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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Seattle, WA

    2018-2019 Minutes Contest

    Contest time again! This will remain open until tip-off of the Kentucky game - all posts in before then will count. Pick the minutes per game for each of Duke's players. Minutes per game will be calculated per total team game, not just total games played by the player. In other words, if Joey Baker gets into 10 of the team's 40 games and plays 100 total minutes, his MPG will be 2.5, not 10. cbarry was last year's winner, whose projections were off by a total of 31.5 minutes across the entire team. For reference, here's last year's numbers:

    Allen - 35.6
    Trent - 33.9
    Bagley - 30.2
    Duval - 29.8
    Carter - 26.9
    DeLaurier - 11.3
    Bolden - 10.1
    O'Connell - 10.1
    Goldwire - 4.6
    White - 4.3
    Robinson - 2.2
    Vrankovic - 1.8
    Tucker - 0.4
    Buckmire - 0.1

    (careful readers will note that totals more than 200 - this is because the team played two overtime games. If you want to factor potential overtimes into your projections, more power to you)
    Just be you. You is enough. - K, 4/5/10, 0:13.8 to play, 60-59 Duke.

    You're all jealous hypocrites. - Titus on Laettner

    You see those guys? Animals. They're animals. - SIU Coach Chris Lowery, on Duke

  2. #2
    Bump... We doin’ this thing?

    Tre Jones: 31
    RJ Barrett: 31
    Cam Reddish: 30
    Zion Williamson: 30
    Javin DeLaurier: 19
    Marques Bolden: 18
    Jack White: 14
    Alex O’Connell: 14
    Joey Baker: 5
    Jordan Goldwire: 4
    Antonio Vrankovic: 2
    Justin Robinson:2

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Apr 2013
    Location
    Athens, GA

    Minutes Projection('18-'19)

    Was waiting for cbarry's projection...

    RJ Barrett 33
    Tre Jones 32
    Cam Reddish 29
    Zion 27
    Javin DeL 22
    Marquese 17
    AOC 15
    Jack White 10
    Antonio V. 6
    Jordan G. 4
    Joey Baker 3
    JRob 2
    "Play and practice like you are trying to make the team." --Coach K

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Jan 2009
    Location
    Halifax, Nova Scotia
    R.J. Barrett 32
    Zion 30
    Reddish 30
    Jones 30
    DesLauriers 21
    Bolden 20
    O’Connell 13
    White 11
    Baker 7
    Robinson 2
    Vrankovic 2
    Goldwire 2
    “Those two kids, they’re champions,” Krzyzewski said of his senior leaders. “They’re trying to teach the other kids how to become that, and it’s a long road to become that.”

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Dec 2007
    Location
    Cary, NC
    Feels like games missed due to injury should not count towards the total.

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Oct 2013
    Location
    Dallas, TX
    Tre Jones: 35
    RJ Barrett: 34
    Zion Williamson: 32
    Cam Reddish: 32
    Javin DeLaurier: 18
    Jack White: 14
    Marques Bolden: 11
    Alex O’Connell: 11
    Jordan Goldwire: 5
    Everyone else combined: 8
    Last edited by kAzE; 10-29-2018 at 04:35 PM.

  7. #7
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Washington, D.C.

    Wild Guess

    Barrett 33
    Jones 32
    Williamson 30
    Reddish 27
    Bolden 21
    Delaurier 20
    McConnell 13
    White 14
    Goldwire 4
    Vrankovic 3
    Buckmire 1
    Robinson 2
    Baker 0

  8. #8
    Join Date
    Aug 2016
    Location
    near Charleston, SC
    Barrett - 34
    Jones - 33
    Reddish - 29
    Williamson - 29
    DeLaurier - 20
    Bolden - 17
    White - 14
    O'Connell - 13
    Baker - 4
    Goldwire - 4
    Vrankovic - 2
    Robinson - 1
    Buckmire - 0
    Bresser - 0

    I wish I knew if Baker was going to Red Shirt or Not.

  9. #9
    Join Date
    Oct 2013
    Location
    Dallas, TX
    Quote Originally Posted by MChambers View Post
    Barrett 33
    Jones 32
    Williamson 30
    Reddish 27
    Bolden 21
    Delaurier 20
    McConnell 13
    White 14
    Goldwire 4
    Vrankovic 3
    Buckmire 1
    Robinson 2
    Baker 0
    104559153-RTS18VO6-mitch-mcconnell.530x298.jpg ???

  10. #10
    Join Date
    Dec 2014
    Location
    Colfax, NC
    Quote Originally Posted by kAzE View Post
    MChambers did say it was a wild guess. Think this surely qualifies.

    But I’m not sure Mitch has any eligibility left. But I guess he could play the right side of the (passing) lane.

  11. #11
    Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Location
    Undisclosed
    Mitch is from Kentucky. Louisville undergrad, Kentucky grad school.

    ‘Nuf said. He sits the bench.
    1991 -- 1992 -- 2001 -- 2010 -- 2015

  12. #12

    Aoc 49%

    Just read The Chronicle's feature on O'Connell...I was surprised to see that he shot a fantastic 49% from 3. The sample was not huge, but it was not tiny either - 45 attempts. Now I would not assume he could shoot that kind of percentage with a lot more attempts, and with some of those shots coming in very big moments perhaps - but that indicates to me he's def an over 40 per cent guy. If he and Jack can be 40-45% from 3 and contribute otherwise too, they will see significant minutes with the rest of the lineup.
    Don't waste your time on House of Cards S6!
    -We found out Frank was critical to making anyone else in the show interesting...not a surprise...

  13. #13
    Join Date
    Nov 2007
    Location
    Vermont
    Quote Originally Posted by UrinalCake View Post
    Feels like games missed due to injury should not count towards the total.
    Moreover, (and we've had this discussion before) it's important to use as the denominator the number of games a player is available for...the official Duke stats just divide total minutes by games played, which can at time produce a totally bogus result, e.g. a guy who only gets in 15 games and averages seven minutes in each of those games...in other words, when you add up everyone's minutes/game, you should end up with 200 minutes (plus overtime minutes)...

  14. #14
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Washington, D.C.

    Arrrgghhh!

    Quote Originally Posted by kAzE View Post
    Can't believe I did that. Need to get out of DC more often.

  15. #15
    Join Date
    Jun 2008
    Location
    Winston Salem, NC

    Minutes Projections!

    Jones= 35
    Barrett= 34
    Reddish= 28
    Williamson= 28
    DeLaurier= 20
    Bolden= 17
    White= 15
    O'Connell= 15
    Goldwire = 4
    Baker= 2
    Vrankovic= 1
    Robinson= 1
    Rest 0

  16. #16
    Barrett - 34
    Zion - 33
    Jones - 32
    Cam - 30
    Javin - 19
    Bolden - 16
    O'C - 14
    White - 14
    Baker - 4
    Goldwire - 2
    Others - 2

  17. #17
    Join Date
    Oct 2007
    Location
    Southbury, CT

    Minutes

    I'll try...

    Barrett - 34
    Jones - 33
    Zion - 32
    Cam - 31
    Javin - 20
    White - 16
    Bolden - 14
    O'C - 12
    Baker - 3
    Goldwire - 3
    Others - 2
    Good people drink good beer. -Hunter S. Thompson

  18. #18
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Seattle, WA
    Quote Originally Posted by budwom View Post
    Moreover, (and we've had this discussion before) it's important to use as the denominator the number of games a player is available for...the official Duke stats just divide total minutes by games played, which can at time produce a totally bogus result, e.g. a guy who only gets in 15 games and averages seven minutes in each of those games...in other words, when you add up everyone's minutes/game, you should end up with 200 minutes (plus overtime minutes)...
    Exactly. This is the reason that we don't adjust player minutes for games missed to injury (or suspension or whatever reason). The relevant number is minutes per game Duke plays.
    Just be you. You is enough. - K, 4/5/10, 0:13.8 to play, 60-59 Duke.

    You're all jealous hypocrites. - Titus on Laettner

    You see those guys? Animals. They're animals. - SIU Coach Chris Lowery, on Duke

  19. #19
    Quote Originally Posted by pfrduke View Post
    Exactly. This is the reason that we don't adjust player minutes for games missed to injury (or suspension or whatever reason). The relevant number is minutes per game Duke plays.
    logical....zero minutes played is a relevant and legit stat....whereas points per game is points per game played in.
    Don't waste your time on House of Cards S6!
    -We found out Frank was critical to making anyone else in the show interesting...not a surprise...

  20. #20
    Join Date
    Feb 2008
    Location
    Oregon
    Jones= 36
    Barrett= 36
    Reddish= 26
    Williamson= 29
    DeLaurier= 19
    Bolden= 13
    White= 16
    O'Connell= 18
    Goldwire = 3
    Baker= 0
    Vrankovic= 2
    Robinson= 2

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