Thanks for the heads up.
Jeff Borzello posted the details: AJ Dybantsa will announce this decision -- Alabama, BYU, Kansas, or UNC -- Tuesday morning at 10:30am ET, live on ESPN's TV show "First Take". (If you want to watch, here's a
streaming link.)
I'm being told that Dybantsa will offer a few talking points justifying his decision, and Stephen A. Smith will respond with a series of carefully prepared screaming points.
I agree with both of you. The buzz -- defined as probable paywall material carelessly revealed by other sources -- is that it's probably down to BYU (the steady leader) or Alabama (the late riser). I'd hesitate to rule out the other two options, though. Back in October, Eli Henderson, who covers the NIL beat for Sports Illustrated,
wrote that Kansas was backing off a bit:
As enticing as it sounds to land a generational talent like Dybantsa, there’s a catch. High NIL valuations create a dynamic that’s forcing traditional basketball powerhouses to think twice. Traditional Powerhouses like the Kansas Jayhawks, which initially pursued Dybantsa, appear to be opting out of this bidding war, instead focusing on other top players with a lower NIL price tag. This isn’t about Kansas being cheap; it’s about long-term strategy. With the average NIL compensation for top-tier players in the transfer portal estimated at around $750,000, allocating $4 million to one high school recruit could have major repercussions on a program’s ability to build a complete, competitive roster.
Then again, Kansas later made Dybantsa's top 4, and we are talking about Bill Self, the one coach who can afford to change his mind and give all of his players $4 million.
As for UNC, I can never rule out one of their annoying comebacks, and further proof that we're living in the worst timeline. Brains would explode with a one-year Boozer vs. Dybantsa takeover of the Duke-Carolina rivalry. One of the reasons that I'm rooting for the football team to hire Bill Belichick is that it would financially wreck a basketball program that's already kind of on NIL life support.