Oh wow, i didn't mean to besmirch Tatum in my poll options. Please ignore.
Cleveland, because Lebron
Golden State, because Quinn
Both teams are the same boat. Cavs and Golden State are heading home facing an elimination game, and need to win two to stay alive. I'd suggest both have a pretty good shot of winning the next game, but which team has the BEST chance to win two and advance to the Finals?
Let's go Duke!
Oh wow, i didn't mean to besmirch Tatum in my poll options. Please ignore.
I have it like this.
75% (Cavs win Game 6) x 45% (Cavs win Game 7) = 33.75% chance of Cavs in the Finals
90% (GSW wins Game 6) x 60% (GSW wins Game 7) = 54% chance of GSW in the Finals
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Why are you wasting time here when you could be wasting it by listening to the latest episode of the DBR Podcast?
That's pretty darn close to what I'd say too. Both series are HEAVILY likely to go to Game 7. I think the GSW/Hou Game 7 in Houston would be a toss-up (unless Paul is out with a hammy injury, then I'd favor GSW more), whereas I think Boston should be a relatively comfy favorite in their Game 7 since none of those games in Boston have been close.
Assuming Paul is healthy, my numbers would look something like:
GSW: 85-90% game 6, 50% game 7 (42.5-45% chance of winning)
Cleveland: 90% game 6, 35-40% game 7 (31.5-36% chance of winning)
If Paul is out or limited, I'd put GSW as a >50% chance of making it, with nearly a 100% chance of going to game 7.
But either way, yeah, I'd say GSW is the better pick of those two. Which is crazy, considering how much better Houston is than either Eastern team.
Last edited by CDu; 05-25-2018 at 11:24 AM.
This is very misleading poll. I picked "Cleveland, because LeBron", because if the Cavs reach the finals, it'll 1000% be LeBron's doing.
I agree Golden State is much more likely to reach the finals . . . but it won't be because of Quinn Cook. (Sorry to be the villain.)
Iggy or CP3, which player will be able to go in Game 6 or Game 7? I didn't like the look on CP3's face last night. It looked as if he knew he had hurt his hamstring really bad. I'll take GSW in 7.
I have full confidence in LeBron in Game 6, but the rest of the team can't seem to find its way to the TD Center, so I'll take Boston in 7, despite LeBron's greatness.
How is ‘neither’ not an option ?
I love me some Celtics and I want someone to dethrone the Warriors.
Criticism may not be agreeable, but it is necessary. It fulfils the same function as pain in the human body. It calls attention to an unhealthy state of things. - Winston Churchill
President of the "Nolan Smith Should Have His Jersey in The Rafters" Club
Why are you wasting time here when you could be wasting it by listening to the latest episode of the DBR Podcast?