FWIW, I am wearing a soft boot at the house for precautionary reasons.
FWIW, I am wearing a soft boot at the house for precautionary reasons.
I know quite a few North Dakotans who are quite successful in the world at large. All claim North Dakota as their home state but live elsewhere.
Some of them spend time in the summer at Detroit Lakes -- Minnesota, not the Dakotas (nor Michigan), but less than an hour east of Fargo.
Sage Grouse
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'When I got on the bus for my first road game at Duke, I saw that every player was carrying textbooks or laptops. I coached in the SEC for 25 years, and I had never seen that before, not even once.' - David Cutcliffe to Duke alumni in Washington, DC, June 2013
Great story. Didn't know that tidbit, though watched the Bison last night at Buffalo Wild Wings (was the only 1 watching the game in the room I was in), and watched them win the conference tourney against Omaha week before last.
As posted elsewhere on other threads, my daughter is in her 2nd year of grad school there, and I've been to Fargo twice to see her, so I can vouch for the folks there being community oriented, down to earth, good folks. No surprise at all to me the coach and folks there would get behind a great cause. For me personally, my first Bison sporting event live was the FCS Championship in Fargo this year where they won title #7. As I am sure you (BisonFan) can attest, the NDSU fans, at least the football ones, are nuts. Confident they will take it for what it is worth - a chance, albeit very slim, to 'shock the world', and as BandAlum posted elsewhere, an opportunity to tell their kids and grandkids they played against, and maybe scored on, Zion.
In addition to the math error pointed out above, it would take at least five hundred games to reliably distinguish a 1/25 event from a 1/100 event. It might take tens of thousands to distinguish a 1/100 event from a 1/1000 event. After 136 games we have very little information about how frequently a 16-over-1 upset is likely to occur.
The badlands and Black Hills of SD are great. Have not had the chance to visit ND yet but look forward to it.
And, because, this is essentially great:
https://youtu.be/QxgmskQgb9U
We certainly do. I’ve lived in ND all my life. Went to college at the University of ND (UND) rather than NDSU. It was during my time at UND in the late 80s that I became a Duke fan.
I was in Florida with my adult kids on vacation last week and we were able to enjoy all 3 ACC tourney games together. I indoctrinated my children well as they are also crazy Duke fans. One is a NDSU grad.
Go Duke!
Isn't it 1 every 136 times? I once read a discussion about Laura Bush having the accident where she hit the car driven by someone she dated in high school, and the young man died. Someone posited in the comments, "hitting your boyfriend and he dies -- what are the odds?" And someone replied, "well, for her, 1 out of 1."
Phil Steele analyzed CFB upsets at certain betting line differentials. Wouldn't the same work, roughly, for various 16 v 1 match-ups?
Last year, per the SRS, Virginia (#5) ended up 24 points better than #183 UMBC: https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb...8-ratings.html
So, how often has a 24-point underdog won a CBB game outright? [Not sure what the spread in SRS was pre-game.]
Right now, per the SRS, Duke (#1) is 32 points better than #214 NDSU: https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb...9-ratings.html
How many times has a 32-point CBB hoops underdog won outright?
No, with rare outcomes, each successful event is an outlier. Thus, you need a TON of observations to feel confident in your estimate of a rare outcome. For example, 1 in a million means once in one million trials. It doesn’t mean you fail 999,999 times before succeeding. That one success could happen at any time. If you only take 300 observations but get lucky and that once in a million happens, you would be overestimating the probability to say it is 1 in 300.
I, too, can attest that they do. Fargo’s municipal slogan is, “North of Normal.” And they recognize that many people visit just to collect their 50th state. If that’s why you’re there, the visitor’s center in Fargo will give you a t-shirt that says, “I saved the best for last.”
I found both those things hilariously self-deprecating when we visited last summer (for state #49, so no t-shirt for me).
"Amazing what a minute can do."