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  1. #161
    Quote Originally Posted by Fish80 View Post
    Have to tweak my formula.
    Ahh, a casino owners dream: a system player...😂

  2. #162
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    In case anyone's wondering, with Zion's status in question, we're not going to get the Duke line for awhile. (FSU/Pitt is already up).

    Closer to tip, even if Zion's status hasn't been announced yet, some books will put up a line anyway and quickly move it if needed later. I'm not sure Covers will react in time if that happens. Assume for now that we don't get to bet on Duke/Cuse, and be pleasantly surprised if that changes.

  3. #163
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Hot'Lanta... home of the Falcons!
    I'm not seeing anything on Covers yet, but the offshore bookies who don't mind taking action prior to knowing about Zion's eye have Duke -17. That is a big number considering how slow Syracuse plays.
    Why are you wasting time here when you could be wasting it by listening to the latest episode of the DBR Podcast?

  4. #164
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Lines are up everywhere now, including Covers. I underestimated the books and Covers and, as mentioned, am pleasantly surprised.

  5. #165
    The Duke/Cuse line is up. We've opened as a 16.5 pt favorite.

    Given the short turnaround, unknown status of Zion, and unfamiliarity of our freshman vs the zone, I've got Cuse +16.5 and the Under. I just don't see us scoring enough to cover both of those numbers, and Cuse's O is bad.

    In the other game tonight, I'm putting my full faith and credit behind Capel's Pitt resurgence. I've got a full $500 on Pitt +4.5, and then a small bet on the Under. FSU relied on too many banked 3's and other sloppy baskets in our game for me to have enough faith in their offense to get to the Over.

  6. #166
    Join Date
    Feb 2016
    Location
    Atlanta
    Quote Originally Posted by Hingeknocker View Post
    The Duke/Cuse line is up. We've opened as a 16.5 pt favorite.

    Given the short turnaround, unknown status of Zion, and unfamiliarity of our freshman vs the zone, I've got Cuse +16.5 and the Under. I just don't see us scoring enough to cover both of those numbers, and Cuse's O is bad.

    In the other game tonight, I'm putting my full faith and credit behind Capel's Pitt resurgence. I've got a full $500 on Pitt +4.5, and then a small bet on the Under. FSU relied on too many banked 3's and other sloppy baskets in our game for me to have enough faith in their offense to get to the Over.
    I'm with you on the Duke game, but took FSU to cover and the over, which was 142.5 when I placed my bet.

    I have only 1,000 total at risk tonight.

  7. #167
    I don't feel great about any of tonight's games, but a commitment to degeneracy is a commitment I'm not willing to give up on! I've got six bets tonight:

    In the battle of Virginia, I just think the Cavaliers at home are too much for anyone to handle. I've got UVA -8, but went with the Under, given that both teams play good defense.

    For State/Wake, it's the opposite kind of stylistic matchup. I took the Over, but do think Wake will find a way to keep it close (or State will let them hang around), so I have Wake +10.5.

    And finally, I do think our friends in Chapel Hill, taking on Notre Dame, will rebound from the weekend (seriously, a 20 game score on BartTorvik.com is horrendous), so I have them -14.5, with the Over.

  8. #168
    Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Location
    Undisclosed
    Quote Originally Posted by Hingeknocker View Post
    I don't feel great about any of tonight's games, but a commitment to degeneracy is a commitment I'm not willing to give up on! I've got six bets tonight:

    In the battle of Virginia, I just think the Cavaliers at home are too much for anyone to handle. I've got UVA -8, but went with the Under, given that both teams play good defense.

    For State/Wake, it's the opposite kind of stylistic matchup. I took the Over, but do think Wake will find a way to keep it close (or State will let them hang around), so I have Wake +10.5.

    And finally, I do think our friends in Chapel Hill, taking on Notre Dame, will rebound from the weekend (seriously, a 20 game score on BartTorvik.com is horrendous), so I have them -14.5, with the Over.
    I made the mistake of putting my bets in last night after our game, without much thought but lots of emotion from the game. So not expecting good results tonight.

    The worst kind of degenerate is a knee-jerk degenerate. And that am I.

  9. #169
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Norfolk, VA
    I improved to 6-3 (+1350) by picking Virginia to cover last night.
    Bob Green

  10. #170
    Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Location
    Undisclosed
    I know my high position is short-lived, so enjoying it while I can.

  11. #171
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Quote Originally Posted by OldPhiKap View Post
    I know my high position is short-lived, so enjoying it while I can.
    Isn't this fun, though, OPK? Aren't you glad I kinda convinced you to play again?

    I love the Degenerates league and all you guys who play in it.

    I'm probably not going to win this particular contest, but it's my pleasure to try and to compete against you fellow degenerates!

  12. #172
    When you're a degenerate, what's the best thing to do after a 2-4, -480 night? Make the max number of bets the very next night, risking more total money, of course!

    I do feel better about tonight's games, and I'll be riding a hot team in both games. I have Louisville -10.5 over BC, along with the Over (145.0). This is the perfect game for Louisville, at home, to continue their hot streak after the weekend's dominating performance in Chapel Hill.

    In the other game, I like Georgia Tech +8.0 on the road at Clemson, as well as the Under (133.0). Neither team boasts a good offense, and while I don't think Tech will necessarily win, they have showed good fight lately and I think they'll keep it close.

  13. #173
    Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Location
    Undisclosed
    Quote Originally Posted by Troublemaker View Post
    Isn't this fun, though, OPK? Aren't you glad I kinda convinced you to play again?

    I love the Degenerates league and all you guys who play in it.
    I think the proper term for you is what is known as "an enabler"

  14. #174
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Norfolk, VA
    Quote Originally Posted by Hingeknocker View Post

    I have Louisville -10.5 over BC, along with the Over (145.0).

    In the other game, I like Georgia Tech +8.0 on the road at Clemson, as well as the Under (133.0).
    I took BC and the points (+10.5) in the first game and the Under (133) in the second game. All the "experts" are taking BC so I followed their lead.

    I'm not sure what defines an expert but I imagine the job description is something along the lines of: Get paid to make picks on a fake gambling website so we can label your picks as "expert" in order to influence dimwits like Bob Green to follow your lead.
    Bob Green

  15. #175
    Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Location
    Undisclosed
    Quote Originally Posted by Bob Green View Post
    ]I'm not sure what defines an expert but I imagine the job description is something along the lines of: Get paid to make picks on a fake gambling website so we can label your picks as "expert" in order to influence dimwits like Bob Green to follow your lead.
    Try putting that on your business card. . . .

  16. #176
    Quote Originally Posted by OldPhiKap View Post
    Try putting that on your business card. . . .
    Small type. 😂

  17. #177
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Norfolk, VA
    I went 2-0 (+1000) last night to improve to 8-3 (+2350) for the contest. Those "experts" picking BC knew what they were doing as the +10.5 Eagles lost by 10 points giving me a W.
    Bob Green

  18. #178
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    St Augustine, FL
    Quote Originally Posted by Bob Green View Post
    I went 2-0 (+1000) last night to improve to 8-3 (+2350) for the contest. Those "experts" picking BC knew what they were doing as the +10.5 Eagles lost by 10 points giving me a W.
    Nice. Impressive win percentage you got going there Mr Green! 😊

  19. #179

    Lines up for Saturday

    Lines are out for tomorrow's games...on the contest site. Duke is -2.0 at the moment.

  20. #180
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Norfolk, VA
    Over/Under is currently 140.5 for the UVa at Duke game.
    Bob Green

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