I used to be able to find the odds a little earlier using Bloomberg, but I don't have access to that anymore. Most of the sites don't post them much in advance.
I just went to Vegas.com (then ran multiple Google searches ) to find the spread on the game Saturday.
All I got was a listing reading, "Points spreads have yet to be listed."
Just looking for insight here from posters who are more in the know on Vegas, gambling and other activities (legal or illegal) than me, EarlJam.
When do they usually post point spreads? Has anyone heard such info for Saturday's game?
My guess is that UNC would be a 4-5 point favorite.
-EarlJam
I used to be able to find the odds a little earlier using Bloomberg, but I don't have access to that anymore. Most of the sites don't post them much in advance.
usatoday.com usually has the spreads listed somewhere on the sports page. I can't access the site at work to provide a link.
Vegas point spreads frequently open within a point or two of the Sagarin Predictor ratings found here with 4 points factored in for home court advantage.
Sagarin predictor has UNC at 94.16 and Duke at 93.92 for a difference of .24 points. Add in the 4.02 points for home court in favor of Duke and this method gives Duke a 3.78 point advantage.
My guess is Duke by 2 when the line comes out.
Yeah, Duke will be the favorite. And it'll be around 3.5.
Score 91-85
Hi,
I'd expect UNC to be a 2 pt. favorite.
Best regards,
Jeffrey
I can guarantee that line will change the closer we get to game time. Most every writer and announcer I've heard from thinks UNC is the better team, has more to play for (where they get that I don't know, seems to me both teams are playing for almost the exact same thing.) and few are convinced with Duke's obvious match up problems with Hansbrough. Betters will place MUCH more money on UNC to win and / or beat the spread. By game day to even things out odds makers will have UNC a slight to 5 or 6 point favorite to get more people betting on Duke.
For what it's worth my dad used to say he aught to bet $50 on UNC every Duke vs. UNC game. If Duke won he didn't mind losing the money and if UNC won at least he got paid.
UNC as 5 or 6 point favorites? No chance. UNC will neither start out as the favorite nor end as the favorite.
I don't mean to be too argumentative since playing guess-the-spread is obviously a petty issue, but I know of no gambler that would predict UNC to be a favorite in this game. And it has nothing to do with whether I personally think Duke will win or not (although I DO happen to think Duke will win), and when the oddsmakers release the line, it will also not reflect whether THEY think Duke will win or not. Oddsmakers are just trying to balance the money, and there is no chance that THAT much money will flow towards UNC such that they become favorites.
I foresee the line starting out Duke -3.5, ending around Duke -2, with almost 0% chance of UNC ending up as the favorite. Remember, Duke is an extremely public team (same with UNC), and people respect Cameron Indoor. Any line with UNC as the favorite will have too much money coming in on Duke.
Methinks, unfortunately, I was going with my "fears" when I thought UNC to be a 5-6 point favorite.
I'm just scared, that's all.
-EarlJam
Duke is a 2 point favorite and the over/under is 163:
http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-...dds/las-vegas/
I could care less about covering the spread, a one point victory would be great!
Bob Green
I'm a little late, but as I was reading the thread I was thinking I would take whichever team they were going to give me points for. I think it is a toss-up...I'll take the points. I don't know anything about point spreads or gambling, but I would have assumed the #1 team in the nation would be the favorite in most people's minds. I'm surprised duke is a favorite by 2 points.
It was interesting that home court was worth 4 points in general. Curious what it is in other sports.
Most sites don't put spreads up until the day of the game. And given UNC's "abundance" of injuries, I wouldn't expect most sites to have them up until tomorrow.
As much as common knowledge would say Duke would be the favorite, Duke was a 4 point underdog in Chapel Hill without Lawson. Given that UNC is now #1 in the nation and has added Lawson back into the rotation, I wouldn't expect Duke to be the favorite. Especially when Chapel Hill is a 10-minute bus ride away.
My guess is UNC will be a 1.5 - 2.5 point favorite.
Bloomberg is also reporting Duke -2 and over/under 163.