New polls today from the senate races in Iowa and Kentucky. Iowa is fairly likely to be the tipping point seat for the senate. Democrats seems fairly likely to get pickups in Colorado, Arizona, and North Carolina and lose a seat in Alabama. Iowa and Maine are likely the next two most likely seats to flip.
Anyway
the Iowa poll finds the Democratic challenger Theresa Greenfield with a
48-45 lead over incumbent GOP Joni Ernst. The poll also finds Trump and Biden tied at 46, so Ernst is running behind Trump, which is not good. She also has a poor 39-52 favorability gap.
Meanwhile,
in Kentucky well-funded Democratic challenger Amy McGrath has a 1 point lead over Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell
41-40. Obviously, there are a lot of undecided voters in that poll and I just have a hard time seeing a Democrat winning that race, but McGrath is a very strong candidate.
-Jason "if the Dems take the Kentucky senate seat, it will be part of a huge blue wave election... but I just don't see that happening" Evans