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  1. #121
    Join Date
    Feb 2016
    Location
    Atlanta
    Somehow I managed to split on 10 bets tonight, so only lost -150 with the vig. Bumped me into negative territory.

    So now I’m 15-15.

    Maybe I’m just really, really mediocre at this.

  2. #122
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Welp, the good news is I'm in 2nd place. The bad news is that the difference between 1st and 2nd is greater than the difference between 2nd and 10th. Excellent start to the season, Fish80!

  3. #123
    My best pick was taking the over on BC VA - because it was absurdly low...

    That said, VT GT barely broke 100 combined, shooting less than 20% from 3 and not much better than that from two. They set basketball back 40 years. This is one of those VT performances that they normally role out for a non conference game so they can embarrass the league. Clemson Cuse was a root canal too.

    Meanwhile, Marquette and Creighton both hit more than 50% from three and score a zillion...

  4. #124
    Join Date
    Feb 2009
    Location
    Wilmington, NC
    When does covers usually release the spreads for Saturday games? I'm eager to even up.

  5. #125
    Join Date
    Feb 2016
    Location
    Atlanta
    Quote Originally Posted by left_hook_lacey View Post
    When does covers usually release the spreads for Saturday games? I'm eager to even up.
    As I prove, even is a loser

  6. #126
    Join Date
    Feb 2009
    Location
    Wilmington, NC
    Quote Originally Posted by BandAlum83 View Post
    As I prove, even is a loser
    Baby steps, I'm -700 right now. 😀

  7. #127
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Quote Originally Posted by left_hook_lacey View Post
    When does covers usually release the spreads for Saturday games? I'm eager to even up.
    Hopefully within the next couple of hours. It's pretty much always in the late evening because the real sportsbooks only release the lines in the early evening around 6pm ET. I wish Covers could release their lines immediately after the real sportsbooks but it's usually the same night after a delay.

  8. #128
    Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Location
    Undisclosed
    Today’s the day where it all evaporates. Should just sit it out, but where is the degeneracy in that?

  9. #129
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Norfolk, VA
    I took Virginia (-6.5) and Duke (-7) to cover. $500 fake dollars on each game. I might place some O/U bets but I'm going to wait a bit and see if the lines move to favor the direction I'm leaning.
    Bob Green

  10. #130
    Quote Originally Posted by Bob Green View Post
    I took Virginia (-6.5) and Duke (-7) to cover. $500 fake dollars on each game. I might place some O/U bets but I'm going to wait a bit and see if the lines move to favor the direction I'm leaning.
    I'm nervous on Duke to cover at the moment...and apparently some others are too...as the line has moved down a tad. Bob's 500 point laying of the points makes me feel a little better about it. I'm thinking this could be something like the TT game...in that one, Duke covered but that looked very unlikely the entire game until the very end.

  11. #131
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Mechanicsburg, PA
    Quote Originally Posted by HereBeforeCoachK View Post
    I'm nervous on Duke to cover at the moment...and apparently some others are too...as the line has moved down a tad. Bob's 500 point laying of the points makes me feel a little better about it. I'm thinking this could be something like the TT game...in that one, Duke covered but that looked very unlikely the entire game until the very end.
    I agree with you but picked Duke to not cover this time - which, based upon my results, likely means the exact opposite will happen...

  12. #132
    Join Date
    Apr 2011
    Location
    Winston’Salem
    Quote Originally Posted by AGDukesky View Post
    I agree with you but picked Duke to not cover this time - which, based upon my results, likely means the exact opposite will happen...
    And we thank you for that.
    "Amazing what a minute can do."

  13. #133
    Quote Originally Posted by AGDukesky View Post
    I agree with you but picked Duke to not cover this time - which, based upon my results, likely means the exact opposite will happen...
    I ended up picking Duke not to cover either....even when the line dropped to 7...and even with Bob's pick of Duke to cover, and Bob certainly has a long long time of honing instincts about Duke in his corner. I asked myself...what are the odds, in your deepest heart, of Duke winning this game. I thought 50-50....that was my most honest self to self assessment. So with a smallish bet, I picked Duke not to cover. And yeah, I'll be thrilled to lose that wager. I'll be pulling to lose that wager. Well, if we're up six with 3 seconds to go, maybe not...but you get the idea.

    Some lousy choices on the big card today.

  14. #134
    Join Date
    Feb 2016
    Location
    Atlanta
    Being the complete degenerate I am, I bet the line and o/u on every game today with bets ranging from 200-500. If I keep to mediocrity and split, my winnings or losses will be determined by how accurate I was with my comfort level for each bet. The 500s went only to my highest confidence level bets.

    All in all, I have 3,700 on the line today. Could be fun. I took Duke to cover 7.5 and the over 157 on our game.

    Plenty of degenerate fun for me today!

  15. #135
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Norfolk, VA
    I was leaning toward taking the Over in the Virginia - Clemson game but didn't pull the trigger. The O/U was 126 the first time I checked this morning then it dropped to 124. I was waiting to see if it would drop again but it bumped back up to 124.5 a couple of minutes before noon.

    Oh well...
    Bob Green

  16. #136
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    St Augustine, FL
    Nuts. I missed the noon games. I put 5 bets down on the later games.

  17. #137
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Norfolk, VA
    Forty eight total points scored in the Virginia - Clemson 1st half. I'm really glad I didn't pull the trigger on the Over. The pace will probably pick up in the 2nd half but the Under looks safe in this one.
    Bob Green

  18. #138
    VT and GT set the game of college BB back 40 years earlier this week...UVa and Clemson trying to set it back more today. (reminder, Creighton and Marquette had 40 between them in OT...Clemson Va 48 in a full half. Sheesh). Guy is 3/5 from the arc....still only 27 at half.

    Yeah, I went over 124...bitter!

  19. #139
    Join Date
    Feb 2016
    Location
    Atlanta
    Quote Originally Posted by Bob Green View Post
    I was leaning toward taking the Over in the Virginia - Clemson game but didn't pull the trigger. The O/U was 126 the first time I checked this morning then it dropped to 124. I was waiting to see if it would drop again but it bumped back up to 124.5 a couple of minutes before noon.

    Oh well...
    I just checked. 3 of my bets didn’t register. The ND game and my over bet on the UVA game. I got lucky on that one, but don’t remember what I tried to do on the ND game. I think ND to cover and the over. Not sure.

  20. #140

    Regression to the mean....

    For both the Cheats and Louisville....
    Cheats awful after great outing in Raleigh.
    Cards great after awful outing at Pitt.

    I normally bet this way...I was dumb this weekend.

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