in the red but ahead of us 'dearly departed'
Why are you wasting time here when you could be wasting it by listening to the latest episode of the DBR Podcast?
in the red but ahead of us 'dearly departed'
After a variety of bets that took me to 25th place and then to 5th place, I’m finally back to where I want to be: 0. No more bets for me!
I'm sorry, and trust me I am.
But the smart bet here is UNC + 8.
8 points?
This is Duke-North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
Easy money.
Thankfully I don't live in Vegas and don't bet on sports outside of Vegas.
Go Duke by 30. But don't bet on that. I just hope we find a way to win a close one. These cheats aren't nearly as bad as I wish they were. And they're healthy and hungry for us.
hoping we keep Roy in the press conference spirit
You can now get confident about this game, my friend, because I disagree with you.
For the purposes of the contest (and a real life bet), I'm waiting around to see if I can get 6.5 or 7. (I think the line will move towards UNC based on what you are saying -- rivalry game, big home dog). But yeah, I like Duke here.
Without Brandon Robinson (another reason to wait is to be extra sure he's not playing, since it's UNC), we can overload our defense towards Anthony or towards their bigs with hopefully impunity. It's just a really nice matchup for us if they don't have their only reliable 3-pt shooter.
Also, I *like* that Duke is coming off a bad game. I *like* that Coach K is mad at the team for the BC performance. I also feel like we're a better team now that we were able to implement and use a 2-2-1 press and zone defense against BC for the win. They give us more options, which make us better.
Agreed. Took Duke and the under.
Jason, any chance we could expand the contest next year to include more bets? For example, covers has a nice article up about the game tonight and offers suggestions about how to bet the first half and first to 20 points, etc.
Could be fun to include those types of side bets and make us truly degenerates
I got Duke -7 and the under. Really like both of those bets. The advanced metrics think Duke should be more like a 9 point favorite.
Those more exotic bets are not available on Covers, I don't think. I am game to let us bet every way we can (except with actual money).
Why are you wasting time here when you could be wasting it by listening to the latest episode of the DBR Podcast?
I hope you're right. I love that you're sharp and right more than you're wrong, especially when you feel good about a bet.
I'm assuming Robinson will play. Of course he is healthy and will play. Cheats have been pulling that Willis Reed stunt for years. Don't be fooled.
Unfortunately, every once in a while I get a feeling on a game, and I trust my gut. (Degenerate gambler's last words! ): Here's the thing: If Duke wins this game and especially if we cover in Chapel Hill, Roy is going to completely lose it and this Cheats team will be Done. I think they'll be done anyway, but if they lose today it will completely break them.
And I've seen enough horror movies to know that true evil just doesn't die that easily. It just doesn't. I hope Duke finds a way to win, but we are not going to win and cover.
Since Wheat has been mostly been reduced to lurking (Hi \\\Wheat\\\!), somebody has to do it. So here it is. I'll back my prediction with a pie bet proposal. Don't bet me - I've got that feeling and you'll lose a pie this time. Throw all the stats out the window - this is Duke/UNC. If you think stats matter you haven't been watching this rivalry for the last 50+ years. Nobody knows what will happen, but these games don't go boringly according to script. Anthony is due for a huge game. He will score more than 30.
Bet available only for first taker:
I get UNC + 7.5 points (current line I believe).
You get Duke -7.5 points.
For 1 pie:
https://shop.gtpie.com/category/fruit_pies
(click pies link near top for other flavor options too)
Of course I'm rooting for you to win the bet. I'll gladly ship a pie to help celebrate the demise of this cheat team and just for Roy's dadgum presser. I don't just want to win, I want to win big and demoralize them. No pie changes that one iota.
Who wants to play?
(this is DBR and pies still get bet)
Another factor is I believe Duke was heavy favorite in early recruiting to land both Cole Anthony and Armando Bacot. I think Duke may have actually cooled and stopped recruiting both of them in favor of other options. So there is extra motivation and axe to grind. Plus Anthony of course could really use a huge game to boost his NBA draft stock, and this is the one everybody is watching.
I like my bet. And I love how bad I usually am at sports betting, I hope.
Thanks! I'm glad we found a way to win. Unbelievable.
My wife excitedly told me she wants the Wayne Hill Cherry Ganache. Thankfully, my pie gambling vice will save me this Valentine's. I don't think the beers and hot sauces in the fridge are quite as exciting for her. But she had a big smile requesting that pie.
Thanks Left Hook! and Thanks Trouble for the Congrats! Congrats to you both on your picks in our contest. Keep doing whatever you're doing, and make some real money the fun way
I had a streak of about +3000 at one point, putting me solidly in the top 5. I foolishly thought it would continue...
My original strategy was 0 bets and being competitive. Getting called out for that lame strategy (I agree, it is lame), spurned me to betting. Then my goal became just to get back to zero. It was tricky, but I’m happy where I am.
Just dropping in and being amazed to see no action here on the Duke -8 line...
[redacted] them and the horses they rode in on.