The ACC is done. If those 4 head off to the big ten, the SEC will take what’s left and that will be it.
Does the ACC hold together with the severe penalty on leaving?
One can certainly speculate that if Stanford, Washington, Oregon and ND go BIG then the Big 12 would take Colorado, Utah, AZ and ASU and if they could the SEC would add Clemson, Miami and FSU.
Virginia and unc-heaters go ?
Duke, GTech, VaTech, Wake, Syracuse, BC, NC State could probably cobble together something maybe with Cal, Oregon State, Wash State and a few others. Not a very pretty picture.
Or maybe Duke just drops football and does what is necessary to survive financially with just basketball bringing in the dollars.
SoCal
^ which is why I would bet that Nina King has been placing some phone calls northward. I can't believe anyone at Duke thinks we'd be a fit (or even be invited) to the SEC. Perhaps a junior membership in the B1G (reduced revenue for some period of time)...I would imagine the academic types at UVA and unc see the B1G as a much better fit than the SEC, but they may just go where they see the most money.
All Nina can do is work on making Duke more attractive (fix football) before the music stops.
That's not a viable option. Basketball will never pay the bills on a scale needed to support an athletic department. Not even a basketball program of Duke's nature. (Which would actually be lessened with the loss of football, because at that point we are no longer a part of conference that matters in any sport.)
Q "Why do you like Duke, you didn't even go there." A "Because my art school didn't have a basketball team."
This is probably too simplistic a view, but I just don't see how the music stops without the states of Virginia and North Carolina on board the train (with either the B1G or SEC). And with all due respect to NC State, I also have to believe that Duke/UNC travel as a package in any maneuver. NC State is way more like Iowa State or Washington State or Oregon St. in terms of its profile, and is more likely to get left out than Duke, which has a huge national brand.
Q "Why do you like Duke, you didn't even go there." A "Because my art school didn't have a basketball team."
They do it because they have football, and are quite good at it. They are FCS, but they haven't dropped it.
https://villanova.com/news/2022/7/28...-favorite.aspxDefending conference champion Villanova was picked as the preseason CAA Football favorite in a poll of league head coaches and media relations directors which was announced as part of a virtual media day held on Thursday morning. Coming off a 10-3 season and an appearance in the quarterfinal round of the FCS playoffs, the Wildcats received 16 first-place votes and 270 points in the preseason predicted order of finish.
Q "Why do you like Duke, you didn't even go there." A "Because my art school didn't have a basketball team."
Speaking of Villanova, it turns out that they are a financial miracle! They didn't make any money, but they didn't lose any either.
They had athletic revenue of $51,223,342, with expenditures of $51,223,342. That's some amazing accounting.
https://www.collegefactual.com/colle...t-life/sports/
In comparison, Duke totally raked it in, making almost $200.
$116,021,513 made to $116,021,331 spent.
https://www.collegefactual.com/colle...t-life/sports/
(Worth noting, since Villanova was asked about in comparison to Duke, that Duke has a budget over twice the size.)
Q "Why do you like Duke, you didn't even go there." A "Because my art school didn't have a basketball team."
Duke is a money loser, except the other teams in the conference are money makers so we get to take a share of their earnings and wind up profitable due to the payout. Of course the reverse is true for basketball, but the numbers are much smaller so it still doesn't even out.