O/U Conf wins @18?

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pokeresq

Member
Given the disastrous showing by the ACC in the "Challenge" is the correct Over/Under number of ACC wins for Duke 18, 19 or 20? For your calculations, Torvik has us favored in all of our 20 ACC games, all but 5 by double digits, with the smallest being 4.9 at the CHeats. Torvik predicts an 18-2 record in conference.

I tried to see if there were O/U numbers posted at sportsbooks, and while Duke is the favorite win both National and Conference, I did not see a conference win prop at eith DK or MGM. Interesstingly, Cooper is not listed among the players to bet as Wooden winner, perhaps because (you may not have heard) He Is Only 17, and they do not want to have bets on minors.

Not trying to step on the toes of the DBR Pod prediction game, but after the past two days, I might take the Over at 18.
 
1 severe injury to a starter could put this team bubble-out with the remaining schedule. Other teams, such as UNC, may rally later in the season once their schedule softens. (We've seen this MO under Davis a couple times.)

Duke has done the minimum it needs non-conference against the P5 for a decent NCAA seed even though I want blood for the loss to IL a couple years ago. The corresponding ACC component for Duke is probably 16 wins as of today. The next game is Louisville, and I hope we are catching them at the right time.
 
The unbalanced schedule obviously had an impact. While no doubt unpopular with some, the CHeats and their fake class "students" made our schedule tougher and allowed them an advantage. Also, for much of the time there was the Swofford effect where refs knew any calls they made would be evaluated thru Sissy Blue (HT Coach O) lenses when assignments were made. When K shifted more toward OAD, our teams were going to be less prepared early and take some losses. Finally, if the focus is on being better in March, some chances will be taken on lineup changes.
 
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