Midterm Elections 2018

[pfrduke]

I’m not a big believer in generic party polls, but to give us a marker as this thread starts:

“Vote Democrat” leads “Vote Republican” for Congress nationally, 44.6% to 40.0% in Nate Silver’s weighting of polls.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...ex_cid=rrpromo

I recall hearing something this week that due to the district by district demographics, “vote Democrat” needs to have something like a 9 point nationwide margin for the Democrats to be likely to take the house. I don’t recall the source, so definitely don’t quote me on it.