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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Feb 2008
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    New Bern, NC unless it's a home football game then I'm grilling on Devil's Alley

    Winter Box Office Contest a Possiblility?

    Across the street from my office is a small movie theater, that for over a year has sat empty. The sign at some point changed from "closed" to "available for private showings" a few months ago, but mostly advertised for a larger theater in town that the same people own.
    Last week, finally, those signs were replaced with "Now Showing" notices, and I saw a bus full of kids being unloaded for a matinee.

    And then there's this bit of good news, as A Quiet Place Part II is turning a profit in the theaters.
    Still, though, it made good money, and now it has continued to make money over the last few weeks. In fact, it has now much so much money that A Quiet Place Part II is officially the first movie to cross $100 million at the U.S. box office during “the pandemic era.”
    So with things looking up, is there a chance we'll have a Winter contest this year? I haven't even looked to see what's coming out, and I know movies are still being shuffled to further dates, but I am guessing the competition will be normal enough to make it happen.

    https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/quie...222400388.html
    Q "Why do you like Duke, you didn't even go there." A "Because my art school didn't have a basketball team."

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Nov 2007
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    Durham, NC
    They still make movies? I thought we were just doing premium subscription miniseries now.

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Hot'Lanta... home of the Falcons!
    Yeah, it is too late to try for the summer contest and the summer schedule is still a bit spotty to make the contest much fun.

    The winter does seem like a reasonable time to get things moving against. The mixing of streaming with regular theatrical release will make it a real challenge. I mean, how do you deal with films like Matrix 4 and Dune which are going to get simultaneous theatrical and HBO Max releases? Not hard to imagine that the HBO Max release will peel off $50 or $100 mil in boxoffice... maybe more.

    The films coming from October to Feb include:

    Dune - Oct 1
    No Time To Die (James Bond) - Oct 8
    Halloween Kills - Oct 15
    Eternals - Nov 5
    Ghostbusters: Afterlife - Nov 11
    Top Gun: Maverick - Nov 19
    King Richard - Nov 19
    West Side Story - Dec 10
    Spider-man: No Way Home - Dec 17
    Sing 2 - Dec 22
    Matrix 4 - Dec 22
    Downton Abbey 2 - Dec 22
    Morbius - Jan 28
    Uncharted - Feb 18

    (I think we should we get and early start date so we can include Venom 2 on Sept 24, amiright?)
    I don't know what you are doing right now, but if you aren't listening to the DBR Podcast, you're doing it wrong.

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Feb 2008
    Location
    New Bern, NC unless it's a home football game then I'm grilling on Devil's Alley
    Quote Originally Posted by JasonEvans View Post
    Yeah, it is too late to try for the summer contest and the summer schedule is still a bit spotty to make the contest much fun.

    The winter does seem like a reasonable time to get things moving against. The mixing of streaming with regular theatrical release will make it a real challenge. I mean, how do you deal with films like Matrix 4 and Dune which are going to get simultaneous theatrical and HBO Max releases? Not hard to imagine that the HBO Max release will peel off $50 or $100 mil in boxoffice... maybe more.

    The films coming from October to Feb include:

    Dune - Oct 1
    No Time To Die (James Bond) - Oct 8
    Halloween Kills - Oct 15
    Eternals - Nov 5
    Ghostbusters: Afterlife - Nov 11
    Top Gun: Maverick - Nov 19
    King Richard - Nov 19
    West Side Story - Dec 10
    Spider-man: No Way Home - Dec 17
    Sing 2 - Dec 22
    Matrix 4 - Dec 22
    Downton Abbey 2 - Dec 22
    Morbius - Jan 28
    Uncharted - Feb 18

    (I think we should we get and early start date so we can include Venom 2 on Sept 24, amiright?)
    I think the upcoming Black Widow will give a good taste of how things work out with simultaneous theater and streaming releases. Of course it's a bit different than HBOmax in that you have to shell out an extra $30 for the Disney+ premium. But still, a good taste of things to come.
    Q "Why do you like Duke, you didn't even go there." A "Because my art school didn't have a basketball team."

  5. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by JasonEvans View Post
    Yeah, it is too late to try for the summer contest and the summer schedule is still a bit spotty to make the contest much fun.

    The winter does seem like a reasonable time to get things moving against. The mixing of streaming with regular theatrical release will make it a real challenge. I mean, how do you deal with films like Matrix 4 and Dune which are going to get simultaneous theatrical and HBO Max releases? Not hard to imagine that the HBO Max release will peel off $50 or $100 mil in boxoffice... maybe more.

    The films coming from October to Feb include:

    Dune - Oct 1
    No Time To Die (James Bond) - Oct 8
    Halloween Kills - Oct 15
    Eternals - Nov 5
    Ghostbusters: Afterlife - Nov 11
    Top Gun: Maverick - Nov 19
    King Richard - Nov 19
    West Side Story - Dec 10
    Spider-man: No Way Home - Dec 17
    Sing 2 - Dec 22
    Matrix 4 - Dec 22
    Downton Abbey 2 - Dec 22
    Morbius - Jan 28
    Uncharted - Feb 18

    (I think we should we get and early start date so we can include Venom 2 on Sept 24, amiright?)
    Matrix 4 and Dune both also seem to be WAY more fun in a theater.

    Is Morbius the ONLY non-franchise non-remake? Yikes.

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Hot'Lanta... home of the Falcons!
    Quote Originally Posted by Mtn.Devil.91.92.01.10.15 View Post
    Is Morbius the ONLY non-franchise non-remake? Yikes.
    Morbius is a comic book movie so I see it as part of a larger franchise. It is like Venom and many folks expect Sony to eventually bring all the these anti-heroes together in a mega film, likely to fight against Spiderman. Mobius, Venom, Kraven the Hunter.

    And, of course, there are a lot lot lot of other movies opening in the winter. I just highlighted the ones that would seem to have the highest boxoffice potential. Those are almost always established franchises or otherwise valuable IP because of the built in fan base that drives big ticket sales.

    I highlighted King Richard too, which is the story of Venus and Serena's father, because Will Smith is such a big star that anything he stars in is worth consideration. And I would say that West Side Story, though known IP, is not exactly a typical Hollywood franchise kinda film. I'm not sure where Uncharted falls. It is based on a video game, right?
    I don't know what you are doing right now, but if you aren't listening to the DBR Podcast, you're doing it wrong.

  7. #7
    Quote Originally Posted by JasonEvans View Post
    Morbius is a comic book movie so I see it as part of a larger franchise. It is like Venom and many folks expect Sony to eventually bring all the these anti-heroes together in a mega film, likely to fight against Spiderman. Mobius, Venom, Kraven the Hunter.

    And, of course, there are a lot lot lot of other movies opening in the winter. I just highlighted the ones that would seem to have the highest boxoffice potential. Those are almost always established franchises or otherwise valuable IP because of the built in fan base that drives big ticket sales.

    I highlighted King Richard too, which is the story of Venus and Serena's father, because Will Smith is such a big star that anything he stars in is worth consideration. And I would say that West Side Story, though known IP, is not exactly a typical Hollywood franchise kinda film. I'm not sure where Uncharted falls. It is based on a video game, right?
    Didn't know Morbius was a comic book.

    Sheesh.

  8. #8
    Join Date
    Feb 2008
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    New Bern, NC unless it's a home football game then I'm grilling on Devil's Alley
    Full Dune trailer

    Q "Why do you like Duke, you didn't even go there." A "Because my art school didn't have a basketball team."

  9. #9
    Quote Originally Posted by CameronBornAndBred View Post
    Full Dune trailer
    Looks good! Can't wait to see it at home.

  10. #10
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    Feb 2008
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    New Bern, NC unless it's a home football game then I'm grilling on Devil's Alley
    Quote Originally Posted by PackMan97 View Post
    Looks good! Can't wait to see it at home.
    Zactly! (And possibly spread out over two nights)
    Q "Why do you like Duke, you didn't even go there." A "Because my art school didn't have a basketball team."

  11. #11
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    Feb 2018
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    Quote Originally Posted by CameronBornAndBred View Post
    Full Dune trailer
    It looks like they may have made quite a few changes from the books. It looks like Part Two is still not guaranteed, but will depend on the financial performance of the simultaneous release in theaters and via HBO Max.

  12. #12
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    Quote Originally Posted by Phredd3 View Post
    It looks like they may have made quite a few changes from the books. It looks like Part Two is still not guaranteed, but will depend on the financial performance of the simultaneous release in theaters and via HBO Max.
    I'm just glad we did not see anyone screaming, "He is the Kwisatz Haderach!"

    The Dune books are cool (some of them), but there is some freaky stuff in there that just won't translate well to the screen. Making strategic changes to the books is a very smart choice by the filmmakers.
    I don't know what you are doing right now, but if you aren't listening to the DBR Podcast, you're doing it wrong.

  13. #13
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    Feb 2018
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    Durham, NC
    Quote Originally Posted by JasonEvans View Post
    I'm just glad we did not see anyone screaming, "He is the Kwisatz Haderach!"

    The Dune books are cool (some of them), but there is some freaky stuff in there that just won't translate well to the screen. Making strategic changes to the books is a very smart choice by the filmmakers.
    The first trailer I saw made it look much more like the film would adhere pretty strictly to the books, so to me this is a change in perception. I completely agree that the changes may be very productive and make it a better film. But it helps me to know going in that there are significant changes, so I'm not anticipating things that don't happen, the way I was in, say, the LOTR series.

  14. #14
    Join Date
    Feb 2008
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    New Bern, NC unless it's a home football game then I'm grilling on Devil's Alley
    New Ghostbusters Afterlife trailer dropped this morning.

    Q "Why do you like Duke, you didn't even go there." A "Because my art school didn't have a basketball team."

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