This article has some cool stats.
https://www.ncaa.com/news/basketball...ver-louisville
The ACC network game on free TV tonight. Announcers said our win last night represented the largest comeback to win in last 10 minutes in NCAA history. Had not heard that before.
This article has some cool stats.
https://www.ncaa.com/news/basketball...ver-louisville
Pretty much. I went back and looked at it again. L'ville's win probability was at least 99.0% in the second half from the 11:27 mark to the 6:22 mark, and 99.0 doesn't look too different from 99.9. Their win probability didn't fall below 90% until the ~4:13 mark. The last time the graph shows L'ville with a >50% win probability was at 1:10 mark (51.9%). At 0:45 mark, Duke had a 53.5% win probability. That was the first time Duke had a >50% win probability since 3:10 mark of the first half when it was 28-26 L'ville.
Not saying it's #1 (or 2 or 3), but the 2003 ACC Championship against NC State we were down by 15 with about 10 minutes left before it turned into the JJ Redick show... it's in my top 10
The 2011 Seth / Nolan Smith comeback against UNC was (at the time) the biggest halftime deficit we'd erased in a half-century... probably deservedly eclipsed by the Austin Rivers game the next year but it was special in and of itself.
All of you are completely wrong. Coach K's best comeback was "F--- you, Dean!"
(I assume we are including verbal comebacks.)
(I think that was the 1989 ACC Tournament final. Please correct me if it was not.)
several times. I did some scoping out of biggest comebacks ever to try to come up with some sort of regression a while back, and here were the ones I found that failed his test:
http://www.sportingnews.com/ncaa-bas...xc13im/slide/3
down 5, safe lead = 4.6
http://www.slate.com/articles/sports...d_is_safe.html
down 8 safe lead = 7
http://www.sportingnews.com/ncaa-bas...xc13im/slide/5
down 10 safe lead 8.5
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comeback_(sports)#NCAA
norther iowa over tx a&m
down 12 safe lead 9
http://www.sportingnews.com/us/ncaa-...xc13im/slide/2
down 13 safe lead 10
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comeback_(sports)#NCAA
new mexico nevada
down 14 safe lead 11
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-bas...meId=400919906
down 17 safe lead 15
down 19 safe lead 18
Those are all the ones i could find.
1200. DDMF.
I would guess it has been wrong rarely. I don't think he claimed it's infallible. He does claim in The Slate article that however that he believes once it's "safe," (or >100% "certain"), it is indeed "safe," even if the "safe" team only wins by a few points. (Yes, I do scratch my chin about that just a bit.)
[redacted] them and the horses they rode in on.