Thursday, March 22
South Region (Atlanta)
(11) Loyola Chicago vs. (7) Nevada 7:07pm ET, CBS
(9) Kansas State vs. (5) Kentucky 9:37pm ET, CBS
West Region (Los Angeles)
(7) Texas A&M vs. (3) Michigan 7:37pm ET, TBS
(9) Florida State vs. (4) Gonzaga 10:07pm ET, TBS
Friday, March 23
Midwest Region (Omaha)
(5) Clemson vs. (1) Kansas 7:07pm ET, CBS
(11) Syracuse vs. (2) Duke 9:37pm ET, CBS
East Region (Boston)
(5) West Virginia vs. (1) Villanova 7:27pm ET, TBS
(3) Texas Tech vs. (2) Purdue 9:57pm ET, TBSu
Trying to decide who to roll with in survivor. Waffling between Loyola and Gonzaga
Interesting Sweet 16.
More 5 seeds than any other seed. (no 12/5 "upsets" this year)
As many 7, 9, and 11 seeds as 1, 2, or 3 seeds.
One 4 seed.
Re: South Region... avg seed of 8 has to be by far the highest avg seed ever for a regional.
“Coach said no 3s.” - Zion on The Block
What great shape we're in. I wonder if we're heading towards a de facto championship game in the semi-final of the right side of the bracket.
Has there ever been a region where the 1, 2, 3, and 4 seed all miss the Sweet 16?
My guess:
ATL
Kentucky (really bad game 20-25+ point differential)
Nevada, close game 5-8 points
LA
Michigan really close game 1-4
Gonzaga good game, 7-11 points
Omaha
Kansas (could go either way) 2-6 points
Duke decent game 11-15 points
Boston
Nova (could go either way) 2-6 points
TT, good game 7-11 points
Ken Pomeroy, beloved college basketball statistician, posted his updated Sweet 16 Probabilities early this morning.
Team Elite 8 Final 4 Final Champion Villanova 72.5% 48.5% 31.1% 23.3% Duke 81.1% 54.0% 28.8% 20.4% Gonzaga 68.9% 40.0% 25.9% 10.7% Purdue 61.1% 26.3% 13.7% 8.7% Michigan 62.3% 32.7% 20.0% 7.8% Kentucky 63.6% 37.7% 17.8% 5.8% Kansas 53.9% 22.2% 8.5% 4.8% Nevada 56.9% 27.6% 11.4% 3.2% Clemson 46.1% 17.5% 6.1% 3.2% West Virginia 27.5% 12.4% 5.1% 2.8% Texas Tech 38.9% 12.8% 5.2% 2.8% Texas A&M 37.7% 15.1% 7.3% 1.9% Loyola Chicago 43.1% 18.2% 6.4% 1.5% Florida State 31.1% 12.2% 5.6% 1.3% Kansas State 36.4% 16.4% 5.6% 1.3% Syracuse 18.9% 6.3% 1.4% 0.5%
Last edited by DavidBenAkiva; 03-19-2018 at 09:03 AM.
^ he's that mustard fella...
asked myself the same question last night.
While it LOOKS that way, one can't underestimate the difficulty of beating lower seeded teams anymore.
Uconn '14
Butler '10/'11
UK '14
Sweden '80
USA '16
Kentucky and Michigan are still very dangerous teams. 538 gives UK ~ 1/3 chance of winning the title game should they get there. That's an underdog, for sure, but not huge odds.
April 1
UK can finally STFU about "the easiest cakewalk to the final four" for duke's 2015 title...Cheats too
"One POSSIBLE future. From your point of view... I don't know tech stuff.".... Kyle Reese
eh. everyone always complains that everyone else's title run was "easy." Turns out if you play more tough teams, there's an increased chance you'll lose one of them...so you're more likely to find a champion among "top" teams who had an "easy" road to the title than a difficult one.
You can only beat whose in front of you. Worrying what anybody else says about who the 2015 team played...several years later...is kinda silly IMO. You might as well try to wrestle a pig.
April 1
Like the odds for Duke but that is serious board material for Kansas. Underdogs in their region, 3 hours from home? Also, not heavily favored over the number 5 team. They should be plenty motivated. The last 2 games for Duke definitely impressed the experts.
Where is that other school on the list? Is it a misprint? Or did I miss something
Amazing that one of those teams in the West/South will be playing for the title on Monday night. And if it weren’t for a prayer buzzer beater by Michigan, there would be no top 3 seeds left in that side of the bracket. Some might call it Madness.
If you look back through the years using this link https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_o...r_participants
...I think you'll see that it's not that rare for 3-seeds or lower to be in the title game.
It's been the case 50% of the time since 2000 by my count.
courtesy of Bovada:
2018 NCAA Championship - Odds to Win
Duke 13/4
Villanova 9/2
Gonzaga 7/1
Kentucky 7/1
Michigan 8/1
Kansas 17/2
Purdue 16/1
West Virginia 16/1
Texas Tech 22/1
Clemson 25/1
Nevada 25/1
Texas A&M 25/1
Kansas State 28/1
Florida State 40/1
Loyola Chicago 50/1
Syracuse 66/1
Regional Odds
Odds to win the Midwest Region
Duke 2/3
Kansas 2/1
Clemson 8/1
Syracuse 18/1
Odds to win the West Region
Gonzaga 7/5
Michigan 7/4
Texas A&M 4/1
Florida State 8/1
Odds to win the South Region
Kentucky 5/6
Nevada 7/2
Kansas State 9/2
Loyola Chicago 11/2
Odds to Win the East Region
Villanova 1/1
West Virginia 15/4
Purdue 4/1
Texas Tech 9/2