Originally Posted by
dkbaseball
Maybe someone can explain a scene at the beginning of the movie to the math-challenged, i.e., me -- the scene where the lead character demonstrates to Kevin Spacey what a whiz he is. It's been three weeks since I saw it, so I'm a little spacey in my recollection. Anyway, as I recall: Spacey asks him to choose one of three boxes he has drawn on the board, and he picks box A. Then Spacey eliminates box C as a possibility, and asks him if he still wants to select box A. He changes his answer to box B, and Spacey says this is the correct move, explaining that when there were three boxes he had a 33 percent chance of being right, but after box C had been eliminated, some sort of process -- forget what he called it -- determined that there was now a 67 percent chance that box B was the right answer.
I'm just not getting this. Once C has been eliminated, why is there not then a 50 percent chance for both A and B?
Just read more carefully. I guess I don't know what the Monty Hall problem is.