Originally Posted by
dukebluesincebirth
Yep. Right on pace with a report of 1,656 today in NC. So what do the experts project for these states in the "holding steady" pattern? 1,500 per day sounds like a lot of cases to me, but I'm surely not an expert and maybe this isn't an important metric? I assume that at this point, those who have decided that social distancing and mask wearing are important are consistently doing those things, and those who never believed in it aren't going to start. So here we are. Now where do we go? Is this still part of the "first wave?" Are waves even a thing anymore? Are we looking at ~ 1,500 a day until a vaccine arrives? If an effective vaccine took another 6 months to implement, that's about another 250,000 cases in NC. We're already 9th in the nation in total cases since March at 170, 570 (according to NCDHHS website data).
Seven-day moving average peaked at 2,011 cases on July 18, dipped to around 1,200 a month later and is now at 1,650 two+ weeks later. So, there has been a recent increase in cases.
While NC is ninth in total cases, it is a relatively large state. It is 25th in cases per one million population. NC is well below most of the other states in the South -- the exception being Virginia. NC has 16,364 cases per million through yesterday. LA is twice that and most of the other Southern states, including Texas, are between 22,000 and 30,000 cases per million.
Last edited by sagegrouse; 09-03-2020 at 01:51 PM.
Sage Grouse
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'When I got on the bus for my first road game at Duke, I saw that every player was carrying textbooks or laptops. I coached in the SEC for 25 years, and I had never seen that before, not even once.' - David Cutcliffe to Duke alumni in Washington, DC, June 2013