
Originally Posted by
mr. synellinden
... when someone like Sanjaya makes it over Sundance but they could never risk something like that becoming public? I think the best explanation is that there is the same phenomenon that people talk about in Heisman trophy voting or MVP (baseball) voting in terms of splitting the vote.
Someone like Sabrina doesn't have a lot of supporters even though she is talented. She is singing in the same genre as Stephanie and Jordin and she didn't do as much to distinguish herself. So all the fans of that style are probably voting for the other two more. Or they are voting for Lakisha or Melinda who are just so talented. Compare her to Haley who is singing in more of a pop - top 40 - adult contemporary style (as opposed to Hip Hop/R&B) and the others who were doing the same as Haley (Amy, Nicole and Leslie) have already been voted out. So Haley is getting all of that "bloc". Even so, as I wrote above, I happen to think Haley is better than the judges have given her credit for so far. It would be like having one Heisman candidate from Oklahoma and one from Nebraska splitting the Southwest vote while a candidate from USC is getting the entire West vote, if that makes sense. For that reason, I kind of think the final two will be either Lakisha OR Melinda and Blake -- because Lakish and Melinda are singing in the same style and Blake has a much more unique style. Two seasons ago, it was Bo (southern rocker) and Carrie (southern country).
Also, with someone like Sanjaya, I think there are just lots of people out there who are voting for the worst singer to kind of mess with the competition. I mean, there is a web site that has been out there called votefortheworst.com, which has been encouraging people to vote for Sanjaya and Antonella. I'm kind of surprised Antonella didn't make it over Haley for that reason (not to mention the media circus). Plus he's got the cute teenager puppy dog thing going for him - in much the same way Kevin did last season. I don't think Sabrina had a chance to win the competition anyway, but I really thought Sundance was a dark horse because when singing the right songs, he is as good as anyone left.
I am predicting Melinda, Blake, Chris and Lakisha to be the final four (in that order) with Jordin #5 and the only one who I think could crack the top four.