We beat south carolina state by 41 despite 16 turnovers...Not sure that 17th one would have done us in
From a technical definition of "unlikely," you are probably correct that there is a <50% chance we win a game this year while committing 17 turnovers. However, I disagree that it an especially unlikely occurrence.
we average 71 possessions a game, and turn it over 14% of the time...so that's 10 turnovers a game. On an average possession we score 1.16 points, so an extra 7 turnovers amounts to ~8 points. We have 7 games remaining on our schedule which we are expected to win by 8 or more points.
So yes, it's unlikely to actually occur, but IF we have a game from here on out where we have 17 turnovers, there is about a 42% chance we would be expected to win the game anyway, not the worst odds or a sure thing by far.