Coby is a heck of a player but in the first game he went 3-14 with 6 TOs. I think having Zion back helps the rest of the team's defense. Tre is going to be able to hound him much of the game. As for the bench, defense counts and I like what Duke can get from Jack and Jordan. Alex may even chip in some offense.
UNC working through their defensive sets at today’s practice
https://gfycat.com/reliablegianthairstreak
I think the poster's point was that Carolina's SOS is to some degree artificially propped up by the fact that they played us twice without Zion (when we were markedly worse than the Top 1-3 team we otherwise have been throughout the season, but UNC's SOS still gets "full credit" for having played Duke).
I don't think it's a material effect -- and, in any event, trying to parse a meaningful difference from having an SOS that is #1 or #3 or #5 or #14 in the country doesn't make much sense to me.
While the poster was talking about Ken Pom's SOS rankings, there seem to be others one could point to that come out differently.
For example, under Warren Nolan's "SOS" rankings (unclear to me how he does them), we are #2 and UNC is #5 -- http://warrennolan.com/basketball/2019/sos
And, the RPI SOS has us #2 and UNC #5 -- http://warrennolan.com/basketball/2019/rpi-live
Finally, and most importantly, the Net Team Sheets -- i.e., what the Committee is mostly likely actually working off of, has Duke at #3 SOS and UNC at #4 -- https://extra.ncaa.org/solutions/rpi...14,%202019.pdf
Duke needs to treat this game as the championship- defense will win it. UNC is never out of games because they have three good 3 point shooters- and another who can get hot! Duke has no good three point shooters- but a few that can get warmish. But Duke can drive the ball really well and apply pressure on D. This is a game that will be won in the last few minutes- which means players need to execute.
We will need to shoot better on 3 PT FG to win tonight:
1st Game: 8-39 (20.5%)
2nd Game: 8-32 (25%)
Carolina is playing great ball right now so we will have to have a solid defensive game, get back on defense, limit transition opportunities and second chance points, etc...but as Kedsy has pointed out multiple times, we lost because of under performing on offense.
The Duke player with a "Big Red Circle" around him is Tre Jones. If Carolina opts to lay off him using the player "guarding" Tre to double team, Tre has to make them pay by knocking down open looks. He has to shoot better than 1-6 (1st game) and 1-3 (2nd game) on 3 PT FG.
Having Zion Williamson playing will make a huge difference but I still believe the key to the game will be making shots.
Bob Green
When is the last time Duke lost 3 times in one season against the cheats?
As for the game tonight, we must, and I can't stress this enough, MUST get offensive production from Tre tonight. I know that's asking a lot, but if he's hitting those floaters, driving and dishing and or driving and scoring, that opens up sooooooooooooooooo much more for the entire team.
Please Tre, if there is a game we need you to get buckets, it's tonight my man!
1975-76 season according to this article:
https://balldurham.com/2019/03/15/du...all-tar-heels/
Bob Green
Last time UNC won 3 in a row was across two seasons: 2006-2007. Last time they won 3 in a season was 1976 according to this link.
https://cbbseries.com/compare/north-...sus/duke/games
The teams used to play three times a year with an early game in Greensboro. There was a big four tournament in Greensboro from 1971 to 1981.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Big_Four_Tournament
The last time we won 3 in a season was 2002.
The last time Duke lost 3 times is 1976. Duke has beaten UNC 3 times in a season 3 times since then.
Duke has lost to UNC 3 times in a season 10 times. Duke has won 3 in a season over UNC 4 times. Duke and UNC have played at least 3 times in a season 41 times. I say at least 3 because Duke and UNC have played 4 times in a season, 3 times.
Most recent examples of Duke losing the two regular season games but winning the conference tourney game is 1980 and 1984.
I knew you guys would pull through finding such dark days of despair!
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Let's Go Duke!
-jk
quite the cherry pick. in the second game he had 21 points and 0 TOs, and 3 blocks to boot. Even if you call it a "tie" head to head, Coby white still has the better overall numbers.
Tre is the better defender, sure, but he's not enough of a consistent offensive threat to make up the difference.
April 1