There are no ABA or AALS-approved law schools located within Alaska. Duke recognized the opportunity and created the Alaska Law Review with the Alaska bar. I wonder how many ALR staff have been to Alaska?
GOP holds the House
Dems win the House by less than 12 seats
Dems win the House by 12-25 seats
Dems win the House by 25-38 seats
Dems win the House by 38+ seats
GOP gains 1 or more seats in the Senate (52-48 or more)
GOP holds the same number of seats in the Senate (51-49)
GOP loses seats but still holds the Senate (50-50 with Pence breaking tie)
Dems win the Senate (49-51 or more)
Each situation is different, and each jurisdiction has different laws regarding residency. If I recall, Hillary's residency in NY was questionable prior to her senate run. She has kept NY as her primary residence ever since, though.
On a more local level, Rahm Emanuel went through a lot of legal hoops before he ran for mayor of Chicago. He had very close ties to the city but prior to his run, he had been living in DC while working for Obama. I believe he still had a home in Chicago but was renting it out and the law was that Chicago had to have been his primary residence for a year prior to election. The courts went back and forth on this but ultimately he was allowed to run. Personally, I think this was a no-brainer in his favor as his most recent primary residence was Chicago and he had only moved to serve in the federal government. Also, the nature of the position he was running for meant that he was going to end up living there - he wasn't going to be mayor and commute from DC.
There are no ABA or AALS-approved law schools located within Alaska. Duke recognized the opportunity and created the Alaska Law Review with the Alaska bar. I wonder how many ALR staff have been to Alaska?
So some polls just came out. I hate polls. For example, this Mason-Dixon poll telephoned 625 people in Florida. I could tell you just as much by walking down my street. So with a grain of salt...
DeSantis leads Putnam by 41-29 with 28% undecided. Word is it's the Trump effect, and he will be stumping for DeSantis in Tampa this week. There's actually 6 other people in the race, which I didn't even know. For good reason, all you math wizards will note collectively they're getting 2%. Interesting side note...17% are not aware of DeSantis and he's the big leader. Stupid poll, I feel a little dirty even sharing it. Or stupid people, the poll was of likely voters and they don't even know their candidates.
For the Ds, the leader in the 5-way race has just 27%, with 25% undecided. I think she (daughter of a very popular Florida politician) will win, but she shouldn't feel very comfortable one month from the primary.
In the Senate race, 3-term incumbent D Bill Nelson leads term-limited governor R Rick Scott 45-44 with 11% undecided. (That's from February, but nobody's moving the needle much)
Not mid-term news, but an interesting preview into 2020... Eric Holder is interested in potentially running for the top job.
Eric Holder says he's interested in being President
https://www.cnn.com/2018/07/28/polit...ent/index.html
I'm interested in being President as well...that doesn't mean I actually have a chance. Although, to be honest, I'd make a much better Supreme Dictator or Emperor than I would President
This strike me as a story for a slow news day...that's good I guess.
Okay, this accusation takes the cake for me:
https://twitter.com/lesliecockburn/s...434959362?s=21
Virginia congressional race
The actual Presidential thread will probably have to be started soon after the mid-terms anyways. It just seems like these Presidential cycles begin earlier and earlier, and I wouldn't be surprised if a few big names announce their candidacies before the year is out.
Yep. Somewhere around Jan/Feb of 2019, things get heated up once the new congress is in their seats. I suspect how the mid-terms play out will have a big effect. I doubt very much that Trump actually gets any challengers, barring a Mueller shakeup or unforeseen scandal, which is a bit of a surprise to me. I didn't expect the acceptance of President Trump by the GOP to the extent that it is. However, if the republicans get shellacked in the mid-terms, it will be interesting, since that would be viewed as a referendum on his presidency.
For now, that is a HUGE "if".
Q "Why do you like Duke, you didn't even go there." A "Because my art school didn't have a basketball team."
I think Trump will get at least one challenger -- someone like a John Kasich or Jeff Flake -- for two reasons. First: there are some Republicans that want to "take back their party" even though as you say the base of the party has bought into Trump full throat. Second: there is always the chance that Trump either may withdraw his name from consideration or have it removed by impeachment before the Charlotte GOP Convention in the summer of '20, and someone will want to be there in case of a convenient opening.
(A note that I assume is obvious but will add: I am neither advocating nor denigrating whether removal by impeachment should happen. It certainly is in the realm of possibility, though, until we see (a) how the House and Senate look after the mid-terms; (b) what Mueller does or does not ultimately find; and (c) what happens between now and then in this twitter-quick world of ours).
I also think there may be several celebrity (actor, singer, sports person) candidates this time around. Trump obviously was a celebrity who had no prior experience before becoming President. I have to imagine there are tons of celebrities (most of whom are D-leaning) who think they're smarter than Trump and can do the same. It's possible a few may even have a hero complex and think they're just the right person to save the country. (Whether they are correct in these assessments or not, I don't know, but I can easily imagine them thinking that way.)
Michael Avenatti has already stated that he may run "if the right candidate" does not do so. He has also been pretty open in tweeting that an outsider should be nominated, because Trump dusted all of the conventional politicians in his wake last time around.
I would not be surprised to see someone from Hollywood run, either. (Schwarzenegger likely would have run as a R in the past if not precluded by the Constitution.)
I'm still weighing my options, FWIW. "Tan, rested and ready -- OPK in twenty twent-ay"