Duke WBB plays at Virginia on Sunday 1/12 at 12pm ET on ACCN (
streaming link,
listen,
live stats)
After some cold shooting in Chapel Hill, the #14 Blue Devils face a literal cold spell this weekend as they travel to Charlottesville to play against the Virginia Cavaliers. The game takes place at noon on Sunday, and will be televised on the ACC Network. The venue is the 14,500-seat
John Paul Jones Arena, which is named after neither the Led Zeppelin bassist nor the Continental Navy officer who may or may not have said "I have not yet begun to fight!" (This John Paul Jones is the father of an alumnus and benefactor who donated money to build the arena.)
Head coach Amaka Agugua-Hamilton is in her third season at UVA, and her team is 10-6 (2-2 ACC) thus far, with losses to top 10 teams Notre Dame and Oklahoma by more than 40 points. The Cavs' best wins have come in their two most recent games: a 23-point home win against Wake Forest and a 7-point road win at Clemson (67-60:
recap,
box score,
highlights,
full replay).
Back in September, on the second page of this thread, I made a
list of every frontcourt player in the ACC taller than 6-2, and it looked like Virginia had the most size. Bart Torvik has a
Team Charts 2025 page that supports this theory at a national level. Unfortunately, he doesn't list the numbers in a table, but he does allow you to create a graph using a number of variables, which include Average Height (for the whole team) and Effective Height (at the 4 and 5 positions).
Set the team as "All", the x-axis as "Effective Height", and the y-axis as "Average Height", and you'll find the following graph of 362 plotted plots, one for each Division I team, and Virginia is near the top right:
I can tell they are 3rd nationally in Effective Height -- behind Kentucky and UCLA -- and about 15th in Average Height. The Cavaliers are also standing tall financially, thanks to a different alumnus and benefactor -- Alexis Ohanian, Reddit co-founder and husband of Serena Williams. He recently gave a multi-year
"transformational gift" to the women's basketball team. Here he is with Coach Hamilton after the season opener:
(source)
Wait a minute. So when people say that a player is "chasing a bag" of NIL money, is this the bag they're talking about?
Here's a player breakdown of the Cavaliers
roster. Only 11 of the 14 players are available, and Coach Hamilton has them all playing between 10-35 minutes per game.
PROBABLE STARTERS
5-7 sophomore guard
Kymora Johnson #21 (18.4 pts, 5.6 reb, 5.0 ast, 1.8 stl)
6-4 senior forward
Latasha Lattimore #35 (12.2 pts, 8.9 reb, 1.0 ast, 1.6 blk)
6-2 sophomore guard
Olivia McGhee #0 (9.9 pts, 2.7 reb, 1.3 ast, 1.1 stl)
5-8 junior guard
Paris Clark #1 (8.2 pts, 4.9 reb, 2.9 ast, 2.3 stl)
6-3 sophomore forward
Edessa Noyan #8 (5.2 pts, 4.1 reb, 0.6 ast)
TOP RESERVES
6-2 freshman forward
Breona Hurd #32 (9.8 pts, 5.9 reb, 1.5 ast, 1.1 stl)
5-8 junior guard
Yonta Vaughn #5 (7.4 pts, 2.6 reb, 4.2 ast, 1.3 stl)
6-7 grad center
Taylor Lauterbach #41 (4.1 pts, 4.1 reb, 0.8 ast, 1.4 blk)
5-9 grad guard
Casey Valenti-Paea #10 (2.4 pts, 1.6 reb, 0.8 ast)
6-4 sophomore forward
RyLee Grays #2 (2.2 pts, 3.1 reb, 0.1 ast)
5-11 freshman guard
Payton Dunbar #23 (2.6 pts, 1.2 reb, 0.7 ast)
INJURED/OTHER
5-11 senior guard
Jillian Brown #4 -- out for season; knee injury in May
6-7 sophomore center
Hawa Doumbouya #7 -- redshirting
5-9 freshman guard
Kamryn Kitchen #12 -- redshirting
Kymora Johnson is at the high end of that minutes distribution with 34.9 minutes per game, 2nd most in the conference, and she's putting up an average stat line of almost 18-5-5-2, which might make her the most versatile ACC guard who isn't in Notre Dame's backcourt. Latasha Lattimore played a total of 36 games in her sophomore and junior seasons at Miami, but has yet to face Duke. She ranks 6th in the ACC in rebounds and 4th in blocks. Both Johnson and Lattimore are, however, tied with 52 turnovers each, the 5th highest figure for any player in the league.
Bart Torvik kept Duke T-ranked at #11, but he may have been swayed by Thursday's loss to UNC; his
prediction of Duke beating UVA went from 82-64 a few days ago to 79-62 now. Team stats show that UVA ranks highly in both rebounds (25th) and blocked shots (20th). That's tallness in action. A comparison table, with stats from
Sports Reference and elsewhere:
Category | Virginia (10-6, 2-2 ACC) | Duke (12-4, 3-1 ACC) |
Points Scored | 71.6 (90th nationally) | 78.1 (38th) |
Points Allowed | 64.1 (181st) | 61.4 (134th) |
Scoring Margin (NCAA.com) | 7.5 (112th) | 16.7 (41st) |
Bench Points (NCAA.com) | 19.9 (155th) | 33.1 (8th) |
Total Rebounds | 42.6 (25th) | 40.5 (53rd) |
--- Offensive Rebounds | 13.4 (83rd) | 15.0 (30th) |
--- Defensive Rebounds | 29.2 (19th) | 25.5 (151st) |
Assists | 15.4 (82nd) | 17.3 (29th) |
Assist/Turnover Ratio (NCAA.com) | 0.87 (143rd) | 1.05 (62nd) |
Steals | 8.7 (148th) | 11.5 (32nd) |
Blocks | 5.1 (20th) | 4.4 (42nd) |
Turnovers | 17.7 (242nd fewest) | 16.4 (168th fewest) |
Personal Fouls | 15.6 (107th fewest) | 17.8 (247th fewest) |
Field Goal Percentage | 41.5% (164th) | 46.4% (29th) |
2-Point FG Percentage | 47.9% (130th) | 49.9% (85th) |
3-Point FG Percentage | 30.9% (179th) | 36.7% (27th) |
Free Throw Percentage | 71.5% (154th) | 64.3% (320th) |
NET Ranking (NCAA.com) | #101 | #10 |
--- Strength of Schedule | 116th | 3rd |
--- Quad 1 record | 0-2 | 3-3 |
--- Quad 2 record | 1-1 | 2-1 |
--- Quad 3 record | 0-2 | 3-0 |
--- Quad 4 record | 9-1 | 4-0 |
T-Rank (Bart Torvik) | #93 (T-Page) | #11 (T-Page) |
In October, the NCAA published a
PDF file of frequently asked questions for the NET in women's basketball. Quadrants are defined on page 4:
Quadrant 1: Home 1-25, Neutral 1-35, Away 1-45
Quadrant 2: Home 26-55, Neutral 36-65, Away 46-80
Quadrant 3: Home 56-90, Neutral 66-105, Away 81-130
Quadrant 4: Home 91-362, Neutral 106-362, Away 131-362