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  1. #41
    Quote Originally Posted by DevilHorse View Post
    We all know about the first Saturday in May (the nominal date for the KYD). There is another race known by week like ordinals, and that is the Prix D'Amerique which is run on the "last Sunday in January" each year.

    The Prix D'Amerique is a trotting (not pacing) race held in Vincennes France. The race is billed as the best known trotting race in the world. It was created after World War I as a thanks to the Americans for coming to France and helping to win that war.

    Here is a picture of the horse that leads the introductory precession (or at least did one year):
    Attachment 16756
    There are other prominent American flags around the race and the racetracks as well.

    If you like big fields, today's race has 17 participants and is 2700 meters (1 2/3 miles long); lots of entries in other races too.

    If interested, the race today (Sunday 1/28/2024) will be at about 10:20am ET on the Fan Duel racing channel.

    My favorite is a wonderful filly named Joviality S. She was raised in the US and raced here as a 2 and 3 year old. Apparently she was born in Sweden (that's is why the 'S' is in her name when she races here) [Standardbreds have a vibrant frozen semen transport business, which is not considered legit, by rule, for TBreds], but to American sire and dam (not unlike John McCain who was born at a foreign military installation, but I digress). Joviality routinely races against the best male trotters, where ever she races; she often hits the board.

    Vincennes is beautiful and the race will be exciting (to me anyway). This is just another bit of Americana, served with a French accent.

    Larry
    DevilHorse
    Update on the race:

    It is race 7 at Vincennes. It might actually be at 9am ET allowing for 30 minutes between races.
    A live listing of the races, and the confusing timing, is provided here:
    https://www.clipmyhorse.tv/en_US/eve...rix-d-amerique

    Note that they also have some Monte races, which have jockeys on the back of the trotters rather than the sulkies in the back. Julie Krone once sat on the back of a great trotter names Moni Maker to set a world record for 1 mile using the Monte style.

    Larry
    DevilHorse

  2. #42
    Quote Originally Posted by DevilHorse View Post
    Update on the race:

    It is race 7 at Vincennes. It might actually be at 9am ET allowing for 30 minutes between races.
    A live listing of the races, and the confusing timing, is provided here:
    https://www.clipmyhorse.tv/en_US/eve...rix-d-amerique

    Note that they also have some Monte races, which have jockeys on the back of the trotters rather than the sulkies in the back. Julie Krone once sat on the back of a great trotter names Moni Maker to set a world record for 1 mile using the Monte style.

    Larry
    DevilHorse
    I retract my previous statement. Apparently Vincennes has a huge gap in timing between some races. 10:20am ET is still the target for the Prix D'Amerique.

    Larry
    DevilHorse

  3. #43
    Quote Originally Posted by DevilHorse View Post
    We have some KYD related action this coming Saturday, but nothing awarding KYD points.

    Saturday at Aqueduct is the Jimmy Winkfield stakes for 3YO's:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
    [ URL above; Saturday January 27, 2024; Aqueduct - Race 3; PPs ]
    Last year I wrote about Jimmy Winkfield (you can look that up). Not too many notables have won this race; Drew's Gold won last year. Also, Go Go Shoot won in 2008; owned by Bobby Hurley's Devil Eleven stables. In 1995, Da Hoss won; he eventually won 2 Breeder's Cup races. So some good horses have run in this race while young. Bergen and Iridescent look like the best of this 5 horse field.

    At Laurel is the Spectacular Bid Stakes.
    https://www.brisnet.com/secure-bin/b...6/summary.html
    [ URL above; Saturday January 27, 2024; Laurel Park - Race 10; PPs ]
    Spectacular Bid won the Laurel Futurity as a 2YO, and I was there. Great horse!
    Copper Tax and Guanare look like the best of this lot.

    In the older horse division, this Saturday is the Pegasus World Cup Invitational:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
    [ URL above; Saturday January 27, 2024; Gulfstream Park - Race 13; PPs ]
    No big headliners this year, or world travelers (all being sucked over to Saudi Arabia for the big money races) but there are some familiar names; Last year's Preakness winner, National Treasure, is a likely lukewarm favorite. Skippylongstocking and Hoist The Gold are solid picks to hit the board. Senor Buscador continues to look for Grade 1 glory with that late kick; if he finally takes an inside route he'd have a shot. Where is Bo Rail??

    For you turfers, there is the Pegasus World Cup Turf Invitational:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...HAD+C/9999/sum
    [ URL above; Saturday January 27, 2024; Gulfstream Park - Race 12; PPs ]
    Warm Heart does visit from across the pond to try and cash in.

    There are other minor stakes races at Gulfstream Park. Checkthe URL for the Turf Championship (just above) for pointers.

    Larry
    DevilHorse
    Bergen was cookin', winning the Jimmy Winkfield on an off track:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1751303762029748351
    Bergen was awarded a nice 87 Beyer.

    Guanare won the Spectacular Bid Stakes in a 3 horse field
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1751355327654904264
    Guanare looked a bit green and 'snakey' in the stretch, but a nice win.

    The Beyer of the day at Aqueduct was a 4YOF first time starter named Speightful Lily.
    http://www1.drf.com/drfPDFChartRaces...=20240127&RN=1
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1751287557302698127
    Winning by 14 in the mud. She was the 4th favorite in a 6 horse field. A close examination of her pedigree reveals that she is 3x3 inbred to Gone West, perhaps my favorite off-track sire. Free money (if I had only known).

    In the Pegasus, National Treasure was very tough winning the race:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1751424825992589489
    National Treasure stalked a fast pace and held on gamely from a furious close by Senor Buscador. Watching this race, I thought Senor Buscador started to far back; he did take the inside route on the last turn (nice ride), but didn't have enough left to beat the winner.


    The filly, Warm Heart, did indeed win the Pegasus Turf World Cup:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1751365732422521060

    Next weekend there will be a 3YO triple header awarding points towards the KYD. The Holy Bull Stakes will be the headliner with Fierceness slated to make his 3YO debut.

    Larry
    DevilHorse

  4. #44
    Quote Originally Posted by DevilHorse View Post
    We all know about the first Saturday in May (the nominal date for the KYD). There is another race known by week like ordinals, and that is the Prix D'Amerique which is run on the "last Sunday in January" each year.

    The Prix D'Amerique is a trotting (not pacing) race held in Vincennes France. The race is billed as the best known trotting race in the world. It was created after World War I as a thanks to the Americans for coming to France and helping to win that war.

    Here is a picture of the horse that leads the introductory precession (or at least did one year):
    Attachment 16756
    There are other prominent American flags around the race and the racetracks as well.

    If you like big fields, today's race has 17 participants and is 2700 meters (1 2/3 miles long); lots of entries in other races too.

    If interested, the race today (Sunday 1/28/2024) will be at about 10:20am ET on the Fan Duel racing channel.

    My favorite is a wonderful filly named Joviality S. She was raised in the US and raced here as a 2 and 3 year old. Apparently she was born in Sweden (that's is why the 'S' is in her name when she races here) [Standardbreds have a vibrant frozen semen transport business, which is not considered legit, by rule, for TBreds], but to American sire and dam (not unlike John McCain who was born at a foreign military installation, but I digress). Joviality routinely races against the best male trotters, where ever she races; she often hits the board.

    Vincennes is beautiful and the race will be exciting (to me anyway). This is just another bit of Americana, served with a French accent.

    Larry
    DevilHorse
    Idao de Tillard won the Prix D'Amerique:
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1751629103696912712
    Joviality finished a respectable 3rd.

    The winner has US pedigrees all over his pedigree. His 4th generation tail male and his broodmare sire line is American, with other entries appearing.

    I still don't understand how they start these races..

    Larry
    DevilHorse
    Last edited by DevilHorse; 01-28-2024 at 11:35 AM.

  5. #45
    Quote Originally Posted by DevilHorse View Post
    Bergen was cookin', winning the Jimmy Winkfield on an off track:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1751303762029748351
    Bergen was awarded a nice 87 Beyer.

    Guanare won the Spectacular Bid Stakes in a 3 horse field
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1751355327654904264
    Guanare looked a bit green and 'snakey' in the stretch, but a nice win.

    The Beyer of the day at Aqueduct was a 4YOF first time starter named Speightful Lily.
    http://www1.drf.com/drfPDFChartRaces...=20240127&RN=1
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1751287557302698127
    Winning by 14 in the mud. She was the 4th favorite in a 6 horse field. A close examination of her pedigree reveals that she is 3x3 inbred to Gone West, perhaps my favorite off-track sire. Free money (if I had only known).

    In the Pegasus, National Treasure was very tough winning the race:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1751424825992589489
    National Treasure stalked a fast pace and held on gamely from a furious close by Senor Buscador. Watching this race, I thought Senor Buscador started to far back; he did take the inside route on the last turn (nice ride), but didn't have enough left to beat the winner.


    The filly, Warm Heart, did indeed win the Pegasus Turf World Cup:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1751365732422521060

    Next weekend there will be a 3YO triple header awarding points towards the KYD. The Holy Bull Stakes will be the headliner with Fierceness slated to make his 3YO debut.

    Larry
    DevilHorse
    BTW National Treasure received a 105 Beyer for his victory. Very nice for the first time out.

    Larry
    DevilHorse

  6. #46

    Baffert Owners

    In the land of unintended consequences, Churchill Downs' banishing of Baffert trained horses for another year has IMHO backfired.

    It seems that Bob Bafferts owners are not transferring their KYD eligible horses into other barns (like they did the previous 2 years), so they can run in the KYD. Highly thought of horses, like Nysos, will not be running in the KYD because they remain in the Baffert barn:
    https://www.thoroughbreddailynews.co...-with-baffert/

    Churchill Downs could have implemented a comprehensive (fast) drug testing program, perhaps even only for Baffert horses, but instead they will end up with a watered down KYD.

    Surely this will be a subject of discussion during this weekend's events where there are no less than 4 KYD trail races.

    Larry
    DevilHorse

  7. #47

    KYD Trail 2/3/2024

    This weekend is charged with interesting races on the KYD trail. No less than 4 races with KYD points (all with 20 to the winner), and a couple of races toward the KYO. There are also some minor 3YO Stakes races, but when they offer less money (at these smaller tracks) than they offer at Del Mar, CD, and Saratoga maiden races, well, I'll just pass on posting about them. BTW, did you know that if fillies compete in the open (colt) races on the KYD trail, and they earn points, those points are applicable to the totals toward the KYO? I do not think the KYO points earned counts toward the KYD trail totals.

    On Saturday, for the colts (these races are open for fillies too, but few ever enter these races this early in the season):

    At Aqueduct, it is the Withers (originally slated for next weekend):
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
    [ URL above; February 3, 2024; Aqueduct - Race 9; PPs ]
    El Grande O has the best speed figures, but also seems to be off his game every other race; he's due to be on this week. Uncle Heavy and Seminole Chief have a good chance to hit the board. For a longshot play, Mission Beach stretches out and is no longer facing tigers like Nysos; he has the pedigree for longer races like this being out of Curlin and a Flatter BM sire (Flatter being by A.P. Indy).

    In Florida, it is the Holy Bull:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
    [ URL above; February 3, 2024; Gulfstream Park - Race 12; PPs ]
    Fierceness makes his season's debut and will surely be overbet. Otello and Hades are undefeated in 2 starts.

    A 3YO race of value, but not KYD points, is the Swale. The winner will no doubt move up to the points bearing race next time out:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
    [ URL above; February 3, 2024; Gulfstream Park - Race 9; PPs ]
    This is a sprint, and Bentornado might be a lukewarm favorite. Legalize has a distance pedigree and might show some quality in this 7f sprint.
    Drain The Clock and Mischevious Alex are previous winners and evolved into top sprinters.

    At Santa Anita is the R.B. Lewis:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...99/summary.htm
    [ URL above; February 3, 2024; Santa Anita Park - Race 5; PPs ]
    Nysos should be the favorite, with Wine Me Up and Coach Prime hitting the board. All 3 are Baffert horses and are NOT eligible for the KYD!!! But note, the best of these 3 are very likely to show up fresh to the Preakness.


    Finally, at Oaklawn Park, is the Southwest Stakes:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...99/summary.htm
    [ URL above; February 3, 2024; Oaklawn Park - Race 11; PPs ]
    This one might be between Wynstock and Carbone. Interesting that this is the big money race of the week, but Baffert sent Wynstock and not Nysos to this race.

    For the 3YO fillies:

    The Forward Gal will be run in Florida:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
    [ URL above; February 3, 2024; Gulfstream Park - Race 10; PPs ]
    R Harper Rose has the best speed figures at a distance. Witwatersand and Scalable could improve and be there.

    At Oaklawn Park is the Martha Washington:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
    [ URL above; February 3, 2024; Oaklawn Park - Race 9; PPs ]
    Denim and Pearls looks to be the favorite. Not too many top jockeys at Oaklawn, but DNP has one. Neom Beach should be able to handle the distance.


    Larry
    DevilHorse

  8. #48
    Quote Originally Posted by DevilHorse View Post
    This weekend is charged with interesting races on the KYD trail. No less than 4 races with KYD points (all with 20 to the winner), and a couple of races toward the KYO. There are also some minor 3YO Stakes races, but when they offer less money (at these smaller tracks) than they offer at Del Mar, CD, and Saratoga maiden races, well, I'll just pass on posting about them. BTW, did you know that if fillies compete in the open (colt) races on the KYD trail, and they earn points, those points are applicable to the totals toward the KYO? I do not think the KYO points earned counts toward the KYD trail totals.

    On Saturday, for the colts (these races are open for fillies too, but few ever enter these races this early in the season):

    At Aqueduct, it is the Withers (originally slated for next weekend):
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
    [ URL above; February 3, 2024; Aqueduct - Race 9; PPs ]
    El Grande O has the best speed figures, but also seems to be off his game every other race; he's due to be on this week. Uncle Heavy and Seminole Chief have a good chance to hit the board. For a longshot play, Mission Beach stretches out and is no longer facing tigers like Nysos; he has the pedigree for longer races like this being out of Curlin and a Flatter BM sire (Flatter being by A.P. Indy).

    In Florida, it is the Holy Bull:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
    [ URL above; February 3, 2024; Gulfstream Park - Race 12; PPs ]
    Fierceness makes his season's debut and will surely be overbet. Otello and Hades are undefeated in 2 starts.

    A 3YO race of value, but not KYD points, is the Swale. The winner will no doubt move up to the points bearing race next time out:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
    [ URL above; February 3, 2024; Gulfstream Park - Race 9; PPs ]
    This is a sprint, and Bentornado might be a lukewarm favorite. Legalize has a distance pedigree and might show some quality in this 7f sprint.
    Drain The Clock and Mischevious Alex are previous winners and evolved into top sprinters.

    At Santa Anita is the R.B. Lewis:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...99/summary.htm
    [ URL above; February 3, 2024; Santa Anita Park - Race 5; PPs ]
    Nysos should be the favorite, with Wine Me Up and Coach Prime hitting the board. All 3 are Baffert horses and are NOT eligible for the KYD!!! But note, the best of these 3 are very likely to show up fresh to the Preakness.


    Finally, at Oaklawn Park, is the Southwest Stakes:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...99/summary.htm
    [ URL above; February 3, 2024; Oaklawn Park - Race 11; PPs ]
    This one might be between Wynstock and Carbone. Interesting that this is the big money race of the week, but Baffert sent Wynstock and not Nysos to this race.

    For the 3YO fillies:

    The Forward Gal will be run in Florida:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
    [ URL above; February 3, 2024; Gulfstream Park - Race 10; PPs ]
    R Harper Rose has the best speed figures at a distance. Witwatersand and Scalable could improve and be there.

    At Oaklawn Park is the Martha Washington:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
    [ URL above; February 3, 2024; Oaklawn Park - Race 9; PPs ]
    Denim and Pearls looks to be the favorite. Not too many top jockeys at Oaklawn, but DNP has one. Neom Beach should be able to handle the distance.


    Larry
    DevilHorse
    Busy day. Most races (except for GP) were on muddy tracks.

    Uncle Heavy nosed out El Grande O in an exciting Withers:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1753889531361640880
    Uncle Heavy received an 84 Beyer.

    Big upset in the Holy Bull with Fierceness finishing 3rd behind Hades:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1753916350446117346
    Hades received an 85 Beyer for his efforts. Fierceness looked a bit short of fitness near the end; we'll see if he improves greatly after this effort. Fierceness now has 36 KYD points which still leads the pack. This is about the threshold of KYD points for the last horse in.

    Frankie's Empire won the Swale Stakes:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1753891835892945150
    Perhaps we'll see him in the Fountain of Youth. Still needs those KYD points.

    Nysos dominated the Robert B. Lewis:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1753910288531996919
    Nysos is a Nice Horse. I couldn't find a Beyer for him, but he isn't going to the KYD anyway.

    In the Southwest Stakes it was Mystik Dan:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1753918131637018680
    Mystik Dan received a 101 Beyer (best of the 3YOC's) that was aligned with the track bias.

    For the fillies:

    R Harper Rose won the Forward Gal:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1753899622219792810
    R Harper Rose received a 79 Beyer.

    Band Of Gold wore down the favorite and won the Martha Washington:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1753897345853329532
    Band Of Gold received an 86 Beyer.

    Larry
    DevilHorse

  9. #49
    Quote Originally Posted by DevilHorse View Post
    Busy day. Most races (except for GP) were on muddy tracks.


    Nysos dominated the Robert B. Lewis:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1753910288531996919
    Nysos is a Nice Horse. I couldn't find a Beyer for him, but he isn't going to the KYD anyway.



    Larry
    DevilHorse
    Nysos a big 105 Beyer for his Robert B. Lewis win.

    Larry
    DevilHorse

  10. #50
    Join Date
    Sep 2010
    Location
    Franklin TN
    Quote Originally Posted by DevilHorse View Post
    In the land of unintended consequences, Churchill Downs' banishing of Baffert trained horses for another year has IMHO backfired.

    It seems that Bob Bafferts owners are not transferring their KYD eligible horses into other barns (like they did the previous 2 years), so they can run in the KYD. Highly thought of horses, like Nysos, will not be running in the KYD because they remain in the Baffert barn:
    https://www.thoroughbreddailynews.co...-with-baffert/

    Churchill Downs could have implemented a comprehensive (fast) drug testing program, perhaps even only for Baffert horses, but instead they will end up with a watered down KYD.

    Surely this will be a subject of discussion during this weekend's events where there are no less than 4 KYD trail races.

    Larry
    DevilHorse
    Itís rare a publicly traded company has an open feud with anyone, but horse racing is a fairly small community so maybe that explains it. My impression, which means nothing and is based on total conjecture, is that Churchill would he happy if Baffert dropped off the face of the earth. And if owners want to turn down the opportunity to win a $5,000,000 purse and the 150th running of the premier horse race in America, thatís on them. At the same time their loyalty is also praise worthy. Of course among his long time owners, how many benefited from doped horses winning? Horse racing will be better when the Baffert retires. Sort of like when cheating college sports coaches finally hang it up.

    Maybe I just got up on the wrong side of the bed today.

  11. #51
    Quote Originally Posted by TheDevilMadeMeDoIt View Post
    Itís rare a publicly traded company has an open feud with anyone, but horse racing is a fairly small community so maybe that explains it. My impression, which means nothing and is based on total conjecture, is that Churchill would he happy if Baffert dropped off the face of the earth. And if owners want to turn down the opportunity to win a $5,000,000 purse and the 150th running of the premier horse race in America, thatís on them. At the same time their loyalty is also praise worthy. Of course among his long time owners, how many benefited from doped horses winning? Horse racing will be better when the Baffert retires. Sort of like when cheating college sports coaches finally hang it up.

    Maybe I just got up on the wrong side of the bed today.
    Nysos is a bit unusual in that his female line doesn't have a stakes horse for 3 generations.
    https://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-rac...roving-nyquist

    Nysos's dam sold yesterday for $3M. Of course the dam, Zetta Z., has credentials to produce since she is out of Bernardini (a superior broodmare sire). But it is also likely that the new owners will not make back their $3M.

    Larry
    DevilHorse

  12. #52
    Quote Originally Posted by DevilHorse View Post
    Nysos is a bit unusual in that his female line doesn't have a stakes horse for 3 generations.
    https://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-rac...roving-nyquist

    Nysos's dam sold yesterday for $3M. Of course the dam, Zetta Z., has credentials to produce since she is out of Bernardini (a superior broodmare sire). But it is also likely that the new owners will not make back their $3M.

    Larry
    DevilHorse
    I misremembered. Nysos's dam sold for $2M, not $3M.
    Now it all makes sense

    Larry
    DevilHorse

  13. #53

    Toby Keith

    The recently deceased Toby Keith was a Thoroughbred horse owner and breeder:
    https://www.thoroughbreddailynews.co...th-dead-at-62/

    I remember Cactus Ridge. He was a really good sprinter who got injured early. He had 4 wins in 4 starts. He was out of Hennessy who is the great grandsire (tail male) of Justify.

    Larry
    DevilHorse

  14. #54

    Saturday 2/10/2024 Action

    There are a few minor circuit KYD trail races this weekend. All races are for Saturday:

    At Tampa Bay Downs, the Sam F. Davis will be run:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...5/summary.html
    [ URL above; Saturday February 10, 2024; Tampa Bay Downs - Race 10; PPs ]
    Copper Tax and Change Of Command are the most experienced, and have the best scores, but that doesn't necessarily make them likely winners. Patriot Spirit has been sprinting, but now goes long; he has the pedigree to excel when he does. No More Time has decent credentials. Elysian Meadows is undefeated in 2 starts. Look for a price here; I'll look at Patriot Spirit for my bet.
    The Sam F. Davis has been growing in stature (with an increase in purse). Some notable horses/KYD hopefuls have won this race in recent years; Classic Causeway became a top turf horse; McCracken became a competitive older horse; Candy Man Rocket became a graded stakes winner. But no one is confusing the Tampa Bay road to the KYD with the Gulfstream Park route (Fountain of Youth; Florida Derby).

    The El Camino Real at Golden Gate Fields has been an interesting race:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...99/summary.htm
    [ URL above; Saturday February 10, 2024; Golden Gate Fields - Race 7; PPs ]
    Endlessly and Tapalo have the best marks coming in. Tapalo has been improving and Endlessly tries the dirt for the first time.
    This race was the coming out party for Rombauer a few years ago; Rombauer won the Preakness that year.

    For the fillies:

    The Suncoast will be run at Tampa Bay Downs:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
    [ URL above; Saturday February 10, 2024; Tampa Bay Downs - Race 5; PPs ]
    Life Talk and Power Squeeze are the likely favorites.

    The Las Virgenes was postponed from last week to this Saturday:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...99/summary.htm
    [ URL above; Saturday February 10, 2024; Santa Anita - Race 5; PPs ]
    Nothing Like You has some experience (and has won 3 straight), but Kinza will be the curiosity. Kinza ran a top figure to win her only start for Baffert. Kopion also should get some support.

    Larry
    Devilhorse

  15. #55

    Horse Hooves

    A farrier (horse hoof blacksmith) once told me that 90% of the problems that horses have are below the knee, and based on my observations I believe that. For racehorses getting the right type of shoe, and calculating the best 'angle' for sculpting the horse hoof, are an art form. Some horses have their hooves re-shoed every couple of weeks, or even each race to adjust for track conditions.

    In the barn, horses get daily hoof care. The hooves are cleaned out underneath (the frog). They get painted to make sure the hoof wall doesn't fracture (quarter cracks). All kinds of stuff.

    Here is an interesting video about a horse that didn't have any hoof care for 2 years:
    https://twitter.com/TheFigen_/status/175593935312408596

    Here's an article about a study of horseshoes and hoof related mechanics (it's long, so just to show how much thought goes into this):
    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8610270/

    I have not found much horseshoe information in Past Performance programs, to augment speed related information. But some tracks used to identify the type of shoes worn (i.e., regular shoes vs. mud caulks) during bad weather on boards that also identify late equipment changes (Aqueduct used to do this). It is an important piece of equipment. Something should be posted, especially if there is a change since the last race.

    A horse's hoof grows between 0.25" and 0.4" inches per month, and it is not even across the hoof. So if a horse races once a month, their whole foot angle could change. Annecdotally, a racehorse goes to the farrier every 4-8 weeks.

    I think that it is just a general assumption, for the most part, that the trainer has optimized the foot care, including shoes, for their horses.

    What changes would be valuable on a program?
    + When was the last horseshoe change/farrier visit?
    + What shoes is the horse wearing on any particular race (there are dozens of different types of horseshoes, including putting toe grabs on to affect a horse's gait).

    Do you check, or seek out, the Equipment Changes information when you go to the track? It is another factor in handicapping that sometimes bears fruit for better bets.

    Larry
    DevilHorse

  16. #56
    Quote Originally Posted by DevilHorse View Post
    There are a few minor circuit KYD trail races this weekend. All races are for Saturday:

    At Tampa Bay Downs, the Sam F. Davis will be run:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...5/summary.html
    [ URL above; Saturday February 10, 2024; Tampa Bay Downs - Race 10; PPs ]
    Copper Tax and Change Of Command are the most experienced, and have the best scores, but that doesn't necessarily make them likely winners. Patriot Spirit has been sprinting, but now goes long; he has the pedigree to excel when he does. No More Time has decent credentials. Elysian Meadows is undefeated in 2 starts. Look for a price here; I'll look at Patriot Spirit for my bet.
    The Sam F. Davis has been growing in stature (with an increase in purse). Some notable horses/KYD hopefuls have won this race in recent years; Classic Causeway became a top turf horse; McCracken became a competitive older horse; Candy Man Rocket became a graded stakes winner. But no one is confusing the Tampa Bay road to the KYD with the Gulfstream Park route (Fountain of Youth; Florida Derby).

    The El Camino Real at Golden Gate Fields has been an interesting race:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...99/summary.htm
    [ URL above; Saturday February 10, 2024; Golden Gate Fields - Race 7; PPs ]
    Endlessly and Tapalo have the best marks coming in. Tapalo has been improving and Endlessly tries the dirt for the first time.
    This race was the coming out party for Rombauer a few years ago; Rombauer won the Preakness that year.

    For the fillies:

    The Suncoast will be run at Tampa Bay Downs:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
    [ URL above; Saturday February 10, 2024; Tampa Bay Downs - Race 5; PPs ]
    Life Talk and Power Squeeze are the likely favorites.

    The Las Virgenes was postponed from last week to this Saturday:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...99/summary.htm
    [ URL above; Saturday February 10, 2024; Santa Anita - Race 5; PPs ]
    Nothing Like You has some experience (and has won 3 straight), but Kinza will be the curiosity. Kinza ran a top figure to win her only start for Baffert. Kopion also should get some support.

    Larry
    Devilhorse
    The Sam F. Davis was won by the slight favorite No More Time:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1756460832031232279
    Agate Road did a nice job closing. No More Time received an 80 Beyer.

    I gave you the cold Exacta for the El Camino Real yesterday with Endlessly showing his class:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1756493252835107283
    I think we'll be seeing Endlessly at Santa Anita. Endlessly gets an automatic spot in the Preakness.

    In the Suncoast, Power Squeeze put the arm on the rest of the field with a rail skimming ride:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1756402747958841432
    Power Squeeze was awarded an underwhelming 71 Beyer.

    Kinza won the Las Virgines in front running style:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1756447978083303519
    Kinza received a nice 91 Beyer for her efforts.

    A bonus 3YO filly notation goes to Valentine Candy who won the Ozark Stakes at Oaklawn Park:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1756458387494109355
    The Ozark is a sprint, so at this time of year is not a likely Kentucky Oaks feeder, but the winner is by Justify and may have justified longer races. She received an 88 Beyer for her efforts.

    Interesting Baffert horse in an Optional Claimer at Santa Anita today; Maymun:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...99/summary.htm
    [ URL above; Sunday February 11, 2024; Santa Anita Park - Race 6; PPs ]
    Maymun had a slam bang first time maiden victory (by 7), but he is by Frosted and they haven't been producing the classic distance horses (Frosted was a miler type although he placed in longer races).

    Larry
    DevilHorse
    Last edited by DevilHorse; 02-11-2024 at 09:58 AM.

  17. #57
    A very nice 3YOC made his seasonal debut; he was in an optional claimer, on a muddy track at Oaklawn. His name is Booth:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1756765777821073858
    Look for the horse with the jockey in white silks, on the rail. Not sure if he'll be distance bound, but the Mitole's have gone longer distances.

    The highly touted Maymun made his second start a winning one, but just barely:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1756796545792626994
    But he does do something rare for a young horse; retaking the lead from the inside. Baffert will make a choice as to whether to send Maymun or Nasos to the Arkansas Derby (one of his preferred derby trail paths). Me thinks Preakness weekend is going to be very interesting. Baffert is also the trainer of the leading 3YOF, Kinzer. If she stays on track, she will be barred from the KY Oaks and will point toward the Black Eyed Susan.

    Sad to hear that Rachel Alexandra's only son, Jess's Dream, died from laminitis (the same disease that took Secretariat and so many others). Jess's Dream had 6 seasons at stud, and some minor stakes winners. Rachel Alexandra has had too many owners with brain cramps. First owners would not run her against the boys, so they sold her (the rest is history). Then in the breeding shed she had 2 foals and then they wouldn't breed her anymore for fear she would die while foaling. Her only other foal is the filly Rachel's Valentina who has had 3 foals. Her colt won $300k and she had 2 fillies who didn't earn much.

    Larry
    DevilHorse

  18. #58

    KYD Future Pool 4 - 2024

    The 4th of 6 KYD Derby Pool will be open on Friday and will close on Sunday. But, for those of you not betting now, it does give us a birds eye view of the Past Performances for a (likely) majority of the field.
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
    [ URL above; Sunday February 18, 2024; Ky Derby Future - Race 4; PPs ]
    Note that the Risen Star will be run at the Fair Grounds on Saturday in the middle of the Futures betting interval. It will be a top race with many Futures horses involved.

    No less than 39 3YOs are presented, but you can also bet on 'All Other Three Year Olds' (a.k.a., None Of The Above). Timberlake is the morning line favorite, supplanting Fierceness after his mediocre performance in the Holy Bull. For obvious reasons, there are no Baffert horses, like Nysos, listed.

    The next KYD Pool, in mid-march, will also have the only KY Oaks Pool (and hopefully the PPs).

    Does anyone have a pick, or any horses they particularly like from this bunch? It's not a commitment.

    Larry
    DevilHorse

  19. #59

    Weekend 1/17-18/2024

    We have some Saturday/Sunday action on the road to the KYD.

    First, for the colts:

    In an optional claimer, at the Fair Grounds, early on Sunday, the nice colt Nash makes a start:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
    [ URL above; February 17, 2024; Fair Grounds - Race 3; PPs ]
    Nash is in the latter part of the top 20 (at this time) in ratings, so he has a real shot. He finished 2nd to the top colt Track Phantom in the Lecomte. Also in the race is Ethan Energy.

    Also at the Fair Grounds will be top prep race, the Risen Star:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
    [ URL above; February 17, 2024; Fair Grounds - Race 14; PPs ]
    There are half a dozen top colts in this race, led by Track Phantom. Also competing is Catching Freedom, Sierra Leone, Honor Marie, and Hall Of Fame. Track Phantom is starting from an outside post, so this will be challenging. The weather is forecast to be wet.

    On Sunday is the Sunland Park Derby.
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...4/summary.html
    [ URL above; February 18, 2024; Sunland Park - Race 9; PPs ]
    Stronghold and Lucky Jeremy are the headliners in this much weaker field than the Risen Star. But they do get derby points.


    For the fillies:

    The Ruthless for 3YOF's is being run at Aqueduct:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
    [ URL above; February 17, 2024; Aqueduct - Race 7; PPs ]
    Halina's Forte, Ghalia Princess, and Reconcile look like the best shot in this sprint.

    The Rachel Alexandra will be run at the Fair Grounds:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
    [ URL above; February 17, 2024; Fair Grounds - Race 13; PPs ]
    V Vs Dream is the class here; we'll have to see if she progresses as a 3YO. Alpine Princess could hit the board.

    On Sunday is the Sunland Park Oaks:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...re_summary.htm
    [ URL above; February 18, 2024; Sunland Park - Race 9; PPs ]
    Candy Aisle, Recharge, and Simply Enchanting look like the better horses. Candy Aisle would be a hunch bet with all of the chocolate on sale after Valentine's Day.

    Horse Quiz: Who is the only KYD winner who also won the Risen Star?

    Larry
    DevilHorse

  20. #60
    Quote Originally Posted by DevilHorse View Post
    We have some Saturday/Sunday action on the road to the KYD.

    First, for the colts:

    In an optional claimer, at the Fair Grounds, early on Sunday, the nice colt Nash makes a start:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
    [ URL above; February 17, 2024; Fair Grounds - Race 3; PPs ]
    Nash is in the latter part of the top 20 (at this time) in ratings, so he has a real shot. He finished 2nd to the top colt Track Phantom in the Lecomte. Also in the race is Ethan Energy.

    Also at the Fair Grounds will be top prep race, the Risen Star:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
    [ URL above; February 17, 2024; Fair Grounds - Race 14; PPs ]
    There are half a dozen top colts in this race, led by Track Phantom. Also competing is Catching Freedom, Sierra Leone, Honor Marie, and Hall Of Fame. Track Phantom is starting from an outside post, so this will be challenging. The weather is forecast to be wet.

    On Sunday is the Sunland Park Derby.
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...4/summary.html
    [ URL above; February 18, 2024; Sunland Park - Race 9; PPs ]
    Stronghold and Lucky Jeremy are the headliners in this much weaker field than the Risen Star. But they do get derby points.


    For the fillies:

    The Ruthless for 3YOF's is being run at Aqueduct:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
    [ URL above; February 17, 2024; Aqueduct - Race 7; PPs ]
    Halina's Forte, Ghalia Princess, and Reconcile look like the best shot in this sprint.

    The Rachel Alexandra will be run at the Fair Grounds:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
    [ URL above; February 17, 2024; Fair Grounds - Race 13; PPs ]
    V Vs Dream is the class here; we'll have to see if she progresses as a 3YO. Alpine Princess could hit the board.

    On Sunday is the Sunland Park Oaks:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...re_summary.htm
    [ URL above; February 18, 2024; Sunland Park - Race 9; PPs ]
    Candy Aisle, Recharge, and Simply Enchanting look like the better horses. Candy Aisle would be a hunch bet with all of the chocolate on sale after Valentine's Day.

    Horse Quiz: Who is the only KYD winner who also won the Risen Star?

    Larry
    DevilHorse
    The Risen Star was an interesting race in that the better horses finished toward the front. My top 2 picks (bets) were Sierra Leone and Track Phantom. Track Phantom because he was the lone speed in the race, and he cut slower fractions, which should have set him up to win. But the track was muddy and could have been tiring for TP. Sierra Leone has shown the best kick in the field, and they added blinkers, which means they were going to get him closer to the front at the beginning of the race. Sierra Leone was far back, but not as much as before, so when he found a seam to get out in the stretch he was able to pass horses (although still racing a little greenly) and win:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1759014657686192600
    Catching Freedom will also deserve another look next time out. Sierra Leone is by Gun Runner who also won the Risen Star Stakes as a 3YO (of course). Sierra Leone is out of a Malibu Moon mare; this angle might be worth keeping in mind since it keeps coming up in stakes company.

    Lightly raced Tuscan Sky beat out Nash in the Optional Claimer:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1758931394896724399
    This horse looks to have a future; on mud anyway. But this was a 3 horse field, so who knows. Tuscan Sky is by Frosted, who seems to get a few good ones at these mmiddling distances, but then my recollection is that he had a huge crop of foals so perhaps not on a percentage basis.

    No Beyers available at the moment. But in the few races at FG that I've seen, the rail was a bit tiring.

    The Sunland Park Derby is run today (PPs upstream), but these are lesser 3YOs than we saw at the Fair Grounds.

    Halina's Forte won the Ruthless in less than stellar time:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1758954341686198383
    The track was rated as good.

    The Rachel Alexandra was won by Tarifa:
    http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/insta...e=inc&print=on
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1759006107874291983
    Tarifa is a daughter of Bernardini, who is an outstanding broodmare sire. I note that Tarifa didn't change leads until inside the last furlong, so she may have a bit more in the tank.

    Keep an eye on this column for a treat early this week.

    Larry
    DevilHorse

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