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  1. #21
    Join Date
    Nov 2007
    Location
    Vermont
    Quote Originally Posted by Southgate0809 View Post
    I'm not as worried about Duke getting into the tournament as I am about them exiting it very quickly.
    Which is kind of why I'm not worrying about them getting into the tournament. If they deserve to get in, they almost certainly will. That's a major "if."

  2. #22
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Earth
    Quote Originally Posted by Southgate0809 View Post
    I'm not as worried about Duke getting into the tournament as I am about them exiting it very quickly.
    This is a good year for a high seed in the NCAA Tournament. I'm not sure Duke has or can put the pieces together to take advantage of it.

  3. #23
    Quote Originally Posted by duke2x View Post
    This is a good year for a high seed in the NCAA Tournament. I'm not sure Duke has or can put the pieces together to take advantage of it.
    Seems like it's one of those years where there will be tons of upsets.
    Trinity 2012

  4. #24
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Los Angeles
    Quote Originally Posted by duke2x View Post
    This is a good year for a high seed in the NCAA Tournament. I'm not sure Duke has or can put the pieces together to take advantage of it.
    Isn't every year a good year to be a high seed, as the higher seed you are the lower seeded your opponents are? Why is this year any different?

  5. #25
    It's certainly a year without a lot of really dominant teams.

  6. #26
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Earth
    Quote Originally Posted by tommy View Post
    Isn't every year a good year to be a high seed, as the higher seed you are the lower seeded your opponents are? Why is this year any different?
    I need to clarify. This is a good year to be 6/7/8/9/10/11 seeds because a lot of the 1/2/3 seeds look very overrated right now. You usually have 2-3 really good teams at the top instead of 0-1.

  7. #27
    Quote Originally Posted by duke2x View Post
    I need to clarify. This is a good year to be 6/7/8/9/10/11 seeds because a lot of the 1/2/3 seeds look very overrated right now. You usually have 2-3 really good teams at the top instead of 0-1.
    haha I was going to sarcastically ask if by "high" seed you meant ranked highly (like a 1) or a high number (like a 16). I thought I was just being a jerk and that you meant a #1 seed or close to it, so I chose not to submit my post.
    Trinity 2012

  8. #28
    Quote Originally Posted by scottdude8 View Post
    Thanks CDu, this is the point I was trying to make... if you agree with my premise that we won't be in danger until our resume starts to look worse than Notre Dame's last year (considering the conference is significantly better this year), then what I tried to show (with some admittedly incomplete analysis, but I wasn't writing a peer-reviewed paper, haha) is that the road to get there is pretty narrow. As an example, I outlined a particular scenario that Torvik's analysis says would be the most likely way we get to 5 losses: considering how unlikely that is, it serves just as a proof of concept. If the most straightforward path to 5 losses had a 15-20% chance in Torvik's analysis, then I think we'd be sweating a lot more.

    One of these days I'm going to put aside my neuroscience research and direct my time to putting those skills to full use on my DBR posts... if someone can figure out how I can make money from that, that is
    maybe look for some NIL ???

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