Furniture
Member
I can’t tell if it’s a good omen or bad that Election Day is also Guy Fawkes Day.
It’s really called Bonfire Night in the UK. Let’s hope not here….
I can’t tell if it’s a good omen or bad that Election Day is also Guy Fawkes Day.
I'm curious, BD, is it because you think Trump did not promise that to him, will renege on the promise, or some other reason? Or is it just because you don't think Trump will win?
Registered Democrats account for about 58 percent of votes cast by seniors, compared to 35 percent for Republicans, Politico reported on Thursday...Trump won more support from the over-65s in both the 2020 and 2016 elections nationally. The former president got around 53 percent of the senior vote in Pennsylvania at the 2020 election while still losing the state to Joe Biden...Politico also reported on Tuesday that women are outpacing men in early voting in another potential warning sign for Trump...There is at least a 10-point gap in favor women in the early vote in the Pennsylvania
Women registered as Democrats in Pennsylvania also make up nearly a third of early votes from people who did not vote in the 2020 election.
I don’t think you are correct. The Act is full of “shall” and provides a method for judicial review.He did mention the Electoral Count Reform Act, mainly in noting that its primary applicability here would be to fast track judicial proceedings. I don't recall, but don't think it attached any criminal liability for just basic shenanigans, like a governor baselessly claiming massive election fraud and refusing to sign a certificate of ascertainment. That's all it could take to prevent electors from being properly appointed by a state, I think. They can't just show up in Washington and cast Electoral Votes if they haven't been formally named by their state's governor.
Because he quickly running out of people that were able to get Senate approval. That's why in his last year he was surrounded by "acting" officers.It seemed like the people who had the most influence on Trump in his last term were not cabinet members but others. So similarly, Kennedy doesn't need a cabinet position to get power. That being said, there is a part of me that thinks Trump is using Kennedy to win the votes of Kennedy's supporters then once Trump is in office he will forget about him. And I think this is the thinking of at least some others who think that Kennedy is wacko but they otherwise support Trump.
Silver has maintained his prediction that Trump will overtake Harris, 55 percent and 45 percent respectively, to return to the White House.
Nate's become pretty insufferable on Twitter. I for one wouldn't mind if the spotlight turned from him beginning next week.If Harris wins, will this be the end for guru Nate Silver?
More importantly, will this be enough to sway the election to Harris? (people wishing to hear no more from him)
Nate Silver: ‘Cheating’ Pollsters Are Putting ‘Finger on the Scale’
He was “more” right in 2016 than anyone else. What’s his hypothesis now? I’ve heard that polling groups with bias are flooding the market on both sides, though more on the R side. The current state of affairs or polling does not seem unreasonable given recent history.If Harris wins, will this be the end for guru Nate Silver?
More importantly, will this be enough to sway the election to Harris? (people wishing to hear no more from him)
Nate Silver: ‘Cheating’ Pollsters Are Putting ‘Finger on the Scale’
Nate's become pretty insufferable on Twitter. I for one wouldn't mind if the spotlight turned from him beginning next week.
I do wonder if it is the end of polling. I don't think anyone believes it anymore.
I saw that earlier, and regardless of the winner, that 55-45 number is absolutely insane.If Harris wins, will this be the end for guru Nate Silver?
More importantly, will this be enough to sway the election to Harris? (people wishing to hear no more from him)
Nate Silver: ‘Cheating’ Pollsters Are Putting ‘Finger on the Scale’
I feel like I know this person but a comically less significant level. Same mindset though. What an autocorrect lumb bittle ditch.
Yeah, I don't think this is driving turnout in the direction he thinks.
That would get her to 276. She is pretty likely to take the 1 Nebraska vote from the Omaha congressional district making Nevada unnecessary to her if she takes the PA/MI/WI trio.I’ve maintained that I think Harris’s only real path to victory is to win the three Blue Wall states up north and Nevada. I think that gets her right to 270.
Yep, my bad. The 3 up north plus the Nebraska district. And I’m glad because that might be all she gets. I’m not even certain Nevada will swing her way.That would get her to 276. She is pretty likely to take the 1 Nebraska vote from the Omaha congressional district making Nevada unnecessary to her if she takes the PA/MI/WI trio.