Originally Posted by
SCMatt33
Records against quads absolutely matter in general. If you think that Georgetown being 49 vs 51 and Duke having a 7-1 record vs a 6-1 record when it’s all said and done will change our seed, you’re putting too much weight on it. Does 7-1 vs 3-2 make a difference, absolutely. Does 10-1 vs 5-1 make a difference, yes. But the committee isn’t going to flip someone’s seed because Georgetown won or lost in the big east quarterfinals and changes whether they’re Q1 or Q2. They’re not going to show up on Wednesday with Georgetown as a Q2 and have Duke as a 2 seed, then have Georgetown win a game and move up and say “you know what, I think Duke’s a 1 seed now.” If two teams are in the same ballpark, they’re going to look at individual games and break them down further then that
Does it matter that in a down ACC year Duke is only going to have 8-10 total Q1 games vs another year where Duke may have 13-15 with the same schedule, yes, but that’s why we’re discussing a 3 loss Duke needing help for a 1 seed vs most years where 5-6 losses would have us in the conversation. It doesn’t mean that Georgetown is going to be some super awesome win that propels us past SDSU or Gonzaga because it’s Q1 or let’s Maryland pass us and kick us out of the east because it’s Q2. It’s a decent win against a bubble team today and it will be a decent win against a bubble team tomorrow.
Might it look different in the committee room if all four borderline games fall on one side or the other, perhaps, but if all four of them are playing well or poorly enough to definitively fall on one side or the other, there probably is a material difference in how good those teams really were.