The number of cases (all numbers are seven-day averages per Worldometer) is rising -- up ten percent over the past seven days. The number of deaths is still declining week-over-week, but has been around 1,000 per day five days in a row (988 as of yesterday).
I suppose, with vaccinations of the most vulnerable, cases could rise and deaths could continue to fall. But we may be approaching a point of inflection that could go either way on new cases and deaths.
Sage Grouse
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'When I got on the bus for my first road game at Duke, I saw that every player was carrying textbooks or laptops. I coached in the SEC for 25 years, and I had never seen that before, not even once.' - David Cutcliffe to Duke alumni in Washington, DC, June 2013
Yep, this will be the first test of the vaccine. We've now fully vaccinated almost 50% of the over-65 population and over 70% have gotten at least 1 dose. so we should in theory start to see a bit of divergence between mortality and incidence (with mortality lagging incidence by 2-3 weeks of course).
Hopefully the deaths continue to decline, but we'll see.
Is it time to focus on hospitalization or mortality rates rather than infection rates in countries with decent vaccine penetration?
-jk
^ we bought tulips! many tulips!
if you can't visit KK in a pandemic year, when can you? we need us our happy food...
SonPK got his first shot this morning, took him to Chic-fil-A drive-thru for breakfast and then a six mile hike. All good in the neighborhood.
A neighbor of my parents was there at Bataan.
Baby of Bataan.jpg
Brazil is nearing 4000 deaths daily. Just horrible. Duke professor quoted in article: https://apnews.com/article/brazil-ri...916616796b6e60