In the midst of his 6th season as Eagles head coach, Jim Christian has turned BC from bottom dweller to competitive in the ACC. Christian has yet to accumulate a winning record in conference but is 2-0 so far on the young season with tight victories at home against Wake Forest and on the road against Notre Dame.
The Eagles feature a few familiar faces. First and foremost, Duke fans will recognize senior grad transfer Derryck Thornton, the former Blue Devil. After a promising freshman season in Durham, Thornton transferred to USC and never really showed much. He started most games as a red-shirt junior but never put up gaudy numbers. He is now leading the Eagles in scoring and assists, but is sporting a 1:1 assist-to-turnover ratio and is shooting under 30% from 3 on the season. On the plus side, the ball is in his hands a lot this year as he is averaging a team-high 12 field goal attempts per game.
The Eagles do not do much well on offense. They rank outside the top 200 in offensive efficiency, effective field goal percentage, turnover percentage, and offensive rebounding. They are just inside that top 200 in free throw rate and do an ok job of getting to the line on a variety of drives to the hoop. BC is sort of nondescript on defense as well with the exception of steal percentage. They have a number of players that will strip the ball out of the hands of the offense, including 6'8" JR F Steffon Mitchell. Mitchell shares playmaking responsibilities with Thornton and is a frequent passer. He also turns the ball over a ton, so defensive pressure will be key.
Health is a bit of an issue for BC this year. They are without Wyston Tabbs, the SO G that had a quietly great freshman season. Tabbs is out for the year with an injury. He was expected to pair with Thornton in the backcourt this season, which would have made the Eagles a borderline dark horse NCAA Tournament team. Instead, BC is relying on 6'3" FR G Jay Heath, to provide some scoring. Heath has been pretty good, shooting 39.0% from 3 and is 2nd on the team with 12.3 points per game. SR F Nic Popovic is another guy that can stretch the floor, but he has been out of commission since BC lost to Northwestern in the ACC-B1G challenge. In lieu of Popovic, Jim Christian has relied on a variety of 6'8" forwards, including the aforementioned Mitchell and SO F Jarius Hamilton. Hamilton's older brother Jared is a 6'4" SR G on the team. Both Mitchell and Jarius Hamilton would be described as combo forwards or stretch 4's (without much stretching as both are shooting under 30% from 3 on the season) rather than post players. They are going to have their hands full with Carey and Hurt on defense. The Eagles may also throw 6'7" FR F CJ Felder at Duke in the post if Popvic remains sidelined.
Given the way Coach K described Tre Jones' foot sprain, I expect to see the PG return for Duke. The battle of Duke once and future PG should be interesting as both like to apply pressure and hang their hat on defense. Even if Tre Jones is unable to go, expect to see a game plan that forces BC into bad passes and makes this an up-and-down affair. In the half court, Duke will look to establish Vernon Carey early and often. BC may throw a zone out at Duke to cope with their height deficiency and to pressure the Blue Devils to convert from behind the arc. BC is not a particularly good offensive rebounding squad, so getting those missed shots will be a big key for Duke. T-Rank has Duke as a heavy favorite in this one and I hope that the year/decade ends on a high (and healthy) note. Let's Go Duke!