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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Mar 2008
    Location
    New Orleans, Louisiana

    NCAA 2018 Sweet Sixteen/Elite Eight

    Thursday, March 22

    South Region (Atlanta)

    (11) Loyola Chicago vs. (7) Nevada 7:07pm ET, CBS
    (9) Kansas State vs. (5) Kentucky 9:37pm ET, CBS

    West Region (Los Angeles)

    (7) Texas A&M vs. (3) Michigan 7:37pm ET, TBS
    (9) Florida State vs. (4) Gonzaga 10:07pm ET, TBS


    Friday, March 23

    Midwest Region (Omaha)

    (5) Clemson vs. (1) Kansas 7:07pm ET, CBS
    (11) Syracuse vs. (2) Duke 9:37pm ET, CBS

    East Region (Boston)

    (5) West Virginia vs. (1) Villanova 7:27pm ET, TBS
    (3) Texas Tech vs. (2) Purdue 9:57pm ET, TBSu

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Washington, DC area
    Quote Originally Posted by brevity View Post
    Thursday, March 22

    South Region (Atlanta)

    (11) Loyola Chicago vs. (7) Nevada 7:07pm ET, CBS
    (9) Kansas State vs. (5) Kentucky 9:37pm ET, CBS

    West Region (Los Angeles)

    (7) Texas A&M vs. (3) Michigan 7:37pm ET, TBS
    (9) Florida State vs. (4) Gonzaga 10:07pm ET, TBS


    Friday, March 23

    Midwest Region (Omaha)

    (5) Clemson vs. (1) Kansas 7:07pm ET, CBS
    (11) Syracuse vs. (2) Duke 9:37pm ET, CBS

    East Region (Boston)

    (5) West Virginia vs. (1) Villanova 7:27pm ET, TBS
    (3) Texas Tech vs. (2) Purdue 9:57pm ET, TBS
    One of these days is not like the other!

    -jk

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Location
    Undisclosed
    Quote Originally Posted by brevity View Post
    Thursday, March 22

    South Region (Atlanta)

    (11) Loyola Chicago vs. (7) Nevada 7:07pm ET, CBS
    (9) Kansas State vs. (5) Kentucky 9:37pm ET, CBS

    West Region (Los Angeles)

    (7) Texas A&M vs. (3) Michigan 7:37pm ET, TBS
    (9) Florida State vs. (4) Gonzaga 10:07pm ET, TBS


    Friday, March 23

    Midwest Region (Omaha)

    (5) Clemson vs. (1) Kansas 7:07pm ET, CBS
    (11) Syracuse vs. (2) Duke 9:37pm ET, CBS

    East Region (Boston)

    (5) West Virginia vs. (1) Villanova 7:27pm ET, TBS
    (3) Texas Tech vs. (2) Purdue 9:57pm ET, TBSu
    Thanks for getting this in one single post, brevity. This is handy.
    "We're only tourists in this life
    Only tourists but the view is nice"

    -- David Byrne

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Apr 2010
    Location
    Indianapolis, IN.
    Trying to decide who to roll with in survivor. Waffling between Loyola and Gonzaga

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Deeetroit City
    Interesting Sweet 16.

    More 5 seeds than any other seed. (no 12/5 "upsets" this year)

    As many 7, 9, and 11 seeds as 1, 2, or 3 seeds.

    One 4 seed.

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Jul 2008
    Location
    Correct side of the Durham/CH border
    Re: South Region... avg seed of 8 has to be by far the highest avg seed ever for a regional.
    “Coach said no 3s.” - Zion on The Block

  7. #7
    What great shape we're in. I wonder if we're heading towards a de facto championship game in the semi-final of the right side of the bracket.

    Has there ever been a region where the 1, 2, 3, and 4 seed all miss the Sweet 16?

  8. #8
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Atlanta
    Quote Originally Posted by brevity View Post
    Thursday, March 22

    South Region (Atlanta)

    (11) Loyola Chicago vs. (7) Nevada 7:07pm ET, CBS
    (9) Kansas State vs. (5) Kentucky 9:37pm ET, CBS

    West Region (Los Angeles)

    (7) Texas A&M vs. (3) Michigan 7:37pm ET, TBS
    (9) Florida State vs. (4) Gonzaga 10:07pm ET, TBS


    Friday, March 23

    Midwest Region (Omaha)

    (5) Clemson vs. (1) Kansas 7:07pm ET, CBS
    (11) Syracuse vs. (2) Duke 9:37pm ET, CBS

    East Region (Boston)

    (5) West Virginia vs. (1) Villanova 7:27pm ET, TBS
    (3) Texas Tech vs. (2) Purdue 9:57pm ET, TBSu
    My guess:

    ATL
    Kentucky (really bad game 20-25+ point differential)
    Nevada, close game 5-8 points

    LA
    Michigan really close game 1-4
    Gonzaga good game, 7-11 points

    Omaha
    Kansas (could go either way) 2-6 points
    Duke decent game 11-15 points

    Boston
    Nova (could go either way) 2-6 points
    TT, good game 7-11 points

  9. #9
    Ken Pomeroy, beloved college basketball statistician, posted his updated Sweet 16 Probabilities early this morning.


    Team Elite 8 Final 4 Final Champion
    Villanova 72.5% 48.5% 31.1% 23.3%
    Duke 81.1% 54.0% 28.8% 20.4%
    Gonzaga 68.9% 40.0% 25.9% 10.7%
    Purdue 61.1% 26.3% 13.7% 8.7%
    Michigan 62.3% 32.7% 20.0% 7.8%
    Kentucky 63.6% 37.7% 17.8% 5.8%
    Kansas 53.9% 22.2% 8.5% 4.8%
    Nevada 56.9% 27.6% 11.4% 3.2%
    Clemson 46.1% 17.5% 6.1% 3.2%
    West Virginia 27.5% 12.4% 5.1% 2.8%
    Texas Tech 38.9% 12.8% 5.2% 2.8%
    Texas A&M 37.7% 15.1% 7.3% 1.9%
    Loyola Chicago 43.1% 18.2% 6.4% 1.5%
    Florida State 31.1% 12.2% 5.6% 1.3%
    Kansas State 36.4% 16.4% 5.6% 1.3%
    Syracuse 18.9% 6.3% 1.4% 0.5%
    Last edited by DavidBenAkiva; 03-19-2018 at 09:03 AM.

  10. #10
    Join Date
    Nov 2007
    Location
    Vermont
    ^ he's that mustard fella...

  11. #11
    Join Date
    Oct 2009
    Location
    Durham
    Quote Originally Posted by Wander View Post
    What great shape we're in. I wonder if we're heading towards a de facto championship game in the semi-final of the right side of the bracket.

    Has there ever been a region where the 1, 2, 3, and 4 seed all miss the Sweet 16?
    asked myself the same question last night.

    While it LOOKS that way, one can't underestimate the difficulty of beating lower seeded teams anymore.

    Uconn '14
    Butler '10/'11
    UK '14
    Sweden '80
    USA '16

    Kentucky and Michigan are still very dangerous teams. 538 gives UK ~ 1/3 chance of winning the title game should they get there. That's an underdog, for sure, but not huge odds.
    oof

    "If you don't address the things you're not doing well when you're winning the winning will eventually stop."

    -David Cutcliffe

  12. #12
    Join Date
    Mar 2008
    Location
    raleigh
    UK can finally STFU about "the easiest cakewalk to the final four" for duke's 2015 title...Cheats too
    "Either they're going down, or we are! Kirk out!"

  13. #13
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Raleigh, NC
    Quote Originally Posted by moonpie23 View Post
    UK can finally STFU about "the easiest cakewalk to the final four" for duke's 2015 title...Cheats too
    The irony is that UNCheat was gifted as easy a path as they could have this year...and blew it.

    As for 2015: Utah, Gonzaga, MSU, Wisconsin

    All 4 of those teams were pretty good that year but as we know, in this day and age rhetoric and BS can overcome facts.

  14. #14
    Join Date
    Oct 2009
    Location
    Durham
    Quote Originally Posted by moonpie23 View Post
    UK can finally STFU about "the easiest cakewalk to the final four" for duke's 2015 title...Cheats too
    eh. everyone always complains that everyone else's title run was "easy." Turns out if you play more tough teams, there's an increased chance you'll lose one of them...so you're more likely to find a champion among "top" teams who had an "easy" road to the title than a difficult one.

    You can only beat whose in front of you. Worrying what anybody else says about who the 2015 team played...several years later...is kinda silly IMO. You might as well try to wrestle a pig.
    oof

    "If you don't address the things you're not doing well when you're winning the winning will eventually stop."

    -David Cutcliffe

  15. #15
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Atlanta
    Quote Originally Posted by DavidBenAkiva View Post
    Ken Pomeroy, beloved college basketball statistician, posted his updated Sweet 16 Probabilities early this morning.


    Team Elite 8 Final 4 Final Champion
    Villanova 72.5% 48.5% 31.1% 23.3%
    Duke 81.1% 54.0% 28.8% 20.4%
    Gonzaga 68.9% 40.0% 25.9% 10.7%
    Purdue 61.1% 26.3% 13.7% 8.7%
    Michigan 62.3% 32.7% 20.0% 7.8%
    Kentucky 63.6% 37.7% 17.8% 5.8%
    Kansas 53.9% 22.2% 8.5% 4.8%
    Nevada 56.9% 27.6% 11.4% 3.2%
    Clemson 46.1% 17.5% 6.1% 3.2%
    West Virginia 27.5% 12.4% 5.1% 2.8%
    Texas Tech 38.9% 12.8% 5.2% 2.8%
    Texas A&M 37.7% 15.1% 7.3% 1.9%
    Loyola Chicago 43.1% 18.2% 6.4% 1.5%
    Florida State 31.1% 12.2% 5.6% 1.3%
    Kansas State 36.4% 16.4% 5.6% 1.3%
    Syracuse 18.9% 6.3% 1.4% 0.5%
    Like the odds for Duke but that is serious board material for Kansas. Underdogs in their region, 3 hours from home? Also, not heavily favored over the number 5 team. They should be plenty motivated. The last 2 games for Duke definitely impressed the experts.

    Where is that other school on the list? Is it a misprint? Or did I miss something

  16. #16
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    New York City
    Amazing that one of those teams in the West/South will be playing for the title on Monday night. And if it weren’t for a prayer buzzer beater by Michigan, there would be no top 3 seeds left in that side of the bracket. Some might call it Madness.

  17. #17
    Quote Originally Posted by Wander View Post
    What great shape we're in. I wonder if we're heading towards a de facto championship game in the semi-final of the right side of the bracket.

    Has there ever been a region where the 1, 2, 3, and 4 seed all miss the Sweet 16?
    Nah. Too many good teams left on that side of the bracket who, in a single-elimination tournament, can certainly win one game for the championship.

  18. #18
    Quote Originally Posted by mr. synellinden View Post
    Amazing that one of those teams in the West/South will be playing for the title on Monday night. And if it weren’t for a prayer buzzer beater by Michigan, there would be no top 3 seeds left in that side of the bracket. Some might call it Madness.
    If you look back through the years using this link https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_o...r_participants

    ...I think you'll see that it's not that rare for 3-seeds or lower to be in the title game.

    It's been the case 50% of the time since 2000 by my count.

  19. #19
    Quote Originally Posted by moonpie23 View Post
    UK can finally STFU about "the easiest cakewalk to the final four" for duke's 2015 title...Cheats too
    Looking at kenpom numbers, Duke faced #'s 2,7,8, and 15. Admittedly, these are post tournament. But if anything, that seems like a relatively tough road.

  20. #20
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Washington, DC area
    courtesy of Bovada:

    2018 NCAA Championship - Odds to Win
    Duke 13/4
    Villanova 9/2
    Gonzaga 7/1
    Kentucky 7/1
    Michigan 8/1
    Kansas 17/2
    Purdue 16/1
    West Virginia 16/1
    Texas Tech 22/1
    Clemson 25/1
    Nevada 25/1
    Texas A&M 25/1
    Kansas State 28/1
    Florida State 40/1
    Loyola Chicago 50/1
    Syracuse 66/1

    Regional Odds
    Odds to win the Midwest Region
    Duke 2/3
    Kansas 2/1
    Clemson 8/1
    Syracuse 18/1

    Odds to win the West Region
    Gonzaga 7/5
    Michigan 7/4
    Texas A&M 4/1
    Florida State 8/1

    Odds to win the South Region
    Kentucky 5/6
    Nevada 7/2
    Kansas State 9/2
    Loyola Chicago 11/2

    Odds to Win the East Region
    Villanova 1/1
    West Virginia 15/4
    Purdue 4/1
    Texas Tech 9/2

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