Attrition to our program can come from the NBA draft or from players who are disappointed with their PT and see little in the future for them.
I doubt if anyone on this site really has crystal ball insight into what will happen between seasons but many of us know the possibilities. We also know that of the approx 15 players that will make up the team we will need a mix of about 7 that coach K will use a lot in actual game situations. Using this year as a model, we had 4 guards, 1 small forward/PF and 2 PFs. We backed them up with 3 PF/Cs (Jeter, Vrank and Bolden), 1 SF (Delaurier) and a big Guard (White). We know that Amile and Matt are leaving and we are pretty certain that Jayson is as well. Grayson also seems highly likely and we have three recruits so far with offers to several more. Does that mean we know something about Kennard or Jackson? Or do we know something about one or more of our bigs. Only time will tell.
I think you're right historically, but I guess the practical question is who is the guy that plays that stretch 4 position for us next year if we don't land Knox? DeLaurier is the only returning guy I can think of that fits that mold. So if we don't get Knox and Bolden returns, do you think DeLaurier starts next year at the 4 with Bolden still glued to the bench? I know this is all speculation right now, but as you note, there's a wide range of roster permutations at this point, so K may find himself in the position of needing to get creative.
It's not a problem of the 4 on offense. It's the 4 on defense. Lance Thomas worked as a 4 because he can guard PFs and SFs.
On offense if you have a 4 that can't shoot, you make them crash the glass for you 1 - 3 spots.
In this particular hypothetical, I don't know. We could end up bumping Gary Trent up to the PF spot. We could end up going with White if he makes a big jump. We could go with DeLaurier. We could go with two bigs. Lots of potential outcomes. I have no idea which will be the outcome.
In terms of guys with size who have the ability to potentially defend away from the basket, though, DeLaurier is the guy who makes the most sense.
Not sure of the site (Fan Rag Sports) but they had an article in the middle of February that claims to have inside information that Mason will play at Yale next year and then explore the grad transfer options.
https://www.fanragsports.com/news/mason-play-yale-next-season-become-grad-transfer-spring-2018/
https://youtu.be/Fbfj2cwfvjM
Probably wishful thinking, but maybe we do go 8-9 deep next year? I misquoted in the title of this post, but the direct quote was:
"We need to become a deeper team."
You can take that statement two ways.
1) He means that Duke needs to be deeper, in that players are good enough to start, but amenable to coming off the bench.
2) He means that *he* needs to play more guys more minutes and adjust *his* coaching philosophy.
I'm going to guess he meant #1.
No, haha, no. Stop.
If you look up "Need to see it to believe it" in Bartlett's, it just says: "Coach K's 9-man rotation at Duke."
Plus, you can read what he says in several ways.
Maybe he means he would like to have 9 playable players but will still play 7, and this season he felt he only had 7 playable players of which he preferred to play 6. For example.
Going on my eye test, I think Luke will test the waters along with Grayson. However, I don't think Luke will stay in the draft because he's a poor defender. He has shown at times to be a good rebounding guard. He can't create off the dribble against tough defenders. I look for Luke to return for one more year at least. Grayson could go either way. I think it boils down to how much he thinks he can improve his draft status next season. GoDuke!
Criticism may not be agreeable, but it is necessary. It fulfils the same function as pain in the human body. It calls attention to an unhealthy state of things. - Winston Churchill
President of the "Nolan Smith Should Have His Jersey in The Rafters" Club
Criticism may not be agreeable, but it is necessary. It fulfils the same function as pain in the human body. It calls attention to an unhealthy state of things. - Winston Churchill
President of the "Nolan Smith Should Have His Jersey in The Rafters" Club
I think there's a pretty big difference between 7 and 8. 8 doesn't sound like that much of an improvement, but it is a lot better than 7, especially in high foul volume games like last night. We had 7 this year. We legitimately played 8 in 2015. It was all we had, but we played all 8 of those guys late in the season, and it turns out that was all we needed.
You can say I'm cherry picking stats for convenience, but I think it's pretty hard to win a national title with 7. Any time there's foul trouble, you're in a pretty bad situation with only 7.