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  1. #2041
    Quote Originally Posted by JNort View Post
    Yesterday was a bit rough on my tech and crypto. I havenít been paying attention lately due to work, what happened?
    Just a layperson's opinion: sell off really started on a Thanksgiving Friday when Omicron headlines hit the news. That was followed this week by Jay Powell testifying and coming across as more hawkish which "obviously" drove yields down as the 10 year bond went from 1.66 on 11/23 to 1.35 at yesterday's close. The more likely cause of that move is a rotation away from more speculative stock(tech) into bonds and value. The Dow was down 1.25% in this week while the NASDAQ Composite was down 4%.

  2. #2042

    Boeing/China/Olympics

    I'm thinking that if the US announces that the diplomats are not going to China, then the Chinese government will Not, or will delay, an announced purchase of planes from Boeing. Since they are the largest purchaser of planes, that would adversely affect the stock. However, since planes are not delivered for many years, there is time to recover. But initial impact should be to the downside (a buying opportunity to an already depressed stock).

    Larry
    DevilHorse

  3. #2043
    Clearly Iíve been doing it wrong. It will be an awkward Christmas when I tell the niece and nephew: Sorry you canít open these Lego sets because they are going into the back of the closest. You will thank me in twenty years.

    Forget About Gold: Study Says Investing in Lego Sets Will Earn You More Money

  4. #2044
    Quote Originally Posted by Kdogg View Post
    Clearly Iíve been doing it wrong. It will be an awkward Christmas when I tell the niece and nephew: Sorry you canít open these Lego sets because they are going into the back of the closest. You will thank me in twenty years.

    Forget About Gold: Study Says Investing in Lego Sets Will Earn You More Money
    Haha, I had someone suggest this to me to always buy two sets, one to gift and the other to save. I'm like, "I don't have that much storage place." But, having a kid who loves LEGO, I do have to say there is an insane shortage right now. Went to target yesterday and the shelves are barren. Luckily, purchased the big one (Millennium Falcon, not the $800 one but rather than $170 or whatever one) a couple months ago because it's nowhere to be found. The secondary market on eBay is insane. I could easily sell it for double. I guess should have bought a few for a quick turnaround in this case...

  5. #2045
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Location
    Outside Philly
    Quote Originally Posted by Kdogg View Post
    Clearly Iíve been doing it wrong. It will be an awkward Christmas when I tell the niece and nephew: Sorry you canít open these Lego sets because they are going into the back of the closest. You will thank me in twenty years.

    Forget About Gold: Study Says Investing in Lego Sets Will Earn You More Money
    Interesting. A Lego from today should be able to fit with a Lego from 1950, it's part of their design strategy so not sure I see the investment utility but nostalgia is a powerful market driver.

  6. #2046
    Quote Originally Posted by bundabergdevil View Post
    Interesting. A Lego from today should be able to fit with a Lego from 1950, it's part of their design strategy so not sure I see the investment utility but nostalgia is a powerful market driver.
    It's about sets that get discontinued or simply are in a supply/demand imbalance, not the bricks themselves.

  7. #2047
    Very difficult to scale...

  8. #2048
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Location
    Outside Philly
    Share buybacks hit all time high in Q3, according to WSJ.


    More likely coming.

  9. #2049
    DRE - Duke Realty closed on 2/18/2021 41.74 when I last mentioned it. Trading today at 62.78 at the close. For a gain of 50.4% not including dividends which would have pushed it up over 52%. The S&P 500 was up 19.3% during that time.

  10. #2050
    Join Date
    Dec 2011
    Location
    Albemarle, North Carolina
    Quote Originally Posted by YmoBeThere View Post
    DRE - Duke Realty closed on 2/18/2021 41.74 when I last mentioned it. Trading today at 62.78 at the close. For a gain of 50.4% not including dividends which would have pushed it up over 52%. The S&P 500 was up 19.3% during that time.
    Iíll just go ahead and say thank you for that tidbit back then. Iíve enjoyed watching it because of you.
    "The greatest enemy of knowledge is not ignorance, it is the illusion of knowledge" -Stephen Hawking

  11. #2051
    Quote Originally Posted by JNort View Post
    Iíll just go ahead and say thank you for that tidbit back then. Iíve enjoyed watching it because of you.
    You are welcome!

  12. #2052
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Location
    Outside Philly
    I Bond rates at a healthy 7.12%. Very nice, low risk.

  13. #2053
    Quote Originally Posted by bundabergdevil View Post
    The challenge is you can't scale I bonds given the max of $10k/year. I know some people who intentionally overpay their federal tax as I believe you can get your refund in I bonds above the max.

    Rate also resets every six months, but yeah, next 6-month period looks good.

  14. #2054
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Location
    Outside Philly
    Quote Originally Posted by Bluedog View Post
    The challenge is you can't scale I bonds given the max of $10k/year. I know some people who intentionally overpay their federal tax as I believe you can get your refund in I bonds above the max.

    Rate also resets every six months, but yeah, next 6-month period looks good.
    Yeah, certainly not to any serious level but I suppose you could get a few multiples by purchasing for you + any family members you might have, then doing the same thing promptly in January when the calendar year resets.

  15. #2055
    Quote Originally Posted by Bluedog View Post
    The challenge is you can't scale I bonds given the max of $10k/year. I know some people who intentionally overpay their federal tax as I believe you can get your refund in I bonds above the max.
    Yep, you can purchase up to an additional $5k per year with your federal tax refund. You can also purchase $10k per year for each of your kidís education, with no tax liability.

  16. #2056
    Quote Originally Posted by bundabergdevil View Post
    yeah, certainly not to any serious level but i suppose you could get a few multiples by purchasing for you + any family members you might have, then doing the same thing promptly in january when the calendar year resets.
    Bingo!

  17. #2057
    Quote Originally Posted by bundabergdevil View Post
    Thanks for the heads up. Bought some today. Tied up for a year, but easily beats the 0.05% I was getting from my savings account.

  18. #2058
    Quote Originally Posted by YmoBeThere View Post
    Thanks for the heads up. Bought some today. Tied up for a year, but easily beats the 0.05% I was getting from my savings account.
    IIRC, you need to hold them for 5 years to avoid an early withdrawal penalty (3 months interest).

  19. #2059
    Quote Originally Posted by Jeffrey View Post
    IIRC, you need to hold them for 5 years to avoid an early withdrawal penalty (3 months interest).
    Yes, there are two things in play. You cannot redeem at all until 1 year. If you have to redeem in the first five years, you pay a penalty of 3 months interest. A couple assumptions, say the interest rate for the second 6 months drops down to 3%. At one year, you will have earned $506 in interest. Even if you have to forfeit 3 months of interest, $75 in this case, you are ahead $431 given the average savings account is paying 0.05%. I donít expect to need to use the money at all and can hold the 5 years, but even a worst case scenario leaves me $100s of dollars ahead(pre-tax).

    *Yes, math is not as compelling versus online savings accounts of 0.55%, but still hundreds ahead.

  20. #2060
    Quote Originally Posted by YmoBeThere View Post
    *Yes, math is not as compelling versus online savings accounts of 0.55%, but still hundreds ahead.
    My current cash play is combining signup bonuses with savings accounts. Iíve never worked so hard to make 1-2% in my lifetime.

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