OK, the next 2 weekends will be the busiest and perhaps the most telling of the KYD setup races:
This weeks 3YO races of interest:
What looks to be the most competitive race of the week will be the Florida Derby at Gulfstream Park:
http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
[ URL above, Saturday April 2, 2022, Gulfstream Park - Race 14, PPs ]
Top Contenders are
Classic Causeway, White Abarrio, and
Simplification; each of which have a valid argument to be the favorite. Making a play for single digit odds will be
Pappacap, who has not yet returned to his 2YO form, and
Charge It, who is the new shooter of this bunch.
White Abarrio spiked a fever recently, but flashed a sub 35 second 3f workout earlier this week to show he is ready to take the lead and challenge the field to 'come and get me!' (is he Seattle Slew or Bold Forbes?). Simplification is out to prove that traffic problems were his only problem to being beaten earlier. Classic Causeway has done nothing wrong, but has only done what has been needed (saving wear and tear). This will be a great race.
If White Abarrio goes back to his previous race, he wins. But Classic Causeway and Charge It both like the front. Simplification is the only top contender that comes from off the pace. If the top early speed beat each other up, then Simplification wins. It will be a wild race.
At Oaklawn Park will be another intriguing race, the Arkansas Derby:
http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
[ URL above, Saturday April 2, 2022, Oaklawn Park - Race 12, PPs ]
This looks like a Him vs. Her battle. The filly
Secret Oath vs.
We The People. D Wayne Lukas thinks that this filly may be better than Winning Colors (and he trained Winning Colors, who was a moose!). But it will take a bit more to prove that statement. We The People has been visually impressive, but who has he beaten? He's had only 2 races (won both) and neither a stakes race. Perhaps more foreboding are Un Ojo (winner of the Rebel), Barber Road (fast closing 3rd in the Rebel), and the ex-Baffert trainee Doppelganger (2nd to Forbidden Kingdom in the San Felipe). Secret Oath sheds a few pounds and has the best speed rating; but these horses are young and continue to improve.
The least of the 3YO races is the Turfway Park Jeff Ruby Steaks (spelling correct):
http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
[ URL above, Saturday April 2, 2022, Turfway Park - Race 12, PPs ]
Some interesting horses here. Remember, this is an All-Weather surface that plays a bit more like turf.
The obvious name horses are
Tiz The Bomb and Baffert refugee
Backadder in the 12 post. Tiz The Bomb was life and death winning the Battaglia on this track over
Stolen Base (who is also in this race). We also have
Red Run and
Dowagiac Chief who might take some money.
The top 3YO filly race on Saturday is the Fantasy Stakes at Oaklawn Park:
http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...9/summary.html
[ URL above, Saturday April 2, 2022, Oaklawn Park - Race 10, PPs ]
The very nice filly,
Eda, is entered. But she is still trained by Bob Baffert, so I guess she is only there for purse money and not to qualify for the Kentucky Oaks.
Some backup activities happening: 7 horses had their connections pay $6k to supplement to the Triple Crown series at this late date. These are late developers who will try some of these KYD points races, or in one case the 2nd place horse from the UAE Derby this past Saturday. There are more than 300 horses still eligible to the Triple Crown, but they need KYD points to get in. 60 horses have KYD points. Here is the list:
https://www.kentuckyderby.com/horses/leaderboard
The top 20 have the right of first refusal to a starting spot.
Also, the KYD Futures Pool will be pushed off till next week. (for those of you who like to see those PPs with most of the good horses).
Expect to see
Messier take a shot at getting some KYD points in the Santa Anita Derby next week; he has been logging workouts throughout the winter/early-spring so he is no doubt in shape, but is he in race shape?