Originally Posted by
tbyers11
Vegas point spreads frequently open within a point or two of the Sagarin Predictor ratings found
here with 4 points factored in for home court advantage.
Sagarin predictor has UNC at 94.16 and Duke at 93.92 for a difference of .24 points. Add in the 4.02 points for home court in favor of Duke and this method gives Duke a 3.78 point advantage.
My guess is Duke by 2 when the line comes out.
I agree with that guess. I was going to say something very close. I thought UNC by 4-5 was way off. I would guess Duke by anywhere from -1 to -2.5.
Singler is IRON
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