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  1. M

    2024 Presidential Election -- new thread for the final week

    Totally off topic, but wow, didn't realize VCU had hit that demographic tipping point. I've heard the same thing's happened at Tulane and has led to some problems.
  2. M

    2024 Presidential Election -- new thread for the final week

    I think reading anything into anything based on line length, random interviews with voters who are comfortable disclosing who they voted for on camera for all the world to see, the composition of people at various precincts, exit polling, people saying "I was voter #___ this year at __:___...
  3. M

    2024 Presidential Election -- new thread for the final week

    Dang! Well played. Beat me to it. Gotta start hitting the refresh button faster/more consistently.
  4. M

    2024 Presidential Election -- new thread for the final week

    Alright, time to put some real money on the table: how many total votes for President of the United States will be cast in 2024? Recent past numbers: 2008 - 131M; 2012 - 129M; 2016 - 137M; 2020 - 158M. I'm going with a whopping 172 million votes. About a 10% increase from 2020. Both...
  5. M

    2024 Presidential Election -- new thread for the final week

    I get the sense that some of these people are just trying to get on the gravy train that the Nates, Silver and Cohn, established for election prognosticators. Ergo, bold/reckless calls like Bouzy's, although for him it's probably just a low stakes bet, trying to increase his influencer reach...
  6. M

    2024 Presidential Election -- new thread for the final week

    Gloom and rain all day in much of Wisconsin, though drier in the SE corner of the state, where both Madison and Milwaukee sit, than up North.
  7. M

    2024 Presidential Election -- new thread for the final week

    Amazing story. Madden's or Grand View Lodge?
  8. M

    2024 Presidential Election -- new thread for the final week

    I will never underestimate the capacity of Trump campaign-financed attorneys to create specious, fantastical, and occasionally just clever enough for someone like Aileen Cannon or Sam Alito to grab onto legal arguments, regardless of how tight legislation might be written. In any event, I'm...
  9. M

    2024 Presidential Election -- new thread for the final week

    He did mention the Electoral Count Reform Act, mainly in noting that its primary applicability here would be to fast track judicial proceedings. I don't recall, but don't think it attached any criminal liability for just basic shenanigans, like a governor baselessly claiming massive election...
  10. M

    2024 Presidential Election -- new thread for the final week

    Some final swing state Marist polls out yesterday. Harris gains/maintains slight (within m.o.e.) lead in each of PA (50-48), WI (50-48) and MI (51-48), gaining a point or two in the first two since their September poll, dropping one point of lead in Michigan. The note of interest, to me at...
  11. M

    2024 Presidential Election -- new thread for the final week

    Alright, alright, guilty as charged! Replace with "the AG and FBI could probably intervene to de-escalate."
  12. M

    2024 Presidential Election -- new thread for the final week

    Elie Mystal had a piece a day or two ago outlining what the "little secret" Trump and Johnson have been tittering about might be, in terms of a potential plan to soft coup his way back to the White House even if Harris wins in the actual voting. In broad terms, it goes like this: 1. Sow...
  13. M

    2024 MLB Discussion

    Yes, but have you seen Anthony Rizzo run? Only sort of kidding. In the video replay, Rizzo does end up trying to get there after he realizes Cole's not coming, but it's too late and not even close. Betts was already at full speed at the time of those screengrabs, and it probably takes Rizzo...
  14. M

    Our Duke college tour is November 5th (yes election day). Tell me what to expect.

    It's right there, yes. Again, Stone Age perspective, so may not be relevant today, but in my day students tended to spend more time on 9th Street after freshman year, after we'd moved off of East. We also, for what it's worth, spent more time in the Brightleaf Square area (primarily at...
  15. M

    Our Duke college tour is November 5th (yes election day). Tell me what to expect.

    I have one more (disappointed/annoyed) perspective to add here. Not directly Duke related, but might give HoKogan a few lines of inquiry to pursue on their visit. A lot of schools, in our era of squeezing out every possible drop of revenue from their undergraduate students, have started...
  16. M

    2024 Presidential Election -- new thread for the final week

    Don't get me started! I feel like the Birch Bayh of this board sometimes, Chicken Littling about structural decay in our democracy, but this imbalance, along with the Electoral College, the filibuster, and gerrymandering, are serious problems that ensure and exacerbate dysfunctionality. Of...
  17. M

    2024 Presidential Election -- new thread for the final week

    Good points. The order in which some of the swing states are called can matter, too. In 2020, even though it took days to finish up in Pennsylvania, at 3:00 A.M. after Election Day when Arizona was called (everywhere other than Fox, if memory serves, where there was a whole kerfuffle), the...
  18. M

    2024 Presidential Election -- new thread for the final week

    Good point. The timing is, at best, unfortunate for Bezos's arguments, as well. I assume the world would have been a lot more open to him or the WaPo announcing back in June that it would not be endorsing for this election and going forward. Having this all come to light through spiking an...
  19. M

    2024 Presidential Election -- new thread for the final week

    Given the internet humor about the Cubs breaking their curse to win the World Series in 2016 somehow portending the election results that year (some even joking that it shifted us into an alternate timeline that shared a lot of similarities with Back to The Future Part II), it would be pretty...
  20. M

    NCAA Football 2024 (national discussion)

    Have worked on many student housing jv's everywhere from Blacksburg to Fresno (dm me if you ever need new counsel ;)). That's why I was backing your general point. Would note, however, that I think most use "commuter school" as a descriptor applied to functional atmosphere of a university, not...
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