Duke Women’s Soccer 2025
- Thread starter King of Defense
- Start date
Phredd3
Member
Our game this weekend is @VaTech, then we close out the season v.Syracuse, @NCState, and v.Clemson. While winning out probably gets us into the 6-team ACC tourney, it's not a sure thing. There's really no room for mistakes left. Not making the ACC tourney will very much hurt our seeding in the NCAAs. We've got our work cut out for us here in the best conference in the country.
UrinalCake
Member
I didn't get to watch tonight's game but the box score suggests a very similar game script as UNC. Happy to get the W.
60 seconds later Saunacheva makes it
2-0…great solo run…BUT….the VT keeper gets caught in no man’s land. Either keep coming or stay back but whatever you do, you can’t stop there. FWIW, whoever is writing this drivel on Twitter from Duke SID needs to take a deep breath, neither pass was superb …short goal kick flicked ahead by Oliaro. Great effort by Julia though
2-0…great solo run…BUT….the VT keeper gets caught in no man’s land. Either keep coming or stay back but whatever you do, you can’t stop there. FWIW, whoever is writing this drivel on Twitter from Duke SID needs to take a deep breath, neither pass was superb …short goal kick flicked ahead by Oliaro. Great effort by Julia though
With roughly 10 minutes left, VT gets on the board with a nice shot from distance from Natalie Mitchell. That said, Daya King with a rare blunder losing a challenge she typically wins. Not helped by the fact that Dysart is 6 yards off her line for absolutely no reason and surrenders a goal she would have had an opportunity to save if she is positioned properly. Ugly all around there
King of Defense
Member
Agreed on all counts on these goals -- superb solo effort on the second, weak goalkeeping on the third. Good team effort on the first, as you'd expect from players of that quality.
RPI through Friday's games:
1. Notre Dame (Duke L)
2. Virginia (Duke L)
3. TCU (someone from my high school plays there, though she's not getting much time as a freshman)
4. Stanford
5. Tennessee
6. Baylor
7. West Virginia
8. DUKE
9. Colorado
10. Florida State
...
12. Arkansas (Duke W)
15. Louisville
18. North Carolina (Duke W)
23. Clemson
25. Wake Forest (Duke L)
26. Penn State (Duke W)
31. Alabama (Duke T)
33. Northwestern (Duke W)
51. California
53. SMU
66. Pitt (Duke W)
90. Syracuse
91. Miami (Duke W)
94. NC State
95. Virginia Tech
150. BC
Other Duke wins: Creighton, VMI
Remaining Duke games: vs. Syracuse, at NC State, vs. Clemson
If Duke wins out, they're 7-3. They won't catch Notre Dame or Stanford.
Is it two points for a win or three? If it's two, Duke's at a disadvantage and would max out at 14 points. If it's three, Duke will easily make it by winning out.
The teams they can catch and their remaining games:
Cal 4-1-4 (after draw with FSU today): vs. Stanford
Virginia 4-1-2: vs. FSU, vs. Pitt, vs. BC
NC State 4-1-2: vs. Louisville, vs. Duke, at UNC
Louisville 4-2-2: at NC State, vs. FSU
Florida State 4-2-2 (after draw with Cal today): at UVA, vs. Wake
Max points under a 2-1-0 system
FSU 17
UVA 16
NCSU 16
Cal 14
Louisville 14
Duke 14
*If NC State gets 16, it's a moot point because they'll have beaten Duke. But if Duke beats NC State, the Blue Devils must finish ahead of either NC State or Louisville because they play each other.
** If UVA gets 16 (or 15), then Louisville finishes behind Duke.
So under a 2-1-0, Duke's chances of making the ACC Tournament by winning out are very good.
Under a 3-1-0, they're even better:
Max points:
UVA 23
NC State 23
Louisville 20
Florida State 20
Cal 19
Duke 21
Again, Duke would have to beat NC State to make this happen, which means NC State would max out at 20, and Duke would be no worse than fourth.
Phredd3
Member
It's three, just like pretty much all soccer everywhere.
King of Defense
Member
That's what I figured, though the NCAA does a lot of "unique" things.
There's a new report on next steps for college soccer that I need to read and process soon.
King of Defense
Member
So to simplify my scenarios ...
If Duke wins out, they have seven wins (21 points), and they'll guarantee that NC State doesn't (best case: 6-2-2, 20 points). Neither can Cal (best case: 5-1-4, 19 points). Neither can Louisville or Florida State (best case: 6-2-2, 20 points). Carolina could.
If Duke ties State, they max out at 19 points and will be much more nervous. But it'll help that State also plays Louisville and Carolina, and Virginia has yet to play Florida State.
Even a Duke loss at State isn't catastrophic IF they win out and get some help (perhaps from State).
Getting less than two wins from these last three, though, would surely keep them out of the Big Six.