NFL game, while an Alabama vs. Georgia game draws nearly 80% of the TV viewership typical NFL game.
His conclusion. There are ~25 teams that can draw huge audiences regularly. If they were to be in their own league and marketed as a super league, they could make $100M+ more annually. It's not NFL money but a ratio more akin to the audience they generate. As far as records go, teams would lose more, just like NFL teams do. But ultimately would be judged by their ability to make and have success in the playoffs.
Yeah, here's the thing for me. I'm a Duke fan.
If Duke isn't invited to the party and has no path forward I'm a LOT less interested in college sport.
I'll still root and wish them well. But, I that point, I have no reason to continue to watch.
I'll watch the ACC CFP games and the bulk of the ACC bowl games. But otherwise, I have no interest in feeding the beast.
And at the end of the day, the only thing I can control here is what sports I consume.
I'm not watching any SEC teams I can easily avoid.