Florence

[-jk]

Be safe, y'all...

Among others, these guys do a nice job covering weather.

Wind map

And the NHC has a Florence set of links.

-jk

[Tripping William]

Be safe, y'all...

Among others, these guys do a nice job covering weather.

Wind map

And the NHC has a Florence set of links.

-jk

I was really hoping this was a travel advice thread for Italy. Alas ...

Agree: Stay safe!

[HereBeforeCoachK]

This is terrible timing for me...live in Beaufort, have a house I'm renovating in Raleigh...have a daughter from Portland flying into Raleigh for first time in two years....and this looks like a Fran re do...even stronger. It could screw up everything....

[Indoor66]

This is terrible timing for me...live in Beaufort, have a house I'm renovating in Raleigh...have a daughter from Portland flying into Raleigh for first time in two years...and this looks like a Fran re do...even stronger. It could screw up everything...

Maybe time to meet in Nashville, TN.

[Devilwin]

UNCW starting evacs tomorrow. This one could cause widespread destruction even as far inland as the Winston Salem area.

[camion]

It is possible that Florence heads for Florence (SC). As a resident of the more southerly Carolina I find that possibility both interesting and worrisome.

Wilmington, NC is a more likely target and I wish those in the northern territory luck.

[aimo]

My stomach hurts.

[Newton_14]

The updates only get worse with each return of the hurricane hunters. Unfortunately there are not a lot of the normal factors in play that could turn it or slow it down prior to landfall which is why all the computer models are in general agreement and the center of the cone of uncertainty just isn't moving and not expected to move. The ridge of high pressure is in place, there is no wind shear in the near future and nothing to slow her down.

We can only hope it doesn't get much stronger than the predicted 140mph/150mph, and pray she doesn't come in at high tide.

Barring a miracle it looks like we are looking at another Hazel/Fran type storm come Thursday/Friday.

I'm 52 yrs old and despite my mom talking about Hazel every single hurricane season, I was young and dumb and dismissive of her "stories" until Fran came through in 96 and I ate my words. Unfortunately it was too late to apologize to her as she left us in 1993 (RIP Mom, and yes I now believe in Hurricanes impacting us here)

[Bob Green]

Here is a link to GOES satellite imagery:

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOE...OLOR&length=24

You can see all three storms: Florence, Isaac and Helene.

Satellite imagery homepage: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/satellite.php

[Devilwin]

Hazel was a real beast. My mother and a couple of her friends were talking yesterday about her. I was two when it hit, and have no memory of it. Hazel destroyed nearly every structure from Myrtle Beach to Long Beach, where only five buildings remained!
The impact of Florence is going to be more head on, however, or so it appears at this time. Everyone just be smart, take precautions, and if you are on the coast get the heck outta there!

[Devilwin]

An interesting documentary I found on Hazel, from 2004.
https://www.wral.com/hurricane_hazel/1129199/

[tteettimes]

Greg Fischel is having massive cranium illusions
He thinks his dreams are coming true all at the same time

[Indoor66]

Greg Fischel is having massive cranium illusions
He thinks his dreams are coming true all at the same time

All weathermen become mouth breathers during storms! They get into full mode panic and ridiculousness.

[aimo]

Greg Fischel is having massive cranium illusions
He thinks his dreams are coming true all at the same time

Greg Fischel is the one that said last week something like, historical data shows that there is no chance that this will hit us. I paraphrased, but that's basically what he said. He is eating a big fat crow right now.

[budwom]

Last week I saw this coming as wee drizzle from Africa and I loaded up on bread and milk stocks...I am now richer than Bezos...now looking to buy a nice 767 to get me down to the Baylor game.

[Indoor66]

Last week I saw this coming as wee drizzle from Africa and I loaded up on bread and milk stocks...I am now richer than Bezos...now looking to buy a nice 767 to get me down to the Baylor game.

A wise man seizes opportunity.

[-jk]

For those wanting to keep an eye on it, the N&O has kindly dropped their paywall.

-jk

[Newton_14]

Greg Fischel is the one that said last week something like, historical data shows that there is no chance that this will hit us. I paraphrased, but that's basically what he said. He is eating a big fat crow right now.

He was just stating a fact. The Weather Channel said the exact same thing. No storm following the same path off the African Coast has ever made landfall in the US. If Florence does hit us it will in fact be the first one ever from that path.

[Nick]

Rainfall forecast:
u2evdsbdnel11.jpg

[DukieInKansas]

Prayers from Kansas for all in the path. I'll feed you if you evacuate this far.