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  1. #101
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Hot'Lanta... home of the Falcons!
    Quote Originally Posted by Troublemaker View Post
    Jason -- are we still doing the -$5000 and you're eliminated from the contest rule?

    There is a new player or two this time, and so I figure it would be good to clarify all your rules.

    Thanks, Mr. Sportsbook Manager.
    Yup, if you hit -5k you must stop making bets as you are eliminated from the contest.

    I am getting closer than I would like at -2grand. It has been a tough start to the season for me.
    I don't know what you are doing right now, but if you aren't listening to the DBR Podcast, you're doing it wrong.

  2. #102
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Midlothian, VA
    Yikes! I got a new formula, trying it out today. 3,000 FMU's riding on 6 different bets. Yee-ha!










    FMU's = Fictitious Monetary Units a.k.a. Dothrakian Drachma

  3. #103
    Quote Originally Posted by Fish80 View Post
    Yikes! I got a new formula, trying it out today. 3,000 FMU's riding on 6 different bets. Yee-ha!
    I may test a new theory today too...I may simple park it and see if you can "pass me" on the way down.......because after a good first day, I've passed a lot of folks on my way down...
    Don't waste your time on House of Cards S6!
    -We found out Frank was critical to making anyone else in the show interesting...not a surprise...

  4. #104
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Location
    Nashville
    Man, lots of games today. Looking at VT/GT, before I looked at the picks page I thought, "this feels like a 72-65-ish game, let's see what the line is." LOL. 7 point spread, and o/u at 136.5. Gonna be like that with these games today.

  5. #105
    Quote Originally Posted by brlftz View Post
    Man, lots of games today. Looking at VT/GT, before I looked at the picks page I thought, "this feels like a 72-65-ish game, let's see what the line is." LOL. 7 point spread, and o/u at 136.5. Gonna be like that with these games today.
    Already in the past week a couple of O/Us that were one point off the actual total, or maybe even just a half point off.
    Don't waste your time on House of Cards S6!
    -We found out Frank was critical to making anyone else in the show interesting...not a surprise...

  6. #106
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Location
    Nashville
    Quote Originally Posted by HereBeforeCoachK View Post
    Already in the past week a couple of O/Us that were one point off the actual total, or maybe even just a half point off.
    Seriously. I don't know if it's usually like that since this is my first go around with a hoops betting contest, but in our house we've been marveling at the accuracy of these over/unders.

    Edit to add: I decided to wait a while on this game to see if the line moves away from literally being my exact gut feel.

  7. #107
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Mechanicsburg, PA
    Quote Originally Posted by JasonEvans View Post
    Yup, if you hit -5k you must stop making bets as you are eliminated from the contest.

    I am getting closer than I would like at -2grand. It has been a tough start to the season for me.
    Ah, so my short foray into this contest should be over tonight...

  8. #108
    Quote Originally Posted by brlftz View Post
    Seriously. I don't know if it's usually like that since this is my first go around with a hoops betting contest, but in our house we've been marveling at the accuracy of these over/unders..
    They're not always that scary accurate...the last few have been amazingly close. (there was one bad miss). And keep in mind, the odds makers don't care what actually happens...they are not predicting a margin or a point total...they are predicting a line that will attract 50% of the money each way, more or less. If they get that, they're happy.
    Don't waste your time on House of Cards S6!
    -We found out Frank was critical to making anyone else in the show interesting...not a surprise...

  9. #109
    Join Date
    Nov 2009
    Location
    Hudson Valley, NY
    General DBR ACC Picking Contest rule of thumb...take the under in a Virginia game. No matter how low it is, they manage to go lower.

  10. #110
    Join Date
    Feb 2016
    Location
    Atlanta
    Quote Originally Posted by Fish80 View Post
    Yikes! I got a new formula, trying it out today. 3,000 FMU's riding on 6 different bets. Yee-ha!



    FMU's = Fictitious Monetary Units a.k.a. Dothrakian Drachma
    I went crazy and upped my base betting to 300 FMUs on each bet. I bet the line and o/u on each game. That's 3,000 smackerFMUoos on the line. I'm fairly confident I won't be in positive territory by the end of the night, because have I mentioned?

    I am really, really bad at this!

  11. #111
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Rougemont Nebulae
    Quote Originally Posted by BandAlum83 View Post
    I am really, really bad at this!
    To quote Jason Miller "There are no experts."
    Last edited by CameronBlue; 01-09-2019 at 03:51 PM. Reason: The Exorcist is my go to movie for pop references.

  12. #112
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Midlothian, VA
    Quote Originally Posted by NYBri View Post
    General DBR ACC Picking Contest rule of thumb...take the under in a Virginia game. No matter how low it is, they manage to go lower.
    How low can you go? It's like the limbo, only lower. I think one time last year a UVA ACC game hit the over.

  13. #113
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Washington, DC area
    Quote Originally Posted by Fish80 View Post
    How low can you go? It's like the limbo, only lower. I think one time last year a UVA ACC game hit the over.
    They do seem just a bit more offensively minded this year, though.

    -jk

  14. #114
    Join Date
    Feb 2016
    Location
    Atlanta
    Quote Originally Posted by Fish80 View Post
    How low can you go? It's like the limbo, only lower. I think one time last year a UVA ACC game hit the over.
    Of course, I picked the over tonight, because I am really, really bad at this. But c'mon! The way Guy went off last game, and after hanging 100 on Marshal, is the over 123.5 really a bad bet?

  15. #115
    Quote Originally Posted by NYBri View Post
    General DBR ACC Picking Contest rule of thumb...take the under in a Virginia game. No matter how low it is, they manage to go lower.
    My general rule of betting: stay away from over/under betting. In my mind it is a sucker bet.

  16. #116
    Quote Originally Posted by Indoor66 View Post
    My general rule of betting: stay away from over/under betting. In my mind it is a sucker bet.
    Just out of curiosity, why do you think the O/U's are any more of a sucker bet than betting a line? I'm not arguing, just curious to your thinking.
    Don't waste your time on House of Cards S6!
    -We found out Frank was critical to making anyone else in the show interesting...not a surprise...

  17. #117
    Just my take on it. I win a lot on spreads but rarely on O/U (which I "bet" mentally when I make a sports bet.)

  18. #118
    Join Date
    Feb 2016
    Location
    Atlanta
    Quote Originally Posted by HereBeforeCoachK View Post
    Just out of curiosity, why do you think the O/U's are any more of a sucker bet than betting a line? I'm not arguing, just curious to your thinking.
    I'm with you. How can a bet that is straight forward as can be be deemed a sucker's bet? It's either over or under. No tricks.

  19. #119
    Quote Originally Posted by Indoor66 View Post
    Just my take on it. I win a lot on spreads but rarely on O/U (which I "bet" mentally when I make a sports bet.)
    You may be right...GT and VT on pace for about 95 total points....
    Don't waste your time on House of Cards S6!
    -We found out Frank was critical to making anyone else in the show interesting...not a surprise...

  20. #120
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    New Jersey
    Quote Originally Posted by NYBri View Post
    General DBR ACC Picking Contest rule of thumb...take the under in a Virginia game. No matter how low it is, they manage to go lower.
    Doesn’t look like that strategy’s gonna hold this year unless the books start raising their o/u. UVA blew tonight’s o/u off the map.

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