^ good choice on your methodology, sir (or madame)!
Contest time again! This will remain open until tip-off of the Kansas game - all posts in before then will count. Pick the minutes per game for each of Duke's players. Minutes per game will be calculated per total team game, not just total games played by the player. In other words, if Joey Baker gets into 10 of the team's 40 games and plays 100 total minutes, his MPG will be 2.5, not 10. jv001 was last year's winner, whose projections were off by a total of 23.8 minutes across the entire team. For reference, here's last year's numbers:
Barrett - 35.3
Jones - 32.4
Reddish - 28.1
Williamson - 26.1
White - 18.8
Bolden - 17.6
DeLaurier - 16.3
O'Connell - 13.3
Goldwire - 7.9
Vrankovic - 2.4
Robinson - 1.5
Baker - 0.5
Buckmire - 0.3
Besser - 0.3
(careful readers will note that totals more than 200 - this is because the team played an overtime game. If you want to factor potential overtimes into your projections, more power to you)
Just be you. You is enough. - K, 4/5/10, 0:13.8 to play, 60-59 Duke.
You're all jealous hypocrites. - Titus on Laettner
You see those guys? Animals. They're animals. - SIU Coach Chris Lowery, on Duke
^ good choice on your methodology, sir (or madame)!
Thanks for organizing the contest.
Looking at last years thread, there were many entries which didnt include the entire roster. Can you clarify how the results are calculated, particularly for guys who dont play much?
If I recall correctly, previous threads have discussed how to handle guys that play less than 2 minutes per game, but I dont remember the conclusion. It seems to me that the most straightforward way would be to require all contest participants to predict the minutes for all 12 non-redshirt players on the roster.
Just trying to determine how much effort to spend trying to figure out whether Mike Buckmire is going to play 0.4 or 0.5 mpg!
Tre 33
Javin 22
Carey 22
Moore 22
Hurt 28
Stanley 21
White 17
Baker 14
O'Connell 14
Goldwire 7
As a practical matter, the guys who don't play much play so few minutes that it doesn't really matter. I had, in past years, allowed an "other" category for the collective group of players who play less than 2mpg, but also allowed people to guess those players and judged against them individually if they did - which all just proved way too complicated. So this year everyone will just be ranked individually. If you pick 1 or 0 for the walk-ons, odds are you will be off by about 0.5 minutes either way.
Just be you. You is enough. - K, 4/5/10, 0:13.8 to play, 60-59 Duke.
You're all jealous hypocrites. - Titus on Laettner
You see those guys? Animals. They're animals. - SIU Coach Chris Lowery, on Duke
Tre 34
Hurt 26
Carey 24
Moore 23
Stanley 21
White 18
Javin 17
Goldwire 13
Baker 11
AOC 11
Robinson 2
Buckmire 0
Tre 35
Hurt 29
Carey 24
Moore 23
Stanley 20
White 18
Javin 18
Goldwire 13
AOC 12
Baker 6
Robinson 2
Jones-35
Hurt-30
Stanley-25
Moore-23
Carey-23
DeLaurier-17
White-17
O'Connell-15
Goldwire-10
Baker-3
Robinson-2
Buckmire-0
Lots of folks selling on Baker. Interesting.
I'm probably buying into Coach K's statements which sound like more players-more minutes this season. That said, here goes:
Jones- 35
Hurt- 30
Carey- 24
Moore- 17
Goldwire- 17
O'Connell- 16
DeLaurier- 16
Stanley- 16
Baker- 15
White- 12
Robinson- 1.5
Buckmire-. 5
I look for O'Connell, Baker, Hurt and maybe Carey to hit enough threes to make Duke a top 5-10 team. I'm still worried about Javin playing like an all-conference player and will again be in foul trouble for a good part of the ACC season. This team will probably have defense as their calling card.
GoDuke!
Tre 35
Hurt 27
Moore 24
Carey 22
Goldwire 18
Javin 17
Stanley 16
White 15
AOC 15
Baker 9
Robinson 2
Buckmire 0
Criticism may not be agreeable, but it is necessary. It fulfils the same function as pain in the human body. It calls attention to an unhealthy state of things. - Winston Churchill
President of the "Nolan Smith Should Have His Jersey in The Rafters" Club
Tre 35
Hurt 27
Carey 25
Moore 24
Stanley 22
White 17
Javin 17
AOC - 15
Goldwire 9
Baker 8
Robinson 1
Never done this before, and this is completely "on the fly," but here goes nothin':
Jones 33
Hurt 27
Stanley 24
Moore 23
Carey 22
White 20
Goldwire 20
DeLaurier 15
O'Connell 7
Baker 7
Robinson 2
"Amazing what a minute can do."
Without involving Ymm, Beer, here's my WAG:
Jones 34
Goldwire 12
Moore 24
Stanley 24
Baker 8
AOC 13
White 16
Hurt 28
Carey 25
Javin 15
JRob 1
Nine guys playing >10 minutes each? Ok, Lucy, set up that PK again...
[redacted] them and the horses they rode in on.
With an extreme level of wagginess, here is my wag
Tre 33
Hurt 28
Carey 22
Moore 22
Stanley 22
White 17
Javin 17
AOC - 15
Goldwire 15
Baker 8
Robinson 1
Probably not realistic to have 9 players average double digit minutes but I don't think there is a huge separation in talent in players 4-9.
Jones - 33
Hurt - 30
Moore - 25
Carey - 25
Stanley - 22
DeLaurier - 20
White - 15
OConnell - 12
Goldwire - 10
Baker - 5
Robinson - 2
Buckmire - .5
Savarino - .25
Worthington -.25
Tre 34
Hurt 29
Carey 17
Moore 28
Stanley 19
White 13
Javin 24
Goldwire 17
Baker 15
AOC 5
.and you prolly can't win if you don't have good picks, but that never stopped me from trying before.
Here goes:
Moore - 17
Carey - 24
Stanley - 22
Jones - 34
DeLaurier - 14
Baker - 18
Goldwire - 8
O'Connell - 13
Hurt - 26
Savarino - .2
White - 18
Robinson - 6
Buckmire - .3