I don't think any team can be truly counted out, because injuries always happen and a major trade could shake things up, but I don't see a single western conference series where the Lakers have the best player. Or even 2 of a the best 5 players. Lebron is turning 40 this year, he and AD are both huge injury risks, and you're way too low on OKC. They are ridiculously stacked now with the addition of Caruso. They also still have 30 picks over the next 4 drafts to trade for the right superstar, whoever becomes available.
Dallas will improve, their core is young, and Lively should be set to become THE dominant defensive center in the NBA over the next 5 years. His potential is amazing, and any shooting he can add to his game would exponentially improve that team. Wembanyama is going to be the best player in the NBA in the next 2 years. I don't think that's hyperbole one bit. Jokic is probably the best until that happens, and Denver should be as good as ever, provided they can extend KCP. I'm also skeptical of any team with Gobert, but AE is going to be one the top 5 players in the league next season, and you can't count him out. That's a lot of young teams who are going to get better. Young teams have less injury issues, and I just don't trust AD and Lebron to stay healthy enough to make any noise in the postseason. The Lakers rely much too heavily on them.