View Poll Results: What is your big first round upset?

Voters
60. You may not vote on this poll

  • 13 Buffalo over 4 Arizona

    10 16.67%

  • 13 Marshall over 4 Wichita St

    5 8.33%

  • 13 Charleston over 4 Auburn

    11 18.33%

  • 13 UNC-G over 4 Gonzaga

    2 3.33%

  • 14 Wright St over 3 Tennessee

    2 3.33%

  • 14 SF Austin over 3 Texas Tech

    6 10.00%

  • 14 Bucknell over 3 Michigan St

    6 10.00%

  • 14 Montana over 3 Michigan

    0 0%

  • 15 Georgia St over 2 Cincinatti

    2 3.33%

  • 15 CSU-F over 2 Purdue

    1 1.67%

  • 15 Iona over 2 Duke

    0 0%

  • 15 Lipscomb over 2 UNC

    9 15.00%

  • any 16 over 1

    3 5.00%

  • none

    11 18.33%
Multiple Choice Poll.
Page 2 of 3 FirstFirst 123 LastLast
Results 21 to 40 of 45
  1. 03-15-2018, 01:23 PM #21
    nmduke2001's Avatar
    nmduke2001
    nmduke2001 is offline Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2009
    Penn over Kansas. You heard it here first.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 03-15-2018, 01:27 PM #22
    uh_no
    uh_no is online now Member
    Join Date
    Oct 2009
    Location
    Durham
    Quote Originally Posted by ns7 View Post
    538 has the following
    * Gonzaga 92%
    * Wichita St 91%
    * Arizona 85%
    * Auburn 80%

    So 43% chance of at least one of the four seeds losing based on those percentages. Probability gets above 50% that one of the top seeds will lose once you include the 1s, 2s, and 3s.

    Michigan is at 89% according to 538.
    yep. the problem as always is picking the right one. If you're right, great, but if you're wrong, in the end you got two games wrong instead of one Outside some insight, you'll almost always come out better on average by not picking the big upsets.

    Bracket picking is won and lost in the final weekend...first round for show, finals for dough. Might as well take the highest expected points in the early rounds and pick for the win in the last few rounds.
    April 1
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 03-15-2018, 01:28 PM #23
    House P's Avatar
    House P
    House P is online now Member
    Join Date
    Feb 2013
    Location
    Cambridge, MA
    Quote Originally Posted by nmduke2001 View Post
    Penn over Kansas. You heard it here first.
    I think everyone outside Kansas would love for you to be right. Interesting to note that KenPom gives Penn a better chance of winning (11.2%) than he gives all but one of the 15 seeds.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 03-15-2018, 01:33 PM #24
    WVDUKEFAN
    WVDUKEFAN is offline Member
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Davidson over Kentucky.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 03-15-2018, 01:39 PM #25
    wilson's Avatar
    wilson
    wilson is offline Member
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Atlanta, GA
    Quote Originally Posted by nmduke2001 View Post
    Penn over Kansas. You heard it here first.
    Actually, you heard it here first:

    Quote Originally Posted by wilson View Post
    Penn over Kansas, baby.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 03-15-2018, 01:49 PM #26
    whereinthehellami's Avatar
    whereinthehellami
    whereinthehellami is offline Member
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    Location
    Wherever the wind blows and the leaves dance.
    RI with back to back 3s, TO OK. Should be a good ending in this one.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote    
  7. 03-15-2018, 02:22 PM #27
    whereinthehellami's Avatar
    whereinthehellami
    whereinthehellami is offline Member
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    Location
    Wherever the wind blows and the leaves dance.
    OT for RI-OK. RI had 2 good looks in the final seconds.

    Now we got to wait longer for the Duke game. Hopefully whoever wins is tired for their game on sat.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote    
  8. 03-15-2018, 02:26 PM #28
    PackMan97
    PackMan97 is offline Member
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    It's early, but Penn up 21-11 over Kansas.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 03-15-2018, 02:37 PM #29
    PackMan97
    PackMan97 is offline Member
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    Quote Originally Posted by PackMan97 View Post
    It's early, but Penn up 21-11 over Kansas.
    I just had to post something dagnabit...now 21-20.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 03-15-2018, 02:40 PM #30
    whereinthehellami's Avatar
    whereinthehellami
    whereinthehellami is offline Member
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    Location
    Wherever the wind blows and the leaves dance.
    Rhode Island advances, hit a big 3 at the end and their free throws.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote    
  11. 03-15-2018, 02:59 PM #31
    mr. synellinden's Avatar
    mr. synellinden
    mr. synellinden is offline Member
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    New York City
    Quote Originally Posted by PackMan97 View Post
    I just had to post something dagnabit...now 21-20.
    There is an I don’t want to jinx it thread. Just saying.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote    
  12. 03-15-2018, 03:02 PM #32
    HereBeforeCoachK
    HereBeforeCoachK is offline Member
    Join Date
    Feb 2018
    UNC G now within 5 of the Zags

    update: two bad calls in row on UNCG - phantom fouls.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 03-15-2018, 03:39 PM #33
    PackMan97
    PackMan97 is offline Member
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    Quote Originally Posted by mr. synellinden View Post
    There is an I don’t want to jinx it thread. Just saying.
    I don't want to jinx it by using the i don't want to jinx it thread.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 03-15-2018, 03:48 PM #34
    wobatus
    wobatus is offline Member
    Join Date
    Oct 2017
    Quote Originally Posted by NM Duke Fan View Post
    When I was a kid I got to see many of the great NMSU Aggie teams for free, with such players as Sam Lacey, Jimmie Collins, Charlie Chris, etc. Some of you may recall those days. I have to pick NMSU over Clemson, they have a very nice TEAM this year, about the best defense of the mid-majors so called. They really work together and have some decent talent. It would not shock me if they win a second game as well.
    Yeah, that's a good 12/5 upset pick. Sam Lacey I remember when he was a pro for the Kansas City-Omaha Kings. He was still there when they had Birdsong, Scott Wedman and Phil Ford.

    Charlie Criss, wow, that's a synapse that hasn't fired in years. He didn't make the NBA with the Hawks until he was almost 30.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 03-15-2018, 04:47 PM #35
    Lunchab1es
    Lunchab1es is offline Member
    Join Date
    Jan 2012
    Location
    Atlanta
    Buffalo over Zona
    Georgia State over Cincy

    12/5s
    New Mexico St over Clemson
    S Dakota St over Ohio St

    Bold second round call: Seton Hall over KU
    Trinity '09
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 03-15-2018, 05:05 PM #36
    Wander's Avatar
    Wander
    Wander is offline Member
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    Quote Originally Posted by Lunchab1es View Post

    Bold second round call: Seton Hall over KU
    I've got Alabama over Villanova. Collin Sexton is legit.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 03-15-2018, 05:28 PM #37
    whereinthehellami's Avatar
    whereinthehellami
    whereinthehellami is offline Member
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    Location
    Wherever the wind blows and the leaves dance.
    What a shot by Loyola Chicago wth a second left. I'm still a perfect 6-6 on my bracket!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote    
  18. 03-15-2018, 10:15 PM #38
    juise
    juise is offline Member
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Portland, OR
    My highest seed upset was Loyola. I tried to talk myself into Wroght St over Tenn last night, but (thankfully) didn’t.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 03-15-2018, 11:46 PM #39
    Wander's Avatar
    Wander
    Wander is offline Member
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    Quote Originally Posted by HereBeforeCoachK View Post
    (and seriously, multiple votes for Buffalo over Zona?)
    Ahem.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 03-15-2018, 11:50 PM #40
    duke4ever19's Avatar
    duke4ever19
    duke4ever19 is offline Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2009
    Congrats to CDu, Dukemega, Ian, Lunchab1es, ns7, Troublemaker and Wander!

    Nice call.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
« Previous Thread | Return to Forum | Next Thread »

Similar Threads

  1. PHASE VII - NCAAT Round of 64 thru Round of 32
    By COYS in forum Elizabeth King Forum
    Replies: 9
    Last Post: 03-14-2017, 09:15 PM
  2. What is/are your big 1st round upset(s)?
    By Wander in forum Elizabeth King Forum
    Replies: 19
    Last Post: 03-21-2016, 10:45 AM
  3. Predict the Major Round-of-32 Upset(s)
    By Troublemaker in forum Elizabeth King Forum
    Replies: 7
    Last Post: 03-22-2015, 08:55 AM
  4. What is/are your big opening round upset(s)?
    By Wander in forum Elizabeth King Forum
    Replies: 48
    Last Post: 03-19-2015, 08:50 PM
  5. What is your big first round upset?
    By Wander in forum Elizabeth King Forum
    Replies: 12
    Last Post: 03-18-2014, 03:45 PM

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  

Forum Rules