Why are you wasting time here when you could be wasting it by listening to the latest episode of the DBR Podcast?
I find this both interesting and telling. Much is hyped about how while Trump is behind in the polls, there as incredible enthusiasm for him that transcends what those polls are showing. Is it possible that's not the case? It obviously was in 2016, but maybe no longer.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/202...isers-n1233540Well before the call was made to postpone President Donald Trump’s Saturday re-election rally in New Hampshire, the warning lights were flashing red.
There were no signs of the typical throngs of supporters camped out days in advance for a good spot; the Republican governor said he would skip it, advising anyone at high risk to stay home over coronavirus concerns; fears of a repeat of Tulsa’s disappointing turnout weighed heavily; and then came the stormy weather reports, which could have further stifled attendance.
Now, of course Coronavirus could (and should!) play part in people's reluctance to stay away. It is literally impossible to know how his rallies would play out without that concern. But it is also possible that it is not just the virus, but also a weakened excitement. But blaming the weather was a bit of a ruse, I think.
The campaign never said this rally was cancelled, they said it is postponed. But it is obvious they are very wary of how Tulsa looked, and the aftermath that it brought. Can't blame them for not wanting to replicate that experience.
If I were the campaign, and planning any future rallies, I would not hold them in any states that he is not expected to dominate anyway. Go to Mississippi, go to Alabama. Show yourself off then to a national TV audience with the backdrop of a huge crowd. Someone in New Hampshire is still going to watch, they just won't witness it in person.
Of course, there is always the chance that even in a deep red state, with cases spiking, you still don't get a crowd, and you get Tulsa all over again.
Q "Why do you like Duke, you didn't even go there." A "Because my art school didn't have a basketball team."
^ I noted some of this yesterday, but be advised that it got me a wee ding from the authorities, which is OK. (yes, the rally had ALL the earmarks of something that was not going to go well).
Q "Why do you like Duke, you didn't even go there." A "Because my art school didn't have a basketball team."
Q "Why do you like Duke, you didn't even go there." A "Because my art school didn't have a basketball team."
some of my other comments may have been overly partisan, and can't argue with that...but yes, days ahead of time (especially after Sununu said he wouldn't go) it became clear the rally was going to be a hard sell...I had really been hoping for another Sharpie moment, because the storm track story was a good one..
Latest CBSNews poll discussed here. Biden +6 in FL, tied in AZ, -1 in TX. All these states undergoing COVID surges.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/polit...5l0?li=BBnb7Kz
As COVID gets worse, as it appears it will, this is not good news for Trump. And what happens when the surging cases turn into surging deaths? At what number does the degree of separation become 0, where virtually everyone knows someone who has died?Biden had overwhelming support, at 72 percent in Arizona, 67 percent in Florida and 68 percent in Texas, among voters who are "very concerned" about COVID-19, pollsters found.
And then his best demographic (outside of uneducated whites) are the ones dying. I don't think Florida is going to be that close in November.Trump leads Biden among seniors in Florida by 8 points, at 50 percent support compared to Biden's 42 percent.
About the only thing voters care about more than the economy is their lives. They don't make hearses with luggage racks (Don Henley).
As bad as things are getting, I think we're still a long way from that. I don't even think we're terribly close to everyone knowing someone who has tested positive yet (I was briefly tempted to mess around with some numbers to get a rough estimate of how many people would need to test positive for 50% of the population to be expected to know someone who tested positive, but not tempted enough to actually do it).
Meanwhile, apparently discrediting Dr. Fauci is now a good optic as well?
https://www.yahoo.com/news/white-hou...184700526.html
"Amazing what a minute can do."
I think you're wrong. Florida has about 300K cases now. Do you really think 15K/day is the peak? I don't. So by mid to late August we could have a million cases here. That's 1 in 20 people. I don't know about you, but I know a lot more than 20 people. And I'm a hermit.
— Etta JamesDon't know why
There's no sun up in the sky
Stormy weather
Since my man and I ain't together
Keeps raining all of the time
Oh, yeah
Life is bad
Gloom and misery everywhere
Stormy weather, stormy weather
And I just can get my poor self together
Oh, I'm weary all of the time
The time, so weary all of the time
When he went away
The blues walked in and met me
Oh, yeah if he stays away
Old rocking chair's gonna get me
All I do is pray
The Lord will let me
Walk in the sun once more
Oh, I can't go on, can't go on, can't go on
Everything I have is gone
Stormy weather, stormy weather
Since my man and I, me and my daddy ain't together
Keeps raining all of the time
Oh, oh, keeps raining all of the time
Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah raining all of the time
Stormy stormy
Stormy weather
Well, that's in Florida, but I wasn't talking specifically about Florida. Florida's new case rate is particularly bad right now, but doesn't extrapolate to the rest of the country. Also, the odds of any specific person not knowing someone with COVID at 1/20 isn't as low as you might think.
Well, this is the Presidential thread, not the coronavirus thread, and my post was on the impact on the election. Florida, like The Clash, is the only state (band) that matters. Sure, a bit of hyperbole, but then so was The Clash.
You matter a bit in NC, as do others in PA, etc., but it generally acknowledged that FL is the point of no return for Trump. If you're in CA or OK, etc., for all intents and purposes you really don't matter in Presidential elections. But don't get me started on the Electoral College...