Yikes! I got a new formula, trying it out today. 3,000 FMU's riding on 6 different bets. Yee-ha!
FMU's = Fictitious Monetary Units a.k.a. Dothrakian Drachma
Why are you wasting time here when you could be wasting it by listening to the latest episode of the DBR Podcast?
Yikes! I got a new formula, trying it out today. 3,000 FMU's riding on 6 different bets. Yee-ha!
FMU's = Fictitious Monetary Units a.k.a. Dothrakian Drachma
Man, lots of games today. Looking at VT/GT, before I looked at the picks page I thought, "this feels like a 72-65-ish game, let's see what the line is." LOL. 7 point spread, and o/u at 136.5. Gonna be like that with these games today.
Seriously. I don't know if it's usually like that since this is my first go around with a hoops betting contest, but in our house we've been marveling at the accuracy of these over/unders.
Edit to add: I decided to wait a while on this game to see if the line moves away from literally being my exact gut feel.
They're not always that scary accurate...the last few have been amazingly close. (there was one bad miss). And keep in mind, the odds makers don't care what actually happens...they are not predicting a margin or a point total...they are predicting a line that will attract 50% of the money each way, more or less. If they get that, they're happy.
General DBR ACC Picking Contest rule of thumb...take the under in a Virginia game. No matter how low it is, they manage to go lower.
I went crazy and upped my base betting to 300 FMUs on each bet. I bet the line and o/u on each game. That's 3,000 smackerFMUoos on the line. I'm fairly confident I won't be in positive territory by the end of the night, because have I mentioned?
I am really, really bad at this!
Just my take on it. I win a lot on spreads but rarely on O/U (which I "bet" mentally when I make a sports bet.)